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  • The Minnesota Wild Are Better Than Their Record Indicates


    Image courtesy of Jeff Le-Imagn Images
    Clay Gregory

    The NHL season has just begun, and the Minnesota Wild faithful are frustrated after an opening night victory followed by back-to-back overtime losses. A 2-2 start is not the ideal way to open the season, but there are reasons to be optimistic for this season.

    Let’s start with the bad. They should have beaten the Seattle Kraken on Saturday, and it never should have gone to a shootout. I will not blame the referees for that loss; the Wild’s defense should have been better in holding the lead when they were up 2-0 in the second period and 4-3 at 12:33 in the third period.

    However, Minnesota’s game against the Winnipeg Jets featured a strong defensive effort, especially with captain Jared Spurgeon out with a lower-body injury. The offensive unit suffered a setback before the game when they announced Joel Eriksson Ek had broken his nose in the Seattle game.

    The good news for the team is that the defensive unit will tighten up over the season, and the Wild should get their captain back soon, as they’ve listed Jared Spurgeon as day-to-day. The offensive firepower on this Wild team will have plenty of high-scoring games. They’ve also listed Eriksson Ek as day-to-day, and he will be a welcomed addition to the offense.

    The NHL schedule makers did not do the Wild any favors. The team is now embarking on a seven-game road trip, which has only happened once, in 2018. Playing on the road in hostile environments is part of being a professional hockey player. Teams that take the challenges head-on and grow close as a unit by gaining points away from home are crucial to making the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

    Message boards and comments on Wild social media accounts seem to have one thing in common: fans are screaming that the defense needs fixing. I can see certain areas where the defense will play too loose at certain times, which has come back to haunt the Wild, especially during the Kraken game. 

    I have complete faith in second-year coach John Hynes. His record throughout his career shows that his teams are competitive and often have good defensive units. A small sample size can lead to exaggerations of what a team has done well and what they struggle with. Hynes’ track record indicates he’ll quickly fix Minnesota’s early defensive woes.

    With the best players on the planet playing in the NHL, there will be nights when offense is hard to come by. Low offensive scoring nights should be rare, with talented scorers like Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, Matt Boldy, Ryan Hartman, and Marco Rossi on the ice. The power play is an area that I believe can improve from last season's 22.7%. Few teams in the NHL have scoring talent that can match up with the Wild when healthy.

    After missing the playoffs last year, the Wild have lofty expectations for this season. Missing the playoffs can hurt their chances of signing their superstar Kirill Kaprizov to a contract extension. Previously, Kaprizov said that his No. 1 priority is winning. The State of Hockey deserves to have a franchise that consistently wins, and Wild owner Craig Leopold seems committed to making that a reality.

    With Minnesota's slow start, we must be conscious of small sample sizes. For now, you need look no further than the Central Division standings. 

    The Dallas Stars are at the top, which is no surprise, given that they are one of the better teams in the league. The Colorado Avalanche sit at the bottom of the standings, winless with zero points. The Nashville Predators are right above them, winless with zero points. Those two teams will fight for the top spot in the central division this season. 

    Minnesota has played subpar this season but has four points already to show for it. These early season points are crucial for the long season and making the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

    The Wild have two wins and two losses. In four games, they scored 12 goals and gave up 10. Minnesota has six points and will soon get key players back from injuries. I understand the frustration at specific parts of the team's play. My advice would be to keep the faith, Wild fans. The season is just starting, and this Wild team will compete for the Stanley Cup come playoff time.

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    My thoughts are mixed through 4 games this season. However, I will say that against Winnipeg and St. Louis when there were long stretches hemmed in their end, the Wild didn’t bend and take a penalty. They played a tidy defensive game and didn’t give many high danger chances up (more in Winnipeg, but overall, clean defense). So, those games were both encouraging. And Gus has looked excellent so far. Surely he will regress, but no reason to think he can’t maintain a .920 save percentage. That should be more than enough to provide this team with the goaltending needed to make the playoffs. I think the defense will be okay. The game in Seattle was definitely a bit of an outlier so far. They’ve maintained discipline and have been pretty tidy in their own end, so I have faith in Hynes getting players to be adaptable and buy into his system.

    Would still like to see another top 6 forward and a top 4 RD because of Spurge’s health. But I think Hunt looked great in his limited time last night. Chisholm also looked good. I think he these guys should get more ice time over Bogo and Merrill, but maybe it’s just me. 

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    I would consider myself a Minnesota Wild faithful and I’m not frustrated or upset. We are in a better spot in the standings than we were last year. It is a little frustrating how good Dallas seems to be however.

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    2 and 2 isn't bad.  A point in each game even better.  Only two points dropped in 4 games fantastic.  All that being said I would seriously wait until Nov 6th before we start assessing the season and how well the team is playing versus how good we think they are.  

    Between now and the 6th they Wild play Tampa twice, Florida, Pittsburgh, LA, Philadelphia and Columbus.  They should beat most of the teams in that stretch and have a chance in all of the games.  If they keep pace with what they have already done they should come out of this stretch of games with 16 or 17 points.  That would still be on pace for around 82 points for the season.  Which would probably not make the playoffs.  The wild have the 6th best record in the league and are 5th in the west with Colorado, Edmonton, Nashville, and Vancouver not playing up to their potential.  

