The Minnesota Wild are a defense-first hockey team. But there’s been a significant shake-up for the 2023-24 season, along with a familiar face who is probably back in the lineup. Last season, the Wild ranked 6th in the league with 219 goals against and 6th for goals against per games played (2.67). Can the Wild keep that up next season with the changes on the blue line?
Jared Spurgeon and Jake Middleton have formed a goofy yet effective defensive first pairing. Out of defensive pairings with over 500 minutes together, Spurgeon and Middleton come in 6th place for goals against per 60 minutes with 2.16 goals. Minnesota has a 53.5% expected goal percentage when they are on the ice together. It makes sense to keep this pairing together, but there might be a chance to see them pair with others during the preseason.
The Jonas Brodin-Matt Dumba pairing is an unfortunate off-season casualty. Brodin and Dumba were a consistently good pairing, which happens when teammates play together for years. They came in 4th for goals against in 60 minutes for defensive pairings with 500+ minutes of ice time this past season. That’s even better than Minnesota’s Spurgeon-Middleton top pairing. Dumba is a good player who became a scapegoat. The Wild usually deployed He and Brodin against the star top-line players like Connor McDavid, Jason Robertson, and Sidney Crosby.
Dumba surprisingly stayed in Minnesota through the trade deadline, but he will say goodbye in free agency this off-season. Dumba and Brodin had a chemistry that can’t translate exactly into a new pairing, but if Brock Faber keeps playing like he did in the off-season last year, the new pairing will do just fine.
When Brock Faber signed with the Wild after a heartbreaking National Championship loss, there was no question he would be good. But it was surprising how consistently good he was during the playoffs. Playing 87 minutes over 6 games, Faber didn’t allow any goals from the Dallas Stars when he was on the ice. If he and Brodin have chemistry, they can become one of the best shutdown defensive pairings in the league. The only uncertainty(and it’s a small one) is if Faber has conditioned over the summer enough to play big-time minutes for an 82-game season.
The third pairing is where things get interesting. Alex Goligoski and Jon Merrill are under contract for one and two more years, respectively. There is also Calen Addison, who the Wild have tendered a qualifying offer that he will likely sign soon. Goligoski and Merrill have mediocre stats but could do well on a rotation basis.
Addison is the biggest uncertainty on the blue line. After being relegated to the press box for a good chunk of last year, he’s spent most of the summer training in Minnesota. While he was a great quarterback for the first power play, his 5v5 defense wasn’t great. When he failed to put the coach’s advice into play, they benched him.
While there may be more going on behind the scenes, it seems like the team needs Addison back in the lineup. The Wild power play last year wasn’t great, and that seemed to start when Addison wasn’t there to quarterback it anymore. Could reintroducing him to the top power-play unit partially help to solve that problem? It wouldn’t hurt to try.
Addison would benefit from studying Spurgeon’s play more. Besides being similar in size, Spurgeon seems to have just the right mix of offense and defense in his style of play. Spurgeon ended the season with 34 points. But he and Middleton finished 5th in the league for goals against per 60 minutes (1.65) among pairings with over 500 minutes on the ice together. Even lowering that to pairings with 300 minutes together, they still come in 9th in the league.
So, is the blue line strong enough? The answer can be yes. Middleton and Spurgeon have been a consistently strong pairing. Brodin is the league’s best and most criminally underrated shut-down defenseman. Faber stepped on the NHL ice last spring and impressed even the coaching staff with his defensive ability. Add to that Addison with better defensive skills after working on them this summer, and those are five out of six solid, reliable defensemen. Only time will tell, but the pre-season will be interesting for the blue line this year.
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