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  • The Wild Had Better Trade Targets Than Nyquist


    Image courtesy of Matt Krohn-Imagn Images
    Robert Brent

    Over the weekend, the Minnesota Wild broke the ice on their trade deadline. They traded for Gustav Nyquist, who they previously acquired at the 2022-23 trade deadline. Bringing Nyquist back is a bit puzzling, given he’s 35 and has 21 points in 57 games this season. 

    Nyquist probably makes the Wild marginally better, but the issue is how he fits into their roster construction. With Joel Eriksson Ek out, they could have used some help at center. 

    Michael Russo and Joe Smith broached how the Wild could get reinforcements for Eriksson Ek in The Athletic. After seeing who may be available, Minnesota could better spend its assets elsewhere. Nyquist should be a fine pickup, but this trade leaves the impression that the Wild had much better options to explore at center. 

    Filling a gap in the lineup

    Picking up a center became vital to the Wild when Joel Eriksson Ek went down with another injury. Eriksson Ek is having issues staying in the lineup this season after being one of the team’s more durable players early in his career. Minnesota’s lack of center depth becomes incredibly apparent with Eriksson Ek out. 

    Marco Rossi, 23, is good but inexperienced. Frederick Gaudreau is having a bounce-back season but isn’t a second-line center. With all due respect to Brendan Gaunce and Devin Shore, they’re replacement-level NHL players. 

    Bill Guerin said he expects Eriksson Ek and Kirill Kaprizov to return in the regular season. What if Eriksson Ek gets hurt again? What if his recovery takes longer than initially anticipated? 

    The Wild would have to roll their current center setup in the playoffs. That won’t go well.

    Instead of investing in their gap down the middle, Minnesota traded for Nyquist. Who could they have targeted, though? There were options. 

    Many linked the Wild to New York Islanders center Brock Nelson, but he doesn’t appear available. On Inside Trading, Pierre LeBrun reported that the Islanders are still trying to sign Nelson despite their place in the standings. The Wild could pry him away with significant assets, but this year’s team isn’t worth investing much capital into. Dylan Cozens is another name that gained some traction. However, that also could take significant assets and be a high-risk trade.

    Even if the Wild didn’t want to shop for a huge asset, there were options in a similar price range to Nyquist. In their article, Russo and Smith named Scott Laughton and Yanni Gourde as potential candidates to help the Wild’s center depth in Eriksson Ek’s absence.

    Philadelphia reportedly wants a first-round pick for Laughton, but the asking price always starts high. Laughton also has another year on his contract and a reasonable cap hit at just $3 million annually. Gourde is coming off an injury, and the Wild could acquire him for a reasonable haul. 

    Gourde is 5-foot-9, 174 lbs., undersized for a center. Still, he has a winning pedigree after his two Stanley Cup wins in Tampa Bay and is a proven playoff performer with 41 points in 82 career postseason games. He’s tenacious, responsible defensively, and provides a bit of a scoring punch. Is that not exactly what the Wild need? 

    A move for a center would have helped the Wild with Eriksson Ek’s injury and could also have helped the team during its impending playoff run. 

    Strength down the middle leads to success

    When you look at the roster construction of several of the league’s most successful teams, strength at center is a common theme. However, the most recent Stanley Cup winners have had center play and depth. The Florida Panthers have Aleksander Barkov, Sam Bennett, and Anton Lundell, and the Vegas Golden Knights had Jack Eichel, Chandler Stephenson, and William Karlsson.

    The best teams in the league typically have good center depth. The Wild have Rossi and Eriksson Ek, but neither are as good as Vegas or Florida’s centers. Still, it’s a good start. If Minnesota had acquired Yanni Gourde or Scott Laughton, they’d at least have excellent depth.

    The Wild must go on a playoff run soon to show Kirill Kaprizov they’re serious about competing. If they have to spend an asset to do that, they would be better off spending it on developing an identity as a team with center depth rather than an aging scoring winger who only marginally helps the team.

    Guerin traded for Nyquist because he was familiar with him and because the Preds retained salary and only got a draft pick in exchange. They pulled the trade off well before the deadline, but Nyquist might not make the Wild that much better.

    How does Nyquist fit?

    It might be unfair to characterize the Nyquist trade as completely negative. In a vacuum, he adds something to the lineup. Nyquist brings some scoring depth the team sorely lacks and has some experience with the team. He’s also a decent playoff producer, scoring nine points in his last 12 postseason games.

    The issue with Nyquist isn’t the player he’s been; it’s the player he is now. At 35 years old, the Swedish forward is reaching the age at which a decline might be coming. He had a fantastic season for Nashville last year, scoring 75 points in 81 games. However, he’s been much less productive this year. His 21 points in 57 games is his lowest scoring rate since he broke into the league in 2013-14.

