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  • Don't Worry, Kirill Kaprizov Loves Minnesota!


    Image courtesy of Brace Hemmelgarn-Imagn Images
    Mikki Tuohy

    There is one thing that all Minnesota Wild fans can agree on: Kirill Kaprizov is the best player to come to Minnesota in the 25 years that this team has been in existence. It’s only natural that fans are worried he might jump ship because Minnesota sports teams haven’t had the best luck.

    But never fear! There is plenty of evidence that Kaprizov loves the Wild and the state of Minnesota and wants to stay for the long haul.

    First, let’s clarify something. There appears to be some confusion regarding the current status of Kapriozv’s contract. While it’s obviously important that the Wild re-sign Kaprizov, he still has a year left on his current contract.

    He's still a member of the Wild for the 2025-26 season, but because he’s on the last year of his contract, he has been eligible to sign a contract extension since July 1. So, when people complain about getting Kaprizov to sign, just know that this isn’t a Jason Robertson missing training camp because he doesn’t have a contract sort of thing.

    The fear of a star like Kaprizov leaving isn’t totally unfounded. There have been plenty of examples of promising athletes leaving smaller markets for larger ones. Artemi Panarin was itching to get to a larger, coastal city, passing through Chicago and Columbus on his way to the New York Rangers. There are many people who see the Russian connection and fear that Kaprizov will seek something similar. 

    However, Kaprizov didn’t grow up in Moscow. Instead, he's from a small village outside Novokuznetsk, a city that is only a quarter the size of the Twin Cities region. At his season-ending media availability, he said, “It’s easier because now I speak a little bit better English. It’s easy for me to talk with the boys. I feel more comfy, every year more and more. It’s like my home, my second home.” 

    Maybe I’m just too rose-colored glasses, but this doesn’t sound like a man who is actively trying to leave Minnesota. English may be his second language, but surely there would be different ways to answer this question if he were truly looking for an exit plan.

    The Wild have been slowly surrounding Kaprizov with more Russian players to help him feel more comfortable. And during this off-season, he was the key to talking Vladimir Tarasenko into waiving his no-trade clause to come to Minnesota. Kaprizov seems happy to help build a winning team through his own skills and his personal connections. If he was not all-in with Minnesota, he most likely wouldn’t risk his professional image to convince other players to sign here. 

    A quick scroll through his Instagram page shows his love for the great outdoors, something that is easy to find in Minnesota. In fact, when Kaprizov won the Calder Trophy for the best rookie in the league in 2021, he was on a fishing trip in Siberia without internet. What better place in the United States could there be for a nature-loving, Siberian boy?

    No one can predict the future, but Kaprizov clearly stated that he considers Minnesota his home. As a hockey player who lives and breathes hockey with the mentality of a fourth-line, team-playing grinder, there is no better place for him to be than the State of Hockey.

    Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

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    2 hours ago, Burnt Toast said:

    Jumping off of the “Highest paid player in the N” at 15% of the cap (A. M. Toronto $) KK comes in at $15.6M for the 2026 season. I know KK is not a center but his value to the Wild at this point in their development is critical. He is the cornerstone of the franchise and SC window. If his number comes in at $13M or lower he’s choosing to leave $ on the table. 

    And if you are willing to compare and pay KK as a center, then your value to the Wild is based more on marketability and getting people to the game than it is about the product/results on the ice.

    KK is the best player on the Wild, that is obvious and I won't argue that. But he is not worth the same size contract as McDavid, Matthews, Mac, Barkov, etc. If he gets a contract worth more than 14% of the salary cap, it essentially solidifies that the Wild won't be cup contenders. Centers are far more important to team success and that cap hit would leave the wild searching for an affordable/cheap 1C. Hard to win a cup without a clearcut 1C.

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    2 minutes ago, Kato AK said:

    Hard to win a cup without a clearcut 1C.

    Which leads to this year’s trade deadline. Keep Kap, shoehorn in the best Center available. Money and cap space shouldn’t be an issue this year. Yes a premium of assets would be going the other way, let’s call them “The Expendables.” A decision on timing is going to be important and a lot of things need to go right if this is going to be “the year.” I’m ok with waiting a couple more years for the ELC guys to develop, but I think Wild Management will move quickly and aggressively if someone becomes available. 

