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  • Minnesota's Best Trade Options Aren't the Ones You'd Expect


    Image courtesy of Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images
    Justin Hein

    The Minnesota Wild have come out of the gates cold. 

    Their five-on-five performance has been dreadful, whether measured by results or underlying metrics. 

    On the Wilderness Talk Podcast, I identified two main culprits for Minnesota’s inept five-on-five play: young defensemen and a thin forward group. 

    Zeev Buium and David Jiricek should improve as the season goes on, but the forward corps is more troubling. Specifically, the second line has not been competitive. Mats Zuccarello’s absence certainly plays a factor, but he could be out until early November. 

    Although Zuccarello’s reported injury timeline isn’t precise, it puts him on track to return around November 10. By that time, Minnesota will be at the 17-game mark -- just over a fifth of the season.  

    Even if the Wild rebound to a stronger pace after Zuccarello’s return, those 17 games could place them on the outside of the playoff picture if they continue at this pace. 

    On top of that, the load-bearing pillar of Minnesota’s projected return to form is a 38-year-old coming off a two-month lower-body injury. With all due respect to Zuccarello, that’s a major risk. 

    An early-season trade is not out of the question. Minnesota’s roster needs forward help. And, if they wait until the trade deadline, they may find they need to add more than one piece. Let’s evaluate some trade options with moderate salary cap hits for the 2025-26 season. 

    NHL insider Chris Johnston recently reported a robust list of trade targets in The Athletic

    Before we dive into that list, what should the Wild seek in a new forward? 

    First, they’re likely seeking a winger. Marcus Johansson and Marcus Foligno have looked out of place on the second line, but Marco Rossi and Joel Eriksson Ek seem effective as Minnesota’s one-two punch at center. Assuming they bring in a winger, they need a player who drives play at five-on-five and on both sides of the ice. 

    High-quality shooting probably isn’t on the list, since it’s one of the most expensive “tools” to acquire, and because Minnesota already has finishers in the top six. Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, Vladimir Tarasenko, and Zuccarello (when he returns) are all talented finishers on the wing. 

    Lastly, Guerin must bring in a true second-line quality winger. Between Johansson and Tarasenko, it’s clear that middle-six quality forwards are miscast on the Wild’s second line. It’s time to stop asking the second-line center to drag those types of players to a second-line level and get some real help on the wing. 

    Bryan Rust -- Wing, PIT, $5.1 MM Cap Hit 

    Hey, is this that Russian guy on the Penguins? I heard he wants to play here because he’s Russian, like Kaprizov. 

    Sorry, that’s Evgeni Malkin

    At first, Rust seems like an immediate solution to Minnesota’s needs. His cap hit is modest, so the Wild could bring in other pieces at the deadline alongside Rust. By Dom Luszczyszyn’s analytical model, Rust is a top-six quality forward who drives scoring chances and can finish his chances to boot. 

    Bryan Rust Athletic card 2024-25.png

    However, let’s remember what drives Minnesota’s five-on-five issues. Not only are they fighting to generate offense, but they rank 21st in expected goals against per minute (xGA/60). Struggles on the breakout aren’t surprising, given that the Wild are breaking in two new defensemen.

    Adding Rust to the equation might offset all of those offensive impacts he brings. 
    On top of that, Rust is 33 and signed through 2027-28 -- his age-36 season. Between that and his defensive issues, it’s probably best to keep looking. 

    Rickard Rakell -- Wing, PIT, $5 MM AAV*

    *After publish time, the Penguins announced Rakell will miss 6-8 weeks with a hand injury.

    Two Penguins and I didn’t even make up a half-baked trade for Sidney Crosby. Never let it be said this blog is without integrity. 

    Rakell is precisely the type of player Minnesota needs in its top-six. He’s cheap, he drives play, and he can contribute on offense. 

    Rickard Rakell  Athletic card 2024-25.png

    Rakell is cheaper than he should be, likely due to his age and injury history. While it’s difficult to pin down NHL injury histories, Rakell suffered an ankle injury in 2018 that kept him out for 13 games. 

