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  • Zeev Buium Pick Is A Marriage Of Wild Needs And Best Player Available

    Image courtesy of Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
    Tony Abbott

    By Tony Abbott -

    By far, the most popular person at the Draft is "Best Player Available." Ask a group of fans who their team should take, and it won't be long before ol' BPA's name starts coming up. And honestly, why shouldn't a fan not want their team to take Best Player Available? It's not like they're not going to find someone else that's better.

    Last year, the Minnesota Wild were roundly criticized for picking Charlie Stramel over Gabriel Perreault. Minnesota was trying to address an organizational need, prioritizing a big center over a smaller, slower winger. Still, the criticism only intensified after Perreault dominated at Boston College and Stramel struggled for minutes at Wisconsin. It led fans to beg this year for Minnesota to simply take "Best Player Available" in 2024.

    The Wild entered the 2024 NHL Draft needing a premier defenseman in their pipeline. They graduated Calder Trophy runner-up Brock Faber last year, but in the system, blueliners like Carson Lambos (Round 1, 2021), Ryan O'Rourke (Round 2, 2020), and Daemon Hunt (Round 3, 2020) have failed to launch. Luckily for Minnesota, the Wild were able to fill their biggest need and take the clear-cut Best Player Available in Zeev Buium.

    It's a pretty rare pairing to get outside of the top, top picks of the Draft, as there is rarely a bona-fide, slam-dunk Best Player Available outside of the very top of the draft. For example, on his 2024 Draft Board, Corey Pronman groups his prospects into tiers. Here's how many players there are per tier:

    Tier 1 (Elite NHL Player): 1
    Tier 2 (Elite/NHL All-Star Bubble): 1
    Tier 3 (NHL All-Star): 3
    Tier 4 (All-Star/Top-of-the-Lineup Bubble): 3
    Tier 5 (Top-of-the-Lineup Player): 3
    Tier 6 (Top/Middle-of-the-Lineup Bubble: 7
    Tier 7 (Middle-of-the-Lineup Player): 21
    Tier 8 (Projected NHLers): 34
    Tier 9 (Has a Chance): 56

    It thins out fast, and there's often little distinction between the player that's considered BPA, and the next guy. Sure, scouts number their lists, because when push comes to shove, you've got to take someone. But the guys who are obviously head-and-shoulders over the next player are gone early, because well... they're obviously better.

    For example, Buium (ranked No. 5 overall by Pronman, Tier 3), wasn't going to be available at pick No. 13 for the Wild. Had the Philadelphia Flyers "Stick and Pick"ed at 12th overall, or another team out-bid Minnesota's offer of a third-rounder to move up one spot, Buium would surely have been gone. At that point, the Wild would have (likely) decided to draft the BPA or do a slight reach for the next-best defenseman. Their trade ensured that didn't have to happen. Judd Brackett got His Guy.

    Pronman putting Buium No. 5 in the draft class was far from an outlier. Scott Wheeler at The Athletic ranked Buium No. 4. TSN's Bob McKenzie, who compiles NHL scouts' opinions to create his rankings every year, had Buium at No. 7 on his final draft list. McKenzie's colleague Craig Button had him fourth. Elite Prospects had him seventh. There were some outlets, such as Elite Prospects, that had Konsta Helenius (No. 14 overall, Buffalo Sabres) ranked above Buium, but in most people's opinions, Buium was the slam-dunk Best Player Available.

    And again, this Top-4-to-7 player in the draft not only fell to the Wild's range, but perfectly fits their needs. It goes beyond the fact that the Wild needed a defenseman, or a bona fide, top-pairing-caliber left-shot defenseman as a counterpart to the right-shot Faber. For all the talk about the Wild needing to add size to their blueline, the organization was completely devoid of the sheer levels of offensive upside Buium brings to the table.

    If the likes of Lambos, Hunt, O'Rourke, Jack Peart (Round 2, 2021), or David Spacek (Round 5, 2022) pan out, they'll be largely in the same mold. They can skate, they can defend, they can play two-way hockey, but they aren't flashy. Even Faber, who surprised the NHL by being strong on the power play as a rookie, doesn't have that elite level of skill and creativity. 

    You're going to hear a lot about Buium's hockey sense and offensive awareness, but that doesn't mean we should overlook his raw skill level. He can weave pucks through or around defenders with crazy moves, while showing enough puck control to place them right on his teammates' sticks. McKeen's Hockey rated him as the No. 4 Playmaker in the Draft and the No. 7 Best Puckhandler. Both of these lists include forwards, with him being behind only Macklin Celebrini (No. 1 overall), defenseman Zayne Parekh (No. 9), and Berkly Catton (No.8) on both lists.

