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  • Why Is Marcus Johansson Succeeding This Time Around?


    Image courtesy of Jerome Miron-USA Today Sports
    Aaron Heckmann

     

    It was fair to criticize the Minnesota Wild's decision to acquire Marcus Johansson from the Washington Capitals at the trade deadline. 

    For starters, sending a third-round pick to the nation’s capital for a depth piece in Johansson seemed unnecessary. The 32-year-old Swede scored a modest 13 goals and 28 points in 60 games with Washington. Trading for Johansson didn't seem to move the needle for a team that saw only four forwards score more than one goal over 13 games in February. Adding Johansson further crowded the lineup, and he had only scored three goals in his previous 21 games.

    The move was perplexing, to say the least.

    There’s nothing wrong with additional depth, but Johansson didn’t seem to be the ideal fit with the likes of James van Riemsdyk and Max Domi available on the trade market. Not to mention, the organization also had multiple options in Iowa. Furthermore, Johansson had already struggled in Minnesota. Two years ago, he notched 14 points in 36 games and didn’t make much of an impact before he got injured in the postseason.

    Trading for Johansson was puzzling because he didn't seem to fit, cost a lot, and there were other options on the market. Yet here we are: Johansson has absolutely exceeded expectations. He's a completely different player from the one fans saw during his first stint in Minnesota. Give Bill Guerin credit, he identified what he wanted and swung a trade that benefitted the Wild down the stretch.

    Johansson finished the regular season in Minnesota with six goals and 18 points in 20 games. The veteran winger made his impact felt right away with his speed and offensive vision, especially his ability to enter the zone. The quickness and the flow to his game is something the Wild could still use more of. 

    His strong play translated to the numbers, too. After Johansson's arrival, the Wild controlled 57.1% of the on-ice expected goal share and outscored opponents 25-10 with him on the ice in all situations during the regular season. 

    Most importantly, he helped aid Matt Boldy’s strong scoring tear when Kaprizov's injury sidelined him. Before Johansson’s arrival, Boldy had 16 goals and 40 points in 61 games, which is a .66 point-per-game rate. Boldy finished with 15 goals and 23 points in the final 20 games after that – a 1.15 PPG clip. For those counting at home, Boldy went from a 33-goal pace to a 61-goal pace over an 82-game pace.

    Boldy almost definitely wouldn’t keep that pace up over 82 games, of course. But his goal output significantly rose after Johansson arrived. And Johansson's arrival and Boldy's surge came