    He’s also had recent issues with head injuries, which is certainly a concern to recur once a history starts to develop. One suspected concussion in March 2021 kept him out four games, and another reported by The Athletic in May 2022 kept him out five playoff games. 

    However, Rakell has been relatively healthy since then. He played 82 games in 2022-23, 70 in 2023-24, and 81 in 2024-25. It’s rare to see any NHL player miss no time over a three-season span, so this is an encouraging recent history. Rakell’s low cap hit should largely offset any concussion concerns. 

    On top of that, Rakell is under control through 2027-28 (his age-34 season) at that cap number with only an 8-team no-trade list. That provides Minnesota with an option to keep him in the top-6 long-term or trade him if necessary in the later years of his deal. 

    Alex Tuch -- Wing, BUF, $4.8 MM AAV

    Hey, is this that guy from Buffalo that everybody keeps talking about, even though reputable NHL reporters continue to point out that the Sabers have no interest in letting him go? 

    No, that’s franchise cornerstone Tage Thompson. Tuch, on the other hand, is exactly the type of player who usually heads out during a rebuild. His contract expires at the end of this season, he’s about to get paid, and he’s exiting his prime. 

    Tuch has many similarities to Rakell. He’s another player who’s overqualified for the role Minnesota needs to fill, but he’d likely be a one-year rental. 

    Alex Tuch  Athletic card 2024-25.png

    Tuch’s Achilles heel seems to be his defensive style. While he's capable of matching up with the world’s best every night, his defensive results are mediocre in that role, and he takes a lot of penalties. 

    For reference, Tuch had 47 PIM last year and three fights, for an average of 16 penalties per 82 games. If all five skaters kept up Tuch’s per-minute penalty pace over a 60-minute game, they would take 249 penalties per season. That would have ranked fourth-worst in the NHL last season. 

    That’s especially troubling for a winger, who has fewer responsibilities in defensive transition, defensive zone corners, and at the defensive netfront. Three places where players are most likely to get into a compromised position and take a penalty. The Wild could mitigate this problem by sheltering his role compared to his current assignments in Buffalo. 

    While Tuch’s penalty kill numbers would be a great fit on the Wild, he can’t kill off his own penalties. Despite that weakness, Tuch would be a versatile piece who can kill penalties and play a shutdown role or serve as a top-six weapon. 

    JG Pageau -- Center, NYI, $5 MM AAV

    Hey, is this that guy from New York? I heard he wants to play here because he’s Russian, like Kaprizov. 

    Sorry, that’s Artemi Panarin, who plays for the Rangers. Pageau is a bit boring by comparison, but he’s another great fit for Minnesota’s needs. 

    JG Pageau  Athletic card 2024-25.png

    Pageau is a bit of an odd fit with the Wild as a center on a team that needs help at wing, but he checks the initial boxes of driving play and performing at a true second-line level. 

    His faceoff performance last year was also exceptional, with a 59.6% win rate. While that may have been sheltered a bit behind elite lefty Bo Horvat, Pageau took more faceoffs than any right-handed player on the Islanders last year. 

    Adding Pageau at center would allow the Wild to bump Danila Yurov to the wing when Pageau fills out the bottom-six centers. They could also experiment with moving Pageau to the wing as a play-driving second-liner. 

    With his $5 million cap hit, Pageau likely makes sense as one of two or three smaller trade deadline additions, which brings me to my final point: Minnesota may be best suited to acquiring more than one player at the deadline in a smaller trade, rather than trading for one major player such as Panarin. 

    Adding Panarin and Zuccarello would make for an impressive top-six, but it does little to fill out Minnesota’s depth. On the other hand, adding two of Pagueau, Tuch, and Rakell has the makings of a dynamic top-nine forward corps upon Zuccarello’s return. By acquiring two play-driving forwards, the Wild can put Tarasenko and Zuccarello on separate, self-sustaining lines. 

    Compare that to a roster that only adds Panarin. Kaprizov, Boldy, and Panarin will make an effective top-six when centered by Eriksson Ek and Rossi. However, one of Tarasenko or Zuccarello would be left orphaned in a bottom-six group that doesn’t have much punch. 