    But then, dear readers, there is the hockey sense. Buium works the ice like a board game, concealing his intentions from his adversaries like he's playing Risk, building roads for the puck like he's playing Catan, and making his opponents pay like he's playing Monopoly. "His [skating] and deception have gone from a strength to a game-breaking (or darn near) quality," says Wheeler in his rankings. "His head is always on a swivel."

    As great as Buium is in the offensive zone, his puck-moving ability is perhaps every bit as rare and critical in the Wild system. While Jared Spurgeon, Jonas Brodin, and Faber have puck-moving chops, they don't get the sheer amount of clear, easy breakouts that Buium did at Denver last season. Exiting their own zone and entering the offensive zone tends to be a shortcoming for Minnesota, and Buium can fit nicely as the Wild's top puck-carrier in short order.

    Elite Prospects, who ranked Buium as the best transition defenseman in the draft (as well as the No. 4 offensive defenseman), goes into detail about his breakout game in their Draft Guide. "Buium scans ahead of each retrieval, plans his escape route in advance of collecting the puck, makes sure to draw in at least one forechecker, and then beats them with near-comical ease." His brain, feet, and hands work in concert to deliver something even better than the sum of their impressive parts.

    All of that is great, these are the kinds of skills Minnesota doesn't get picking in the mid-teens to late-20s in most drafts. On top of all of these great things, though, we have his production, which could not have been better for the freshman. Buium finished second on his team with 50 points (Florida Panthers forward prospect Jack Devine was first with 56), and 10th overall in NCAA scoring. 

    He was not just the top-scoring defenseman in the country this year (as a freshman!!!), but he also has the record for the most points of any draft-eligible defenseman, ever. Since 1977-78, that record was held by the University of Minnesota-Duluth's Curt Giles (49 points), who went on to have a long career with the Minnesota North Stars. In comes Buium, and a nearly 50-year-old record falls.

    So if he stacks up well against college defensemen from the high-flying, stand-up goalie 70s, how much farther ahead is he in front of recent draft-eligible NCAA defensemen? Let's take a look at the top players since 2000:

    1. ZEEV BUIUM, 2023-24: 11 goals, 50 points (42 GP)
    2. Artyom Levshunov, 2023-24: 9 goals, 35 points (38 GP)
    T-3. Quinn Hughes, 2017-18: 5 goals, 29 points (37 GP)
    T-3. A.J. Thelen, 2003-04: 11 goals, 29 points (41 GP)
    5. Adam Clendining, 2010-11: 5 goals, 26 points (39 GP)
    T-6. Zach Werenski, 2014-15: 9 goals, 25 points (35 GP)
    T-6. Charlie MacAvoy, 2015-16: 3 goals, 25 points (37 GP)
    8. Noah Hanifin, 2014-15: 5 goals, 23 points (37 GP)
    T-9. Owen Power, 2020-21: 3 goals, 16 points (26 GP)
    T-9. Cullen Eddy, 2006-07: 5 goals, 16 points (35 GP)

    The top of this list is chock-full of extremely impressive names. Even Thelen, who went on to be a bust for Minnesota, at least has a claim to being the most impressive bust in Wild history. But in all seriousness, topping 2024 No. 2 overall pick (and new Chicago Blackhawk) Levshunov, 2023-24 Norris Trophy winner Hughes, 2021 No. 1 overall pick Power, and high-end defensemen like Werenski, MacAvoy, and Hanifin, is attention-grabbing.

    So is being the most important player on a championship team as a freshman. According to Elite Prospects, Buium played the most all-situation minutes in the NCAA last year (coming out to 25 minutes and 50 seconds per game). He wasn't a power-play specialist, Denver threw him over the boards as much as he could handle, and it still wasn't too much.

    This includes 29:29 of ice time in the Frozen Four Final, where he held a Boston College lineup including first-round picks in Perreault, Will Smith, Cutter Gauthier, and Ryan Leonard to zero points. He also got the assist on Wild prospect Rieger Lorenz' 2-0 goal in the second period, which would stand as the final score. This play was featured in a highlight reel above, but let's watch the biggest point of Buium's life again.

    Yes, 12 teams passed on him (counting the Flyers, who made the trade with Minnesota), but they did so at their own risk. Buium's talents weren't unknown to the rest of the NHL, as evidenced by the scramble to the Philadelphia phone lines when Buium was for the taking at 12th overall. 

    "He seems so safe. I think he has some Adam Fox to him. Talk about elite brain power, vision, deception," says an NHL scout before issuing a warning to the Blackhawks and 10 other teams. "Levshunov is going to go higher because of his size and strength. I get that. But it's hard to pass on Buium. I'd be losing sleep with that."

