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  • Would Boston Make the Most Competitive Offer For Rossi?


    Image courtesy of Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images
    Bekki Antonelli

    The Minnesota Wild may trade Marco Rossi if the 23-year-old center and Bill Guerin cannot reach a deal. Rossi was unsatisfied with his playoff ice time or the Wild’s offers, and the Boston Bruins are in the market for a second-line center. 

    Guerin and Rossi have been negotiating a contract, but there is a disparity about Rossi’s value. Rossi reportedly turned down a 5-year, $25 million contract and a shorter-term offer last week. He previously made $863,334 average annual value (AAV) on his 3-year contract that ended in the 2024-25 season, and is looking to make around $7M AAV going forward. 

    Rossi noted that he went from 40 to 60 points this year, saying that “it’s always going up and I always improve. I’m for sure a top-six guy.” The center is looking for a top-six contract. He was also healthy and played all 82 games in the 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons on a Wild team that suffered myriad injuries.

    Recently, the negotiations have hit a stalemate, and Rossi is ineligible for arbitration. He signed his first contract at 19 years old, so he would need 4 seasons with at least 10 games per season, and he doesn’t meet this threshold. Arbitration tends to be a last resort, but the threat of it pressures GMs to come up with a contract. 

    Besides contention over his sticker price, Rossi said he was “very disappointed” by his lack of ice time during the playoffs. He averaged 18:15 TOI during that regular season, but dropped to 11:08 in the postseason, which was the third-lowest ice time of any Wild player. 

    While the playoffs were disappointing for Rossi, he played a key role in the regular season, and the Wild would like to keep him. Guerin addressed the trade rumors, saying, “Marco’s a good player and I’m not interested in making our team worse. … So, I’m not dying to get rid of Marco.”

    The Athletic compared Rossi to Anton Lundell and Dylan Cozens. Lundell just finished the first season of his 5-year, $25M contract, which he signed after a 35-point season. Rossi likely expects more due to the cap raise and his own 60 points. 

    However, Lundell has a bit of size and experience on Rossi. The Panthers center is 6-foot-1, 196 lbs., compared to Rossi’s 5-foot-9, 182 lbs. frame. When Lundell signed his extension, he had 3 productive seasons, rather than Rossi’s 2 productive seasons. Still, if Rossi continues to produce like he has been, he’ll be worth more than $5M AAV.

    Ottawa Senators forward Dylan Cozens signed a 7-year, $7.1M AAV contract after his third season, where he put up 68 points. However, he only managed 47 points in each of the following 2 seasons. Cozens is still a productive player, but his career makes GMs wary of signing long, expensive contracts with young players who may be inconsistent.

    With $15,786,835 in cap space for the 2025-26 season, Minnesota has the money Rossi seeks. The Wild still need to sign additional forwards and potentially a goalie, but they only have 3 active roster spots left. Even if they gave Rossi the $7M AAV, $8M is enough for another top-six player and a rookie or 2 solid 3rd liners. 

    The Fourth Period suggested Boston as a destination for Rossi. The trade makes sense for the Bruins, who have $26,286,333 in cap space and lacked offense last year. The Bruins only scored 222 goals, ranking them dead last in the Eastern Conference for Goals For. Boston couldn’t make up for it defensively and ended the season in 15th place in the conference.

    The Bruins have goal scorers, but must supplement them. David Pastrnak led Boston in points with 43 goals and 63 assists, followed by Morgan Geekie with 33 goals and 24 assists. Rossi would immediately fit into their first or second line and likely play a bigger role in Boston. Rossi was second for points and third in goals on the Wild, but Minnesota has a depth that the Bruins don’t. If Boston makes the 2026 playoffs, Rossi is all but guaranteed ice time if he stays consistent. 

    While the Bruins have plenty of cap space, they also have several spots to fill. They are set at goalie but only have 8 forwards and 4 defensemen on the roster. Most importantly, Boston needs to sign a contract with Geekie, an RFA who just finished a 2-year, $4M contract and will likely expect more money. 