    Supplementing that bottom six with an extra second-line forward should be sufficient, given what Kaprizov and Boldy were able to do against the Vegas Golden Knights in the 2025 playoffs. It also more closely matches the Florida Panthers’ roster strategy of an effective top line but dynamite depth. 

    FL Panthers 2025-26 Cap Sheet - The Athletic.png

    Perhaps more importantly, a souped-up third-line scoring role led to the best hockey Tarasenko has played in the past three seasons. 

    However, to enact that strategy, Minnesota still needs to accrue enough cap space to afford more than one player. Right now, their five-on-five game is lacking all over the ice. Without positive regression coming soon, they may not be able to wait until March 6. The problem is that if they acquire one of these contracts before the trade deadline, they won’t accrue enough cap space to fit another addition. 

    Minnesota has options at the trade deadline. The question now is how soon they have to push that button. 

     

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    I think last year’s hot out of the gate wild was more mirage than trend. Let’s remember they were coming off their first season with hi NZ and they miss the playoffs so when they started the season last year after a full Heinze’s first full camp, they were stinging with embarrassment of missing the playoffs so we were getting peak journeyman core at the beginning of last season, they squeaked into the playoffs and the rest of history I think what we’re seeing this season is more trend than Mirage. The journeyman are all one year older slower, less motivated and that’s what we’re watching now. 

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    I’d vote for playing the kids and letting them learn this year alongside the journeyman and chalking up this season to learning. The kids are Zibo, jiri, yurov, ogz, Haight, Lambos and bankier.  This would be a more fun season for this fan to watch and more productive in terms of wild future development than sliding sideways for 70 more games watching Nojo do button hooks at the blue line and Sanko looking lost and tired.

    Edited by Pewterschmidt
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    Just now, Pewterschmidt said:

    Anyone of the old core not named Boldy or 97 are tradable.  Goalies included.  Time to earn that paycheck (and title) bill. 

    Since Rossi is only player with no trade protection I’ll predict bill trades him and 2-3 prospects for a 32 yr old fwd.   

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    The Wild from the third period looked like high quality hockey players.  The problem is they either can't or won't play to that standard all the time, or even half the time.  Players like Vlad are doing it 0% of the time.

    The Wild would also be well served to get younger, not prop up the team with 32-33 year old replacements of 38 year olds.  Just add by subtraction for now.

    Players you can't move: Kap, Boldy, Rossi, Buium, Faber, Wally, Gus.

    Players You SHOULDN'T move unless you have a slam dunk deal: Yurov, Jiricek, Ohgren (Jiricek and Ohgren are struggling, but they have years to make up ground).

    Everyone else, even Ek, Brodin, and Spurgeon, should be looked at as trade bait.  The team is all out of sync, and I want to give them the benefit of the doubt.  But 10 games in is telling me something in this team is just lost.  2-3 types of players are reading from 2-3 types of pages and are getting beaten by everyone.

    Pick a lane: Choose your hard like the 3rd period or choose to play somewhere else.

    There IS talent and drive peaking out.  But getting scorched by a team with no defense tells me this "vaunted" defense first team is a mirage.

     

     

     

     

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    Memo to interns at Wild org: After reading athletic article re bill’s huddle with captain’s BEFORE Utah game, you should work from home today.  bill is going to be painting some back porches red in the office today

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    55 minutes ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    Ugh these would ve trading our young prospects for another journeyman. No thanks.  Let’s wait for a home run mega trade later in year

    I like the home run idea because they just are so lacking in elite skill.  They have a ton of mid-grade players.  Hein's suggestion of adding two upper mid-grade is the kind of move they have been making for years, and you are supposed to be hoping your youth of Yurov or Ogie or Haight can offer that kind of play.  

    If you trust nobody in your system to be equal or better in the near future to a 30+ year old $5 million player, then what the hell have you been doing in you drafting and development?  

    Boldy and Kap, and pretty much Faber and Buium came ready to play in the NHL.  Their farm system has done jack sh*t for the last decade to prepare anybody or they have drafted players who had low ceilings.  Maybe both.