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    9 hours ago, Scalptrash said:

    It all depends on what is more important to him, his name on the cup or lifelong financial security. If he re-signs with the Wild, he can only have the latter. If he were to leave, he could potentially have both. The problem is, and McDavid is contemplating this right now, if the team overspends on one or two players, chances are they can't build a real contender.

    If Kaprizov re-signs, I'm guessing 2-3 years. A prove it deal with the onus on Wild management. He would also get more money next time, after the large cap increases.

    Wouldn't he be able to have the guarantees of financial security by keeping the NMC for 4 years, yet, also be able to move on with a 10 team trade list and the possibility of the Wild retaining money? If Kaprizov went to Guerin after 5 more seasons and asked to be sent to a true contender, I think Guerin would oblige especially if it was kept confidential. 

    In reading between the lines in the last paragraph, it sounds like you are one who thinks the cap increases will keep coming such as in the NFL. Is this accurate? 

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    2 hours ago, Kato AK said:

    And if you are willing to compare and pay KK as a center, then your value to the Wild is based more on marketability and getting people to the game than it is about the product/results on the ice.

    KK is the best player on the Wild, that is obvious and I won't argue that. But he is not worth the same size contract as McDavid, Matthews, Mac, Barkov, etc. If he gets a contract worth more than 14% of the salary cap, it essentially solidifies that the Wild won't be cup contenders. Centers are far more important to team success and that cap hit would leave the wild searching for an affordable/cheap 1C. Hard to win a cup without a clearcut 1C.

    Kato, do you see anyone on the roster/prospect pool who could fill the role of #1C effectively? #1C by definition is one of the top 32 Cs in the game. But are you looking more at the top 10? Top 15 in this comment?

    If there are player's who could potentially get there, their salary is a long way off. Could you pay Kaprizov, have the cap ceiling move up, and take care of the center later?

    I believe that Ek and Rossi can take on the role of top line centers effectively. Ek's looks more like Toews or Kopitar. He doesn't, necessarily, put up numbers, but he also is a good defender and he likely is up in that top 32 when considering +/- or whatever analytical stat that measures this. 

    Rossi can put up points and is also defensive, but I do think he is more of a complimentary piece at this point in time than a driving piece. Perhaps he can grow into a driving piece? At $5m, he's a good bargain if he improves much. You'd be looking at paying him 3 years out, though, where the cap ceiling has already reach $113.5m. 

    After that, I believe we will get 1 more year of cap catch up, and then the increases will begin to level off in $2-4m increases. At this point, Kaprizov is still somewhere around 14% of the cap, but 1 more big cap increase to around $123m puts him at 13% which I think could be doable. By the end of the deal he'd be down to around 11% with $4m increases. 

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    2 hours ago, Burnt Toast said:

    Which leads to this year’s trade deadline. Keep Kap, shoehorn in the best Center available. Money and cap space shouldn’t be an issue this year. Yes a premium of assets would be going the other way, let’s call them “The Expendables.” A decision on timing is going to be important and a lot of things need to go right if this is going to be “the year.” I’m ok with waiting a couple more years for the ELC guys to develop, but I think Wild Management will move quickly and aggressively if someone becomes available.

    While I like to think of TDL in January since we have a few extra bucks, do you have any targets of who this could be?

    I don't just like throwing out names who are the best centers, but I think we're looking for who could be the best center fit for this team. And, of course I am open to having The Wall, Buium, and Yurov all competing for the Calder at the same time! Who knows, maybe we don't even need that guy?

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    32 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    In reading between the lines in the last paragraph, it sounds like you are one who thinks the cap increases will keep coming such as in the NFL. Is this accurate? 

    Yes, it typically goes up every year, but it stopped because of covid for a while. They are increasing it fairly dramatically over the next three years.

    "The NHL and NHLPA also announced that team payroll ranges for the next three seasons would be an Upper Limit of $95.5 million and a Lower Limit of $70.6 million next season; an Upper Limit of $104 million and a Lower Limit of $76.9 million in 2026-27 and an Upper Limit of $113.5 million in 2027-28 with a Lower Limit of $83.9 million."