    However, due to similar contract disagreements, Boston recently traded top forward Brad Marchand to the Florida Panthers. Bruins general manager Don Sweeney said there was a “gap” between Marchand's compensation expectations and what Boston could offer. Marchand’s 8-year, $49M contract ends after the 2024-25 season, and he is likely looking for at least $7M AAV. If the Bruins won’t spend the money on a proven veteran like Marchand, they may not want to foot the bill for Rossi either. 

    Still, Boston is in a position to make an enticing trade for Rossi. The Bruins will pick 7th in this year’s draft, and still have all of their 2025 draft picks. They also have 2 first-round draft picks in 2026 and 2027. If they are willing to pay the price tag and sacrifice a solid draft pick or two, Rossi might be skating in black and gold next season. 

    Minnesota and Boston have the cap space and could afford Rossi’s price tag, but they still need to consider compensation for other key players they have not yet signed. Rossi has had 2 excellent seasons and shown improvement. However, he doesn’t have the consistent years of production that other players leverage to sign high-compensation contracts. Ultimately, he may need to settle for a bridge contract before signing long-term.

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    On 6/13/2025 at 11:59 AM, OldDutchChip said:

    why? what is Rossi's leverage here? To not play at all? or to sign a contract with another team for 5 X 5 that Bill can match? no one is really screaming out to sign him.

     

    Rossi has a lot of leverage if a team (it only takes one) places an offer sheet out for Rossi with a value north of what Billy is offering. (And I’ll bet a team would.) Billy would have to take the picks (which he does NOT want to do) or match that contract (which he does NOT want to do).

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    40 minutes ago, FredJohnson said:

    Rossi has a lot of leverage if a team (it only takes one) places an offer sheet out for Rossi with a value north of what Billy is offering. (And I’ll bet a team would.) Billy would have to take the picks (which he does NOT want to do) or match that contract (which he does NOT want to do).

    If you're sitting in Guerin's chair, where do you match and where do you take the compensation? As a GM you've got to be prepared for both scenarios. 

    Let's just say that Rossi refuses to sign here for anything less than $7m x 7. Guerin isn't so sure he wants that deal. He's stuck on lower and won't give this to Rossi. It goes to offersheet season. What is your decision?

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    1 hour ago, FredJohnson said:

    Rossi has a lot of leverage if a team (it only takes one) places an offer sheet out for Rossi with a value north of what Billy is offering. (And I’ll bet a team would.) Billy would have to take the picks (which he does NOT want to do) or match that contract (which he does NOT want to do).

    He has no actual leverage - no one really is predicted to offer sheet him in that range

    He wants 7+

    you think anyone will give that for Rossi? And part w 1st? 
     

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    53 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Would Rossi agree to that?

    He’ll have to consider it…..

    Does he want to hold out? Watch Yurov pass him on depth chart…

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    57 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    If you're sitting in Guerin's chair, where do you match and where do you take the compensation? As a GM you've got to be prepared for both scenarios. 

    Let's just say that Rossi refuses to sign here for anything less than $7m x 7. Guerin isn't so sure he wants that deal. He's stuck on lower and won't give this to Rossi. It goes to offersheet season. What is your decision?

    I would have done the 7x7 a while ago. I think it was Russo that said Billy offered Rossi a lot less (less than 5 AAV if I recall). 

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    22 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    He has no actual leverage - no one really is predicted to offer sheet him in that range

    He wants 7+

    you think anyone will give that for Rossi? And part w 1st? 
     

    I’m not sure. I don’t know every team’s situation. I know Montreal needs a 2C but has NO interest in Rossi. If a team puts an offer sheet out on Rossi around the 6MM AAV range does Billy match it? 5MM?

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    1 minute ago, FredJohnson said:

    I’m not sure. I don’t know every team’s situation. I know Montreal needs a 2C but has NO interest in Rossi. If a team puts an offer sheet out on Rossi around the 6MM AAV range does Billy match it? 5MM?

    Yeap and that’s a win for Bill to keep it under 6

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    6 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    He has no actual leverage - no one really is predicted to offer sheet him in that range

    He wants 7+

    you think anyone will give that for Rossi? And part w 1st? 