    Basically the Wild need to pick up the pace on this road trip or they will be left behind again. 

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    They say the best defense is a strong offense.  In the Blues game, the Wild seemed to play assertively as a team.  The offense passed the puck a lot, maintaining zone possession, hence relieving some pressure off the defense.  They also only had 1 penalty in that game, which helps when you're not up against 5-4 or even 5-3.  The Wild are already playing 2 lesser players due to this crazy Parise-Suter contract buyouts (which I still don't understand if the NHL now banned these long contracts, why are they still counted against the Wild cap?), so every edge they can muster, is a benefit.  It was a good example of what they are capable of doing....now more consistency.  

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    10 hours ago, 1Brotherbill said:

    Between now and the 6th, the Wild play Tampa twice, Florida, Pittsburgh, LA, Philadelphia and Columbus.  They should beat most of the teams in that stretch and have a chance in all of the games.  If they keep pace with what they have already done they should come out of this stretch of games with 16 or 17 points.  That would still be on pace for around 82 points for the season.  Which would probably not make the playoffs.

    16 points through 12 games would be on pace for 109 standings points, which would definitely make the playoffs.

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    How can we possibly be projecting trends and required points to make the playoffs already??  Take a breath folks, lets let it settle in a bit. Maybe 20 25 games? At least. 

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    Quote

    With Minnesota's slow start, we must be conscious of small sample sizes

    Slow start? They haven't lost in regulation and have points from every game!! 

    If we kept that up all season we'd probably win the presidents trophy rofl. 

    Edited by B1GKappa97
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    36 minutes ago, B1GKappa97 said:

    Slow start? They haven't lost in regulation and have points from every game!! 

    If we kept that up all season we'd probably win the presidents trophy rofl. 

    I think slow start refers less to the loser pts we got in the standings (against middling competition) and more about the yard sale hockey we saw on the ice.

    The team looked more 'effective' and 'organized' against STL so I'm hoping the first three games were just shaking off the rust.

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    5 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Are the AveNots tanking for next year's #1 overall pick?! 0-4-0 with last 3 games at home no less!

    That would shock me.  I don't see players like Makar or McKinnon giving a rats tail about a high draft pick. Those guys believe they can win today....and they can. 

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    3 hours ago, MNCountryLife said:

    That would shock me.  I don't see players like Makar or McKinnon giving a rats tail about a high draft pick. Those guys believe they can win today....and they can. 

    I should have said I am being sarcastic. 
     

    They have some climbing to do.

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    10 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Are the AveNots tanking for next year's #1 overall pick?! 0-4-0 with last 3 games at home no less!

    Bednar is such a goofball. He should focus more on his team, less on his GQ-Mens Health style. 

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    I thought ppl would find this interesting it’s from the athletic.

    Mn Wild 2024-2025

    30th in weight at 196.1 lbs

    30th in height at 72.7in

    9th in age at 29

    30th most Canadian players with 27.3%

    (We have the highest amount of European players by percentage in the entire NHL

    We have the 14th most first round picks on the team(teams above us are mostly all rebuilding such as Buffalo, Ana, Phi. 

    42.6% of all nhlers are first round picks.

    46.1% of the rest are 2nd plus rounders and 11.3% are undrafted. Very interesting stuff. Kind of shows how important those first rounders are.

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    On 10/17/2024 at 4:27 AM, hydguy75 said:

    They say the best defense is a strong offense.  In the Blues game, the Wild seemed to play assertively as a team.  The offense passed the puck a lot, maintaining zone possession, hence relieving some pressure off the defense.  They also only had 1 penalty in that game, which helps when you're not up against 5-4 or even 5-3.  The Wild are already playing 2 lesser players due to this crazy Parise-Suter contract buyouts (which I still don't understand if the NHL now banned these long contracts, why are they still counted against the Wild cap?), so every edge they can muster, is a benefit.  It was a good example of what they are capable of doing....now more consistency.  

    I think you may have that switched around. The best offense is a strong defense. It’s also been said that defense wins championships. It’s also been said that offense wins games but defense wins championships. I honestly think Edm lost last year because their defense played above how good they actually were. They seemed to hit a point were they couldn’t sustain that anymore.

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    22 hours ago, B1GKappa97 said:

    Slow start? They haven't lost in regulation and have points from every game!! 

    If we kept that up all season we'd probably win the presidents trophy rofl. 

    Winning the presidents trophy doesn’t mean much. Only 8 out of the last 36 teams that have won the presidents trophy have gone on to win the Cup. Last time was the blackhawks in 12-13. We are far from that team. Regular season doesn’t mean a whole lot, how we play in the playoffs means everything.

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    Thanksgiving is the first benchmark. Let's see what the teams and standings look like then. MN has not had a total cupcake-schedule so far. They are getting some goals and good goaltending. 

    CBJ has been pretty okay so far. Should be a good game coming up. 

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    5 hours ago, Protec said:

    Thanksgiving is the first benchmark. Let's see what the teams and standings look like then. MN has not had a total cupcake-schedule so far. They are getting some goals and good goaltending. 

    CBJ has been pretty okay so far. Should be a good game coming up. 

    Columbus has been a surprise so far. 

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