    Brackett didn't pass on Buium, and he had absolutely zero reason to. He got the guy everyone wants: Best Player Available. And as luck would have it, our friend BPA slots in exactly in that prototypical, power-play quarterbacking No. 1 defenseman mold that his organization was missing. It's very rare for a team starting with the No. 13 pick to have the draft break their way quite as well as it did for the Wild.

    By Tony Abbott  

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    Krotz the Wall

    Hey, all! Been a very long time. Loved that Zeev fell to the Wild at 12. His skill and ability are clearly high level, and I honestly think that the kid is still growing. The funny thing about the comments here is that most of the D prospects that came off the board before him have major question marks about their ability develop key aspects of their game if they are going to be major contributors. Several have concerns about their ability to read the game. Two don’t play defense. One has almost no offense. Another has their ability to have their offense translate, while needing to improve their skating. Buium fell because he’s currently 6 ft and 186 pounds… He ranked out as one of the highest offensive prospects, with shutdown defensive capabilities, and an ability to elevate his play to take over games. He’s one of the best prospects, at the time of drafting, that the Wild have made. Everyone seems to be bummed that a composite top 5 pick was available for the Wild to pick.

     

    Cheer up! Plenty of time for doom and gloom later.

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    Mateo3xm
    6 hours ago, Will D. Ness said:

    BPA at 12 is a fair assessment and it was the right pick.  Excellent pick really.  

    My concerns are that Zeev isn't built for playoff hockey and the Wild have once again fallen into the trap of drafting the "smaller dude who fell in the draft".

    Are we putting together a team of small speedy guys that are just going to be bowling pins when the game tightens up in the playoffs?  

    Florida basically went to the drawing board to get rid of their "high flying presidents trophy team" and did a 180 to create their "nose to the grindstone disciplined team".  The results speak for themselves.

    Great pick though, and worst case is he becomes a valued asset.

    I get what you’re saying completely but this was absolutely the right pick and by far the best available pick. He’s a true 6ft. His mom played pro basketball in Israel, his brother is 6ft 3in and his dad looks to be about 6’2. Very small chance but maybe he’s not done growing. Either way when you have a player this talented you take him to sacrifice size especially since he’s at least 6ft tall.

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    mnfaninnc
    On 6/29/2024 at 1:56 PM, Will D. Ness said:

    First off, let's just make this clear:  I think the pick was excellent.  I think Zeev is perceived as a high value skilled guy and the situation called for the pick.  I am thinking giving up a 3rd is insurance well spent too.

    The question is if he can play defense.  

    5 GM's are thinking he can't.   Bigger guys like Yakemchuk or Dickenson have a better balance of size and skill and are the kind of defenseman you want (ie Josi) to have in playoff hockey.  Sure there are unicorns like Makar and Heiskanen that are the whole package but it is a gamble to bet that Zeev is going to that calibre.

    But a gamble you take at 12 for sure. 

    Will, on this part I am not overly concerned. As a freshman, Buium did this for the National Champion Denver team. He did it in a very good NCAA Conference. He played the most minutes of any skater in the league. He was required to shut down other team's top lines too. He did this a league up from major jrs. 

    He did have to handle bigger players and he was able to at worst hold his own. It sounds like he's able to beat them with his brain, stick, and skating ability, much like Brodin can.

    Unfortunately, it's not his size that is the issue, it's the size of all of our left D prospects. That's what worries me, Brackett has got this prototype guy that he consistently goes after. Maybe we can trade for size later when a guy is D+2 or 3. You've got a better handle on those guys developed later. 

    I do foresee us trading out some of the 4 developing high picks to get some variety on the back end. Now we need a bonafide defensive coaching specialist that can really mold these guys into puck moving defenders that other teams covet.

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    mnfaninnc
    On 6/29/2024 at 4:45 PM, Krotz the Wall said:

    Hey, all! Been a very long time.

    Krotz, welcome back! Hopefully your not just in for a quick visit and stay in a cave for another year.

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    mnfaninnc
    On 6/29/2024 at 5:13 PM, Mateo3xm said:

    He’s a true 6ft. His mom played pro basketball in Israel, his brother is 6ft 3in and his dad looks to be about 6’2. Very small chance but maybe he’s not done growing. Either way when you have a player this talented you take him to sacrifice size especially since he’s at least 6ft tall.