    It's not just a 1st, but likely a 1st, 2nd, 3rd not lottery protected. I was just reading Russo/Smith take on this. Their take is it just got more complicated. The original take dealt with what compensation would be in a trade. There's really nothing complicated about it, Rossi's backed into a corner where he has little leverage. 

    I circle back to Aho who got a great offer from Montreal where Waddell matched it and said thank you to Montreal and then had a nice summer vacation. I can't remember the compensation. 

    I think if compensation is a 1st and 3rd, Guerin simply matches, and moves on to Kaprizov. If it's 1st, 2nd 3rd, I think Guerin looks at the team to see where their talent level is at, and if it's a top 10 projected pick, he has to think hard about it. 

    With the trade compensation that Russo/Smith were talking about, really only Utah's #4 was enticing. Who cares about the rest of the offers, they were crap. Those things being dangled I would say get them out of my face they're annoying me. 

    Bottom line is Rossi is worth a significant return and if teams aren't willing to give that, then simply keep him, re-offer 5 x $5m, and wait on the offersheet. I'm with you, I don't think one will come, and a low offersheet that he actually signs will likely just be a match, so Rossi has to sign one over $7.03. Does Rossi really want to leave? If so, you've got to come up with an offersheet that won't be matched. Does Rossi care if it's a good team? If he wants out of MN, maybe he doesn't. 

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    7 minutes ago, FredJohnson said:

    If a team puts an offer sheet out on Rossi around the 6MM AAV range does Billy match it? 5MM?

    absolutely and moves on to Kaprizov.

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    21 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    absolutely and moves on to Kaprizov.

    But heard he offered under 5! (Russo on his podcast I think)

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    Maybe we should go this route. Who is eligible to make an offersheet in the 1,2,3 compensation and what does their cap number look like?

    Montreal              6.11m            20/23

    Detroit                 21.34m           17/23

    Boston                26.27m            14/23

    New Jersey        12.04m            19/23

    Pittsburgh           23.73m            19/23

    Philadelphia        18.99m           19/23

    Utah                     20.36m             21/23

    Nashville             17.31m             21/23

    Chicago               29.2m               21/23

    Los Angeles        21.71m            21/23

    Calgary                26.9m               19/23

    Anaheim             32.19m              17/23

    Seattle                19.95m               16/23

    There are 13 teams that are eligible to meet the 2026 compensation for a $7.1m offersheet. I'd probably take compensation from Chicago, Philly, maybe Boston. I think the others are probably a match because with Rossi, they could be playoff bound. 

    The check marks indicate the teams that a brief look at their roster would indicate that they might take a run at Rossi. There's a lot of money to throw around here. Only one of those teams are Canadian, so he may not want to go to Calgary. 

     

     

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    32 minutes ago, FredJohnson said:

    But heard he offered under 5! (Russo on his podcast I think)

    I could see a 2 x $4.5m, but I think the Rossi camp under $5m goes 1 year to get to arbitration.

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    2 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    It's not just a 1st, but likely a 1st, 2nd, 3rd not lottery protected. I was just reading Russo/Smith take on this. Their take is it just got more complicated. The original take dealt with what compensation would be in a trade. There's really nothing complicated about it, Rossi's backed into a corner where he has little leverage. 

    I circle back to Aho who got a great offer from Montreal where Waddell matched it and said thank you to Montreal and then had a nice summer vacation. I can't remember the compensation. 

    I think if compensation is a 1st and 3rd, Guerin simply matches, and moves on to Kaprizov. If it's 1st, 2nd 3rd, I think Guerin looks at the team to see where their talent level is at, and if it's a top 10 projected pick, he has to think hard about it. 

    With the trade compensation that Russo/Smith were talking about, really only Utah's #4 was enticing. Who cares about the rest of the offers, they were crap. Those things being dangled I would say get them out of my face they're annoying me. 

