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  • Declan Chisholm Is Making Himself Impossible To Ignore


    Image courtesy of David Gonzales-Imagn Images
    Luke Sims

    I’m not an NHL coach, and that’s for a good reason. However, to me, there is no good reason that Declan Chisholm shouldn’t be skating every game for the Minnesota Wild. 

    The Wild acquired Chisholm on waivers from the Winnipeg Jets on January 29, 2024, more than halfway through last season. Chisholm was a standout offensive defender in the AHL but was a relatively unproven NHL player. There was no room for him in Winnipeg, and the Wild swooped in and got him off waivers. 

    Minnesota dealt with injuries on the blue line last season. Therefore, allowing the former fifth-round pick to see what he could do in a lost season made sense. The results were mixed, as the third-year defenseman from Bowmanville, Ont. recorded eight points in 29 games. 

    Chisholm had earned an NHL opportunity. However, with Minnesota’s D-core returning to full strength, could he crack the lineup with Zach Bogosian and Jon Merrill under contract?

    The answer to that question during the early parts of the season was no. 

    Chisholm was not touching a spot in the top four, with Spurgeon, Jonas Brodin, Brock Faber, and Jake Middleton holding it down. However, he got his shot to play when the Wild wanted to get him some time and sit Merrill down. Chisholm didn’t have a point in his first five games but had four points in six games while occasionally getting a look at the second power play for Minnesota. 

    In the 13 games he’s played, the 24-year-old has only four points and no goals. However, he’s been playing important minutes for the Wild, including on the top power play against the St. Louis Blues. 

    However, John Hynes’ decision to elevate Chisholm says more about Faber's errant play than it does about Chisholm. The Wild are demoting Faber and rewarding Chisholm by giving him a shot on the top power-play unit in St. Louis. While the power play didn’t produce a goal, it was buzzing and effective in the third period. That pressure led to positive momentum for the Wild in a huge road win. 

    The Wild has rewarded his play by placing increasing faith in him. With Brodin out against the Dallas Stars last week, Chisholm played 18:52 against Dallas in a top-four role with Spurgeon as his partner. 

    Chisholm has proven he can perform in the top four and play a more significant role when called upon. The Wild acquired Chisholm for free, and he only made $1 million last year, so they got fantastic value. 

    Statistically, Chisholm is in the bottom three group with Merrill and Bogosian. However, he’s proven he is better at moving the puck and defending. 

    Chisholm has a better GF% and GF/60 than Merrill and outranks him in nearly every other defensive metric. Chisholm ranks third on the team in CF%, CF/60, and xGF% while leading the team in xGA/60 with only 1.5. The Wild also aren’t sheltering him. Chisholm is second on the team in defensive zone start percentage (9.22%) behind Brodin (percentage). 

    Merrill and Bogosian have started the season playing better than last year. However, Chisholm’s physicality better suits Minnesota’s play style. 

    Bogosian is a load at 6-foot-3, 230 lbs., and Merrill is 6-foot-3. The veteran pair is bigger than Chisholm, who is 6-foot-1, 190 lbs. However, the Wild should play Chisholm over Bogosian and Merrill because of his puck-moving ability, offensive flair, and underlying metrics. 

    The Wild also have nothing to lose at this point from playing Chisholm. At 24, he doesn’t have as long of a development runway as younger prospects. Everyone knows what Bogison and Merrill are at this point in their careers. While their games will fluctuate, neither one will get drastically better. Chisholm still has the opportunity to prove he can be more than a bottom-pair defender. 

    It took him a bit to get into the lineup. However, Chisholm’s play demands that he never spends another second in the press box. 

    All stats and data via HockeyDB, Evolving Hockey, Money Puck, Cap Wages, and Natural Stat Trick unless otherwise noted.

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    Yeah, I agree. Winnipeg was foolish not to trade him but Minnesota capitalized.

    I think Merrill is the obvious guy to replace. Bogo has been alright and as a RHS there's good reason to say the six defensemen are locked in for next year. Hunt and Spurgeon will kinda be questions for next year as will Buium. Will the Wild have to do anything drastic, no I don't think so? Could they make a move to shuffle the deck and try to get Chisholm into a more prominent role?

    I think he's on a trajectory where if he stays with the Wild becomes Brodin's replacement. Buium is another left shot so it kinda becomes a question of how you wanna organize your defenders. Spurgeon for the first time last year was irrelevant. It looks like Guerin will be forced this off-season to make some tough calls on who to keep and who to trade for upgrades. A couple guys are gonna be history but between prospects and players like Rossi or Chisholm, who do you keep? Where do you fit them in? Do Yurov and Buium have a spot waiting for them that squeezes out another guy?