    His brother looked ripped at the interview on Friday night. Usually, little brothers work harder to out do their older brothers in about everything. It's an "anything you can do, I can do better" type of thing. I have no doubt that Zeev will be headed to the gym a lot this summer and at Denver. It wouldn't surprise me if he ended next season around 195, and added an inch in height. 

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    Will D. Ness
    14 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Unfortunately, it's not his size that is the issue, it's the size of all of our left D prospects. That's what worries me, Brackett has got this prototype guy that he consistently goes after. Maybe we can trade for size later when a guy is D+2 or 3. You've got a better handle on those guys developed later. 

    I do foresee us trading out some of the 4 developing high picks to get some variety on the back end. Now we need a bonafide defensive coaching specialist that can really mold these guys into puck moving defenders that other teams covet.

    It's not just the size of our LD prospects but of our entire prospect pool.  I don't know if it necessarily is Brackett just continually drafting a type, or just a fact that we are constantly drafting at a spot where most of the size/skill guys are gone.

    It probably is both.  I do think that the saving grace to continually drafting these guys is that we are going have assets that many teams value... and like you say, we can use them to possibly bring in what we need.

    Problem is that we are going to need these guys now.  Window of opportunity is opening and the clock is going to start ticking.  This is why we are shopping Rossi IMO.  We have glaring holes.

    Now about Zeev.  Dude - I like the hype and I like the pre draft ranking and I like the championships and I like the offensive stats and all that.  What I don't like is that 5 GM's called bullshit on the hype and the offense and the championships and drafted other defenseman.  Then comes Philly saying... nope.

    Is it just circumstance?  If so we are lucky.  I hope Zeev is as advertised... it would be awesome to have a Heiskanen or Makar calibre guy... but I'm not going to get giddy until I see it on the ice in a Wild uniform.

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    mnfaninnc
    1 hour ago, Will D. Ness said:

    It probably is both.  I do think that the saving grace to continually drafting these guys is that we are going have assets that many teams value... and like you say, we can use them to possibly bring in what we need.

    Problem is that we are going to need these guys now.  Window of opportunity is opening and the clock is going to start ticking.  This is why we are shopping Rossi IMO.  We have glaring holes.

    With the players I listed, we won't be able to keep them all. There has been a blueprint to doing this. Nashville brought in Phil Housley to coach the defense. He was not only in charge of the Nashville D, but also in charge of the D within the organization. As they kept churning out defenders, they could trade established ones for ones coming up. 

    When he left the team, their pipeline dried up. Of course, results lag and they still had a couple of players to come up, but after that they've been less than impressive. 

    Now, serious question: While we've discussed that the Ukraine-Russia conflict has had an effect on drafting players from Russia, there's also another conflict in the news. Since Zeev's mom played basketball in Israel, it would suggest that the Buium's have some sort of Jewish heritage. Could that fact, or perception have had an effect on Zeev dropping in the draft?

    Think about all the protest we've had on college campuses around that say free Palestine. Think about the cities they've been in. I haven't heard anything of this in Canada, but that doesn't mean it hasn't happened also. There have been a lot of people that have wanted to just remain more than an arm's length distance from the topic entirely. Could this have happened with some NHL teams?

    Most things are intertwined, and are not stand alone issues. One thing general affects several other things directly or indirectly. Attitudes can especially be influenced. Whichever side anyone is on is not addressed in this question. What is being addressed is if there may have been some bias to the player due to heritage? 

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    Imyourhuckleberry
    4 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I haven't heard anything of this in Canada, but that doesn't mean it hasn't happened also. There have been a lot of people that have wanted to just remain more than an arm's length distance from the topic entirely. Could this have happened with some NHL teams?

    Flo Hockey suggested it was more of a general Canadian team thing where they prefer Canadian players since they have more likelihood of wanting to stick around with the drafted team after their first bigger contract while US players may wish to get back to the US once they become unrestricted.

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    Protec

    I don't think there was anything holding teams back from Buium and if there was, that's their mistake. He's a better prospect at his age than Faber and if he ends up anywhere near Faber or Fox, MN will be golden. I think he's got some time to grow and mature but he's MN's best thing after Chisholm for free. 

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    bisopher
    7 hours ago, Will D. Ness said:

    Now about Zeev.  Dude - I like the hype and I like the pre draft ranking and I like the championships and I like the offensive stats and all that.  What I don't like is that 5 GM's called bullshit on the hype and the offense and the championships and drafted other defenseman.  Then comes Philly saying... nope.

    Fair point, but remember that Faber lasted into the second round, so a lot of teams found "better" D options that i bet they'd gladly exchange for him today. 

     

    GMs and organizations see what they want to see and like what they like.  Heaven knows enough people on HW have called out Guerin and Brackett for just that.

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