    Bottom line is Rossi is worth a significant return and if teams aren't willing to give that, then simply keep him, re-offer 5 x $5m, and wait on the offersheet. I'm with you, I don't think one will come, and a low offersheet that he actually signs will likely just be a match, so Rossi has to sign one over $7.03. Does Rossi really want to leave? If so, you've got to come up with an offersheet that won't be matched. Does Rossi care if it's a good team? If he wants out of MN, maybe he doesn't. 

    agree with ya here

    imagine Sharks or Hawks going with an offer sheet for Rossi.....YES please

     

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Maybe we should go this route. Who is eligible to make an offersheet in the 1,2,3 compensation and what does their cap number look like?

    Montreal              6.11m            20/23

    Detroit                 21.34m           17/23

    Boston                26.27m            14/23

    New Jersey        12.04m            19/23

    Pittsburgh           23.73m            19/23

    Philadelphia        18.99m           19/23

    Utah                     20.36m             21/23

    Nashville             17.31m             21/23

    Chicago               29.2m               21/23

    Los Angeles        21.71m            21/23

    Calgary                26.9m               19/23

    Anaheim             32.19m              17/23

    Seattle                19.95m               16/23

    There are 13 teams that are eligible to meet the 2026 compensation for a $7.1m offersheet. I'd probably take compensation from Chicago, Philly, maybe Boston. I think the others are probably a match because with Rossi, they could be playoff bound. 

    The check marks indicate the teams that a brief look at their roster would indicate that they might take a run at Rossi. There's a lot of money to throw around here. Only one of those teams are Canadian, so he may not want to go to Calgary. 

     

     

    i very much doubt any of the teams mentioned above gives Rossi an offer sheet that he wants...they understand that they likely will be at the bottom of the standings and would give up a potential top 5 first rounder to sign Rossi....i don't think there is a GM in the entire league that would give up a top5 pick for Rossi. not to mention 2/3rd. i guess maybe LA - who is likely a lock for PO and their pick wouldn't be that high - but i don't see them doing that. 

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I could see a 2 x $4.5m, but I think the Rossi camp under $5m goes 1 year to get to arbitration.

    and that's how it works - you can't expect the same offer if you declined the first one. the offer will change depending on state of things. less demand - means less money. 

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    15 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    i very much doubt any of the teams mentioned above gives Rossi an offer sheet that he wants...they understand that they likely will be at the bottom of the standings and would give up a potential top 5 first rounder to sign Rossi....i don't think there is a GM in the entire league that would give up a top5 pick for Rossi. not to mention 2/3rd. i guess maybe LA - who is likely a lock for PO and their pick wouldn't be that high - but i don't see them doing that. 

    Several of the teams listed also have pretty good depth down the middle. I mentioned LA because they have the cap room and Kopitar is 37. I think there is a chance that they could try. They've got some young players already drafted so they could afford to lose a draft.

    Some of the lower teams are trying to build up, like Anaheim. Their front line guys might be pretty good, but injuries can always derail that. But, the point that a GM with a potential top 5 pick WON'T make an offersheet takes away more leverage of the tiny bit Rossi's got. 

    That's why the best solution (for Rossi) is to sign a 1 year bridge deal, come into camp at 195, have burst and an edge, and show Guerin you can be trusted. He might play this year with a low salary but get an extension shortly into the season that looks like Boldy's.

    There's no doubt he can put up points with average wings. He can also put up massive points with great wings. It's the away from the puck play, shielding the puck and getting knocked down easily that has Guerin worried. There's no doubt that Rossi is a hard worker and has that work ethic. He's just not finished with it, and if he gets the big deal the FO is not certain he will continue to get himself bigger.

    Strength on skates is kind of a big deal in playoff hockey. People compare his numbers to Marchand. Look at how Marchand has taken less throughout his whole career so far and Marchand is stronger on his skates. This is where Rossi has to get to.

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    52 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    People compare his numbers to Marchand. Look at how Marchand has taken less throughout his whole career so far and Marchand is stronger on his skates.

