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  • How NHL-Ready Is Jesper Wallstedt?


    Image courtesy of Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
    Brendan Johnson

     

    On Saturday night, the Minnesota Wild lost to the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, which seems to me to be the proverbial “last nail in the coffin” of a tough season. According to NHL.com, the Wild have a 7.6 percent chance of making the postseason after that game. It Isn’t impossible, but it is doubtful.  

    Still, Minnesota’s season has had plenty of reasons for the fans to be proud and excited about looking toward the future.  

    Brock Faber is making the Kevin Fiala trade look like a bargain. Faber is a young, dependable defenseman who plays both ends of the rink with Cale Makar’s confidence. He displayed offensive skills rarely seen from a rookie, especially on the power play. Along with Kirill Kaprizov's progress, he was essentially trying to drag the Wild into the playoffs. 

    “Krill the Thrill'' didn't just awe fans with a lethal shot or mind-blowing moves that have almost become routine. He’s showing his authentic leadership, which this team desperately needs since they bought out Zach Parise and Ryan Suter. He’s become the closest thing Minnesota has had to a bona fide superstar and face of the franchise since Marian Gaborik.  

    Kirill is vital to the franchise’s future, mainly to Minnesota’s development of a potential overtime-ending line. Last week, a reader called it the Russianov line with Marat Khusdinov at center, Danilia Yurov at right wing, Vladislav Firstov at left wing, and Kaprizov – the pilot of this lethal Russian MiG.  

    Those are two of the most important developments this season, but I have been watching and analyzing Jesper Wallstedt, another essential player critical to this club's future success. Wallstedt, 22, is a 6-foot-3, 214 lbs. Swede, who the Wild selected with the 20th pick in the 2021 draft. He has had another great year in Des Moines. 

    Analyzing the future Wild netminder was a privilege as I played the same position in high school while holding the utmost respect for all who assume the role. Wallstedt has competed in 42 games this season, posting a 2.65 goals against average and a .912 save percentage with a 21-18-3 record while posting 2 shutouts. He’s also playing on a lousy team. Zane McIntyre has been Iowa’s other primary netminder – Hunter Jones has played 1 game and Peyton Jones 2 – and Iowa is 3-16-3 when Jesper isn’t in goal.  

    Wallstedt is a big-bodied young man potentially developing into a top-10 goalie. He’s confident in the net, not allowing himself to get shaken up when opposing shooters beat him. He stays back on the net, telling me a couple of things about what's happening in his head. First, he is confident in his quickness. The speed of the game magnifies the adjustment between each level.

    A goalie who comes out of their crease cuts down the angle on the puck carrier, trying to pressure the shooter while appearing to cover most of the net. Wallstedt’s big frame and explosive quickness allow him to be as effective as he has been in the last two seasons. He has the confidence of a player who is comfortable with his progress. 

    Wallstedt plays the position knowing and trusting his body and abilities. That’s why opponents seldom beat him on the first opportunity. He tracks and reads plays like he’s been playing at this level for over 80 games. Since joining Iowa, Wallstedt has posted a 2.67 goals against average, a .908 save percentage, and a 38-33 record with 3 shutouts (while on an absolutely awful team).

    People have asked me why the Wild didn’t call Wallstedt up this season. The Wild could have made the playoffs with him in net. Marc-Andre Fleury is 49-30 with a 2.84 GAA and a .905 Save% since Minnesota acquired him, plus his name is already on the Stanley Cup multiple times. 

    However, knocking a player's confidence down quicker than you can build it up is easier. Remember that the physical aspect of being an athlete at this level is the easier part. But most players lack the mental aspect. Many players reach the highest level in their careers if they have the will, dedication, and support. At a certain point, performing while staying healthy and happy at a high level becomes more of a mental game. 

    It’s the difference between being fast and knowing you’re fast. It's tough to be a goaltender. We can be the most crucial variable in a game or series, the determining factor in the outcome. It's hard to win a game if you can't score a goal. Jesper possesses that ability.

    While Fleury's future is uncertain, we should hope he mentors Wallstedt. If he could shoulder 20 to 30% of the starts next season while mentoring, it would help enormously to make the jump to the NHL next season. Fans should be excited about Wallstedt and his future with the organization because he is a winner. How can I be so sure? He hasn’t had a losing record since he was 14 years old. He still posted a 2.33 GAA with a .925 Save% during that year.  

     

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    What happens to Gus if they keep MAF to mentor the Wall? 

    If MAF is only playing 30% of the game, that means Wallstedt is getting the other 70%. That seems like a lot to give a guy just getting his first taste of the NHL while we will undoubtedly be trying to make a playoff push. 