    Nyquist’s age and decline make this trade a considerable gamble. Is it possible he’s had a bad year in Nashville, along with everyone else on that team? Maybe a change of scenery could help him regain some of his scoring form from last year. However, it’s also possible that the winger is starting to decline at age 35.

    The gamble the Wild are making is particularly concerning, given what they gave up for Nyquist. 

    A second-round pick is valuable, especially for the Wild’s front office. According to The Athletic, Minnesota has built up the league’s second-best farm system. Perhaps the Wild don’t need any more prospects. However, if Nyquist doesn’t move the needle, the Wild are giving up what could be a valuable asset for a few games of a declining asset. 

    Are you confident that Gustav Nyquist makes the Wild a bona fide contender? I’m not.

    Nyquist might give the team another scoring option. In the best-case scenario, he’s a good contributor in the playoffs. Even if that happens, the team could have spent these resources much better on a center. They need an insurance policy on Eriksson Ek. 

    Strength down the middle could be an advantage in the playoffs. The Wild had better targets.

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    20 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Oh, that.

    Kaprizov was hovering around Top 10-20 in scoring for the past few seasons, regardless of injuries.  He started this year super crazy, which was great.  My point was I'm not going to call him "best player in the league" over McDavid, Drai, MacKinnon, Kucherov, etc. because of 20-30 games of elevated play.  If he had not gotten injured, and he kept up in the Hart conversation, he would have earned the distinction outright.

    I've already stated he's the best player the Wild has had on many occasions.  It would do the Wild wonders to keep him.  But life doesn't revolve around one player being kowtowed to like he's some god or something.  He's just a hockey player.  The Wild are going to negotiate what they can afford (and it will be a lot) to keep them on board for 5-8 more years.  

    If he leaves, that's sucks.  But that's Kap's business.  My life (and my hockey life more pertinently) doesn't hinge on one guy signing a contact.  The team's outlook improves dramatically if he stays.  But there's little I can do: fussing over it won't matter to me.

    I guess I can’t change your mind but I stand by my comment that Kap was playing the best out of all players in the league and deserves that recognition.
     

    Sometimes it’s not the highest point getter that’s the best player on the ice and sometimes it’s hard to measure intangibles that are not statistically captured. And Kap delivered both better than any other.
     

    There is no Draisaitl to help carry the load. No Makar or Ranty. Kap has Zuccy.
     

    But even with sub par supporting cast he dominates, leading the league in MVP votes too. 
     

    you say, he is just one player - sure. That’s true for any player out there. But he is a special player that our team NEVER had. To say, he walks - he walks - that’s life, undersells him importance. 
     

    but to each their own….🍻

     

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    21 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    Sometimes it’s not the highest point getter that’s the best player on the ice and sometimes it’s hard to measure intangibles that are not statistically captured. And Kap delivered both better than any other.

    I've often wished we had better metrics for defense. Would be interesting to see how the top 5 rate in regards to each other. I don't watch enough of the other "#1" guys to make an honest assessment. 

    Intangibles are definitely not something that is easily captured. I guess hence being intangible....

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    Are you confident that Gustav Nyquist makes the Wild a bona fide contender?

    Who promised us a contender? This team even with Nyquist is a competitive team. I don't think anyone has contender expectations. A nice deep playoff run would be nice, but expectations are merely an invitation to the ball.

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    4 hours ago, MrCheatachu said:

    guys who command $3M+ are a different caliber of player than guys surfing around on league minimum.

    3M+?  I don't know.  He has had an awful year.

    My biggest fear is he does awesome for 20 games and then we sign him for something like 3+ per and he turns into Nojo 2.0.

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    10 hours ago, MNCountryLife said:

    Nyquist will not be around next year. 

    He’ll be extended. I’m about 90% sure. We need this guy to make the playoffs, which I think is important this year. He’s a solid player and under the present circumstances certainly worth a late second rounder. Once everyone gets healthy and the team gets the band back together he’ll be a nice addition heading into the playoffs. 

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    3 hours ago, Citizen Strife said:

    If he leaves, that's sucks.  But that's Kap's business. 

    In the last few years a lot of very good star players have chosen to initiate trades to other teams. I mean from very good teams, playoff teams, contending teams. I guess there’s a lot of different reasons why they do, I don’t know. Personally I don’t think the Wild can do much if KK wants to play elsewhere. If he does it’ll be for personal reasons more than likely already baked in for a long time. The Wild can pay him, the GM has added a lot of pieces with more talent on the way. That’s good, but KK could still be planning on moving on for reasons we may never know. If he does it’ll be a bummer, but it’s happening all around the league. 