    Difference between Rossi and Marchand is between the ears.  Marchand is a unique character

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    26 minutes ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    Difference between Rossi and Marchand is between the ears.  Marchand is a unique character

    On top of the edge work, bulking up, and strong on the skates, do we also need to get him licking lessons? 😉

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    7 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Several of the teams listed also have pretty good depth down the middle. I mentioned LA because they have the cap room and Kopitar is 37. I think there is a chance that they could try. They've got some young players already drafted so they could afford to lose a draft.

    Some of the lower teams are trying to build up, like Anaheim. Their front line guys might be pretty good, but injuries can always derail that. But, the point that a GM with a potential top 5 pick WON'T make an offersheet takes away more leverage of the tiny bit Rossi's got. 

    That's why the best solution (for Rossi) is to sign a 1 year bridge deal, come into camp at 195, have burst and an edge, and show Guerin you can be trusted. He might play this year with a low salary but get an extension shortly into the season that looks like Boldy's.

    There's no doubt he can put up points with average wings. He can also put up massive points with great wings. It's the away from the puck play, shielding the puck and getting knocked down easily that has Guerin worried. There's no doubt that Rossi is a hard worker and has that work ethic. He's just not finished with it, and if he gets the big deal the FO is not certain he will continue to get himself bigger.

    Strength on skates is kind of a big deal in playoff hockey. People compare his numbers to Marchand. Look at how Marchand has taken less throughout his whole career so far and Marchand is stronger on his skates. This is where Rossi has to get to.

    Marchand had the drive and spunk from day 1. Look at his play first goal - body check that leads to a goal. Look at his bouts with PK Subban. That is just not Rossi. If you want to compare him to Granny - sure. But let's not bring Marchand into this.

    As for what will happen - i am with you - teams that are lottery bound - won't be willing to send us 1st. and why bother offer sheeting for 5 or 5.5 if we can just match. yes - i can see LA - but they've been a tough team to play for ages - not sure why they change their moto and go soft finesse.

     

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    On 6/12/2025 at 8:17 PM, RazWild said:

    No, that is exactly how offersheets work.

    Again, offersheets are capped to a maximum of 5 year term. Players cannot be signed to an offersheet of longer-term than that. So a $7Mx7 offersheet is not a thing. A max term offersheet is always total value divided by 5 years. ALWAYS.

    I think you misunderstood what I was saying. I'm merely pointing out the theoretical contract in both standard and offersheet form's. That's it.

    The usage of a $7Mx7 contract there is strictly as a reference point. It is only to be used as a standard contract comparable. It's not the actual offersheet. The offersheet is for $9.8Mx5.

    Again, a $7Mx7 SC is directly comparable to a $9.8Mx5 OS. Because the total value amount of both is $49M over the course of the contracts. This is why Rossi would have to be offersheeted at an AAV of $9.8M in order to meet his current asking price of $49M. Otherwise, the $7M AAV offersheet price point only gets him $35M over the length of the offersheet.

    In either instance. The offersheet term length is 5 years, the maximum allowed by the CBA.

    You can sign an offer sheet for up to 7 years, but the compensation is based on a 5 year value.  For example, a player igns an offer sheet for 7 years and 42M.  The AAV for the player and for salary cap is 6M a year, but the draft pick compensation is based off of 5 years, so 8.4M which would be a 1st, 2nd and 3rd, even though the player is only making 6M a year.

    https://soundofhockey.com/2025/03/20/explaining-how-offer-sheets-work-in-the-nhl/amp/
     

     

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    On 6/12/2025 at 2:41 PM, Pewterschmidt said:

    Agree this one may go down as bill’s most extreme destruction of asset value.  Braz is a gutless, heartless telephone pole in skates.  Even at 6’8” he’s another beta on this roster.  

    But hey, he weighs enough for Billy and some of the posters on here. So, he’s got that going for him…which is nice.

    This is a perfect example of what I’ve been posting about: don’t get hung up on a guy’s physical stature. Posts “comparing” Buiim to Cale Makar are showing how an undersized (less than 200 pounds) player can compete and in Makar’s case be awesome. Braz is the opposite: be dude that doesn’t have enough talent. Like I tell my wife, size isn’t everything.

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