    I think Chisholm has staked claim to the 3rd pairing as it's guy. Buium or Bogo are the last man. Merrill will find another team we hope or could sign a 1M deal to be in reserve. I really think the smart thing is to move Spurgeon and upgrade the defense by adding size and reducing cost. I.e. improve depth with the money and players like Chisholm or Buium who are much less expensive. The nest 2-3 years are looking like a nice window, especially if Kaprizov can be extended. 

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    9 minutes ago, Protec said:

    I really think the smart thing is to move Spurgeon and upgrade the defense by adding size and reducing cost.

    Spurgeon is an awesome guy and teammate, as well as a quality player, so it will likely be hard for Guerin to want to choose this path, but it's possible he'll end up going that way to construct the best team he can put on the ice.

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    trade faber fat ass and rossi for matthews already! (once matthews is off IR)

    throw in Wally as the goalie saver for maple nation

    then play kap zuccy (once he heels up his ball) and matthews on line 1

    EK and Bolds and our favorite scapegoal on line 2

    Brilliant!

    image.png.444a406da27805c3edcd0709cd8d84d9.png

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    11 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    trade faber...and rossi for matthews already! (once matthews is off IR)

    throw in Wally as the goalie saver for maple nation

    13430715.gif

    First and foremost, that trade doesn't come close to being possible under the NHL salary cap rules. This master plan to trade less than $3M in salary cap for $13.25M in salary cap doesn't warrant further consideration.

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    39 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Spurgeon is an awesome guy and teammate, as well as a quality player, so it will likely be hard for Guerin to want to choose this path, but it's possible he'll end up going that way to construct the best team he can put on the ice.

    It would make the most sense.

    Assuming they don't re-sign Merrill and the other thing I think needs to happen is seeing how NHL-ready Buium is.  Hopefully Buium will sign on at the end of the season and we can evaluate that a bit.  If he looks good, then I think it's a foregone conclusion to move on from Spurgeon.

    Bogosian is someone I'm good with keeping considering we just don't have any other defenseman like him (size, willingness to body opposing teams, and RHS).

    I could see the defenseman being Faber, Brodin, Middleton, Chisholm, Buium, and a mix of Bogosian and hunt depending on who we were playing.  Again, that's if Chisholm continues to play well and if Buium looks the part as a NHL-caliber D.

    The main issues I have with losing Spurgeon (aside from his experience/hockey sense) is losing his RHS.

    The other thing is figuring out how we trade him.

    His salary is fairly large so just not any team is going to want to take that on.  The teams that could do it tend to be in the bottom half of the league and most are probably on his no-trade list. 

    We could sweeten the deal with higher picks or a decent prospect, but again, the teams that will value those most will be the rebuilding teams which are likely not to be an option. 

    This means we likely have to deal with some of the fringe playoff teams and (probably) will have to hold some of the cap hit from Spurgeon's contract.  It also means those teams may value picks and prospects less, so we would likely have to part with someone who is a NHL player too.  The most likely candidate out of what we have would probably be Rossi. 

    I wouldn't want to move him as a sweetener though, so it would be good to find a team who has a younger player at around Rossi's level who fits our needs more and maybe try to do Rossi and Spurgeon for an improvement on Rossi (if the team is insistent on finding someone else).  The problem with that is whether a team will be interested in two smaller stature players for their young up-and-comer. 

    Difficult to say.

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    4 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    13430715.gif

    First and foremost, that trade doesn't come close to being possible under the NHL salary cap rules. This master plan to trade less than $3M in salary cap for $13.25M in salary cap doesn't warrant further consideration.

    i didn't say the trade makes sense haha but i suppose we can make it work by gifting them Trenin!

    just thought of throwing out a crazy ideas

    feel free to do the same - it's friday 🙂

     

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    1 hour ago, raithis said:

    The other thing is figuring out how we trade him.

    His salary is fairly large so just not any team is going to want to take that on.

    And bro turns 35 in a week, is diminutive and is coming off major reconstructive surgery.  I gotta believe he's here til the end of that contract.

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    1 hour ago, OldDutchChip said:

    gifting them Trenin

    That's like shitting on someone's head and saying i just gifted you a hat.

    Russo posted that Trenin's 3rd in the NHL forwards (Foligno 2nd) in 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 min.  I guess I'll trust the science over my eye test.

    #lumberwagondrinkinggame

    Edited by Pewterschmidt
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