    And let your young guys play a bit and make a couple mistakes before total banishment.  It is REALLY frustrating to watch playoff highlights of other teams that all seem to have our former players playing well in the playoffs.

     

    Edited by Dis-allowed display name
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    1 hour ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    Ugh these would ve trading our young prospects for another journeyman. No thanks.  Let’s wait for a home run mega trade later in year

    Yep. And if things don't go well OCL won't have any choice but to rebuild.

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    Idk, should they even make a trade?

    Right now its looking like we're gonna have a top-5 pick!! 

    Idk what the fix is. This team has had opportunities to turn at least a couple of these Ls into Ws and is just consistently failing to deliver in those moments. 

    Edited by B1GKappa97
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    I would love to have Tuch back, but he will be way too expensive in the trade market and then as a UFA next summer.  BUF does NOT want Rossi (didn't draft), Ohgren!  They didn't want them for Cozens, or Peterka, and they don't want them for Tuch, nor Thompson. 

    PIT and NYI journeyman, hard pass!!  BG needs to make a bold move at some point, either mid season or next offseason, because this team is just not good enough to keep tinkering around the edges.  Our defense is supposed to be our stabilizer, but they've looked terrible beyond our two rookies, Midsy needs to stay out of the box.

    If the Wild could finally get a #1 pick as a result of a garbage season this year, that would be best case scenario, but let's face it we're Minnesota, it'll never happen!  Arizona/Phoenix were a last place dumpster fire for two decades and somehow never "won" a first overall pick...

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    11 minutes ago, B1GKappa97 said:

    Idk, should they even make a trade?

    Right now its looking like we're gonna have a top-5 pick!! 

     

    If you can get a young star in the making with years left on his contract on a deadline deal I would take it.   They can't seem to develop anybody, and use 1st round picks on third line centers like Stramel.  

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    The Wild of the 3rd period showed a bit of what the team might be capable of if it plays hard all night. If they cannot string together a few wins in this home stand, this could be a long season.

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    We used to pride ourselves on keeping shots on the outside.  Defenders need to stay goal side.  Do that and maybe we can lower that 3.9 GA average that we are giving up.  Ugh ... that is high.

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    20 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    If they cannot string together a few wins in this home stand, this could be a long season

    Very true but they need help at Center position and not a winger

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    I like the idea of acquiring Tuch and resigning him. The rest, I'll just simply pass on. I'd consider trying to trade for guys taken high in the '20-22 drafts and let that age group be the core of the team. 

    But, you've got to play them even though they may not be fully ready. Rarely does a guy come into the league ready to set it on fire. There are growing pains and we're seeing that now. But, that does not explain what has happened to the vets.

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    4 minutes ago, goenzoy said:

    Very true but they need help at Center position and not a winger

    I would say just the opposite.  Foligno, Senko, Ben, Pitlick, Trenin, Nojo, Vinnie have not moved the needle much at all.

    Rossi, Ek, Yurov, Hartman have been the bright spots amoung our forwards.

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    If (and big if) you get a shot at a better center, go ahead and take it.  But the team is showing it has talent gaps everywhere.  More than anything else, improving team speed would be nice.  Not in the "Mojo/Khusnutdinov/Lauko I'm fast but that's it" category, but there are bound to be young players that have speed and skill to spare.  The Foligno/Trenin/etc players are nice to have, but too many leads to a glut of false ,"grit.".

    Kinda like a versatile Hartman, but younger and more dynamic.

    Not really sure teams would give up those pesky types though.

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    16 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    I would say just the opposite.  Foligno, Senko, Ben, Pitlick, Trenin, Nojo, Vinnie have not moved the needle much at all.

     

    Haight made the team with a strong camp!  Oghren going to get some playing time!

     

    A few moments later....

    Jones and Pitlick up, Ohgren and Haight down.

    Way to let them build some confidence!  Give your young guys the self esteem beatdown every chance you get to throw some nobodys into the lineup.    Oh they made some mistakes did they?  Maybe were not giving the right intensity?  Maybe because if they blink they get sent down.  Their approach to youth and inexperience is fear, the press box, and demotion at a change of wind direction.  

    That is why we will have Nojo until 2030.

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