    Depending on what MAF is looking for on his next contract, could we see him resigned and the Wall get another portion of the year down in the A? I can't imagine there will be too many takers for Gustavsson after his terrible year. At this point, he has just 1 good year to his name and it came behind a pretty good blueline ahead of him.. and then fell apart in the playoffs. 

    If they move him, it'll be a sell-low kind of trade.. 

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    I think they should take a mulligan on the year and bolster the people in front of them first.  Fleury and Gus can still steal games or play reasonably well if the structure is intact.  I feel the amount of 4-6 goal games sure went down midway through the season.  I definitely think the super ugly start played a role in things.  I think Gus is safe, and Fleury's ruler of his destiny.

    Wallstedt isn't going anywhere.  Maybe having him play under more experienced AHL players wouldn't hurt.  The NHL D is too chaotic right now to bring in a new guy.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    Great article. I’m for keeping Gus and bringing JW up next year. Use the $3M savings for a defensive upgrade. Hopefully he gets a few starts this year as well. I’d like to get your opinion on Gus as well!!

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    Looking at the standings, the Wild are 6 points behind the Kings, but would only be 5 points back if they didn't give up their OT point, and they face the Kings again in the last few games. The Kings already have the tiebreaker, so that 1 point makes the odds quite a bit worse for the Wild to make the playoffs.

    Wild were desperate against Nashville, who has a very strong OT & SO record. Don't think pulling the goalie against Vegas was the right move. Makes sense to pull a goalie in regulation because you are going to get zero points if you don't score, but giving up a standings point vs. Vegas all but sealed their fate. They could have won in OT or the shootout without pulling the goalie.

    Vegas wasn't far above .500 in bonus hockey while Nashville was 8-1 other than the game against the Wild, so that move was a much better option.

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    8 hours ago, greg said:

    I love Fleury but it's time to move on.  Don't resign him, save that money and upgrade elsewhere.  

    Fluery is one of Billy's boys. If Fluery wants to stay he will stay and Fluery has already indicated it's here or retirement. Don't be surprised if you see him get more than a one year deal. So Fluery stays simply because he wants to regardless of it's the best thing for the team.  But yet somehow they are thinking of moving Rossi? Makes perfect sense! 

     

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    Great comment, probably the smart move. Highly doubt it happens. :classic_laugh:

    I think a 1-year 2.5M deal is incoming for MAF. He's been really good. His style isn't a problem with me. If the defense was really good, the Wild's goaltending would be fine. 

    I would have traded Gus last off season since I've got Wallstedt in the on-deck circle for the next #1 after the cap penalties. It would have been risky to rely on MAF or rush Wally in. Therfore the deal to Gus with no trade protection makes him the odd-man out for me. I'd rather have my goalie of the future learn with MAF than lazy Gus. 

    What was Gus worth last Summer? What's he gonna be worth to another NHL team now? Personally, I like MAF better. Lazy Gus can get hot but this year was pretty ho-hum since the bar was raised.

     

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    19 minutes ago, MacGyver said:

    Fluery is one of Billy's boys. If Fluery wants to stay he will stay and Fluery has already indicated it's here or retirement. Don't be surprised if you see him get more than a one year deal. So Fluery stays simply because he wants to regardless of it's the best thing for the team.  But yet somehow they are thinking of moving Rossi? Makes perfect sense! 

     

    I don't think Guerin trusts soft Gus. The deal he signed him for makes him a nice tradeable asset. His cost isn't beans either. You could argue Stalock did as well as Gus did this season on a way less expensive contract.

    Guerin needs to look at the big picture and make some tough calls. It's almost time to say goodbye to buyout excuses and be ready to go. The old goalie precedent has been set, no need for examples. If MAF wants to play another year or two, I agree Billy will give him a contract. 

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    13 hours ago, greg said:

    I love Fleury but it's time to move on.  Don't resign him, save that money and upgrade elsewhere.  

    A month ago I would have agreed with you. I'd be OK with another year of the Flower and Gus to give Wally another year in the A.

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    Put me on the side of keeping Goose at least another year. I warned about resigning him for this much money and recommended about half of it. The pressure was too much for him, and I think he would have done better with half the salary and much less pressure. 

    That salary + the buyouts meant that we put a lot of stock in his abilities, and that he was the main re-signing of the season. Just handing him the #1 duties was a lot of pressure, giving him a larger than earned contract was too much. Confidence is such a big part in goalies and pressure added into confidence sometimes doesn't end well. 

    Giving him a shot at the #1 job was simply enough pressure. Build the salary once he has earned that spot. Last year was a really good result for him in 40 games. But, he needed to prove he could do it for 55 before being paid like a low level #1. Salary should always follow performance. 

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