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    1 minute ago, Scalptrash said:

    Yes, it typically goes up every year, but it stopped because of covid for a while. They are increasing it fairly dramatically over the next three years

    I was thinking beyond the next 3 years. No official projection has been released on that. Although, I do think the GMs and owners have a feel for what's coming. If Guerin comes in high on Kaprizov, my guess is that he sees the cap going up more quickly than I do. 

    I think we hit something around $123m in '28-29 and then it levels off after that. So my question is, do you feel like it will keep going up beyond this at the $8-10m clips or do you see a leveling off?

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    On 9/1/2025 at 10:42 AM, Citizen Strife said:

    That is a shit ton of money, worth it or not.  He says no, you figure out any trade fast.

    Send him to Nashville or Philadelphia: $hitty teams in the East that'll get us high draft picks.

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    2 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    do you have any targets of who this could be?

    Not really any realistic targets right now and therein lies the problem. Citizen Strife has mentioned  this also. It’s hard to find available players willing to take a chance on moving to a team that historically hasn’t been able to deliver. The latest are the Brocks. My hope is someone like Dylan Larkin would see the Wild as a better option than the Red Wings. He’s their cornerstone player and at under $9M AAV he’s extremely appealing. He’d demand a lot of MN assets moving to Detroit. You never know, who would have guessed Rant would end up playing for the Stars? Maybe once KK is signed he has the pull to get another elite player willing to take a shot with MN. I also think agents play a big role on where players end up. Wyatt J. & Rant signed big contracts within a week of each other and they have the same agent. 

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    15 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I was thinking beyond the next 3 years. No official projection has been released on that. Although, I do think the GMs and owners have a feel for what's coming. If Guerin comes in high on Kaprizov, my guess is that he sees the cap going up more quickly than I do. 

    I think we hit something around $123m in '28-29 and then it levels off after that. So my question is, do you feel like it will keep going up beyond this at the $8-10m clips or do you see a leveling off?

    There is no way they can sustain that pace, $10M/year is crazy! They would have to double ticket prices. Expansion is coming soon as well.

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    45 minutes ago, Scalptrash said:

    There is no way they can sustain that pace, $10M/year is crazy! They would have to double ticket prices. Expansion is coming soon as well.

    It's really hard to say, but I believe the rate of increase is based on the revenue that the league is generating.  The fact that it is jumping what it is and it's planned to do so over the next few years says a lot about the league's revenue stream.  It's likely that most of that money is already being made by the league now and the rest are part of deals that have already been made for broadcasting, apparel, etc.  With all the money they are getting from increased advertisement presence and sports betting, it wouldn't be a surprise.

    Going up by what it is doesn't necessarily translate to a steep increase in ticket prices unless the league feels that people will pay it.  Going up some may happen.  Doubling the cost quickly would likely lose the league a lot more revenue than raising the cost a little. 

    The same can be said about raising the salary cap.  The league can't just immediately raise the cap $30M or it would cause a problem, but the fact that is already known means they already know what they are making.

    I do think it slows a bit as the cap gets into the $120Ms.

    I also think further expansion would be bad for the league.  It might be good for league/owner profits, but I feel it would be bad for the teams/fans.

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    18 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Kato, do you see anyone on the roster/prospect pool who could fill the role of #1C effectively? #1C by definition is one of the top 32 Cs in the game. But are you looking more at the top 10? Top 15 in this comment?

    If there are player's who could potentially get there, their salary is a long way off. Could you pay Kaprizov, have the cap ceiling move up, and take care of the center later?

    For me, for a player to be considered a 1C, they should be close to a PPG player, be responsible defensively (not necessarily shut down) and have some physicality to their game. Both Ek and Rossi have the potential to get to those levels, but I think Ek's production will hold him back and Rossi's size will hold him back.

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    5 hours ago, Kato AK said:

    For me, for a player to be considered a 1C, they should be close to a PPG player, be responsible defensively (not necessarily shut down) and have some physicality to their game.

    This is, essentially, the top 20 centers in the league. 10 centers hit the 80 mark (some are listed as centers but play wing like Guentzel). I included Draisaitl since he does play a good deal of center. 

    That's a pretty select group. For instance, the 32nd center listed was Mikael Granlund at 66 points. I've got no problem putting Kopitar on the list, but he's at 67 points in 81 games. 

    Standards have been raised on this definition.

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