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    9 minutes ago, Burnt Toast said:

    In the last few years a lot of very good star players have chosen to initiate trades to other teams. I mean from very good teams, playoff teams, contending teams. I guess there’s a lot of different reasons why they do, I don’t know. Personally I don’t think the Wild can do much if KK wants to play elsewhere. If he does it’ll be for personal reasons more than likely already baked in for a long time. The Wild can pay him, the GM has added a lot of pieces with more talent on the way. That’s good, but KK could still be planning on moving on for reasons we may never know. If he does it’ll be a bummer, but it’s happening all around the league. 

    I get all that, but take out the $ and personal reasons and you are left with product on the ice….has Billy did enough or not. We’ll find out

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    7 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    Billy did enough or not. We’ll find out

    I think we’re headed into uncharted waters concerning BG. This coming year will reveal a lot about the team’s “five year plan”. I have to say I’m very excited. I’m not sure what to expect. Part of me thinks they’re going to make a play for an elite player, even if it means shipping Rossi out. It’s not talked about a lot but the goalie situation next year could be interesting, meaning really fantastic or kind of scary. As CS said good teams are built from the goalie out. 

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    10 minutes ago, Burnt Toast said:

    I think we’re headed into uncharted waters concerning BG. This coming year will reveal a lot about the team’s “five year plan”. I have to say I’m very excited. I’m not sure what to expect. Part of me thinks they’re going to make a play for an elite player, even if it means shipping Rossi out. It’s not talked about a lot but the goalie situation next year could be interesting, meaning really fantastic or kind of scary. As CS said good teams are built from the goalie out. 

    as long as we have our kaptain, heading into uncharted waters won't be too bad. otherwise it will get rocky. 

    good teams nowadays win with elite superstars (Helle has been rocky in PO, as have Russian G studs, while volatile Bob and even our own Khudobin!! have been taking the teams much further towards glory....you need elite skill to cut through D and physicality, and that seems to be a bit more important than having All-world goalie. I don't even know who Oilers had in their Goal battling Bob. The days of Goalie being priority 1 may be gone......No more riding Miller for Sabres or letting Hasek steal series after series. it's a game of skill in the PO where you hope your goalie is good enough and that offense does not dry up (or is not injured) 🙂 

    so we are doing good right now. we have the goalie in Gus and hopefully Wally becomes something. we also have one elite superstar. let's hope we can keep him and add one more, rather than loose one and be left with none. 

    what do i know, we shall see - exciting indeed! 

    Go wild and whoop ass today!

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    2 hours ago, Will D. Ness said:

    My biggest fear is he does awesome for 20 games and then we sign him for something like 3+ per and he turns into Nojo 2.0.

    I wouldn't worry about that. It's possible they sign him for a couple of years if they deal Zuccarello, but the chances of that likely aren't too high. Guerin intends to aim higher, but if his love of the top free agents is unrequited, maybe a strong finish by Nyquist could get him added for a couple of years even while the Wild retain Zuccarello for 1 more season.

    Hopefully the top line has a great game tonight!

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    11 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    I wouldn't worry about that. It's possible they sign him for a couple of years if they deal Zuccarello, but the chances of that likely aren't too high. Guerin intends to aim higher, but if his love of the top free agents is unrequited, maybe a strong finish by Nyquist could get him added for a couple of years even while the Wild retain Zuccarello for 1 more season.

    Hopefully the top line has a great game tonight!

    Everything I've seen from Guerin so far is that he doles out contracts with term and protection over market rate to guys who are at the tail end of their career, while shitting all over high end talent.  If you don't have a decade of experience in this league SillyG will turn his nose up.

    We've seen this before, 35+ year old player who is in his statistical decline?  That's music to Guerin's ears, because he has some misguided belief that these guys are all going to be Ovi/Pavs/Sid who can be productive well into their late 30's while in reality, more often than not, we get them to sit in the trainers room.  Spurgeon's the same age as GusGus and we've seen first hand what a decade and a half in the NHL does to the durability of a guys body...and Spurgeon's a guy who notably is able to avoid contact well.

    Dude had an absolute hate boner for Fiala and seems to despise Rossi, while handing out term and trade protection to: Hartman, Foligno, Moose, Goligoski and also seeking out guys like Bogosian, Reaves, Maroon, etc.

    Even this off season, he handed out a fat gift to Trenin because 'hurr durr, do you know how hard it is to get bottom six guys, when they hit the market you GOT TO LOCK THEM DOWN'

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    10 hours ago, MrCheatachu said:

    high end talent

    I think Wild Management likes KK. Locking up Faber, Boldly almost immediately I would add to the high end category list as well. I would bet they have a plan in place for Zeev, Yurov and Jiri. All these guys project as high end. BG won a SC with Crosby, he knows having “that guy” is important. I think the Wild made a lot of survival/still build moves but that dynamic has already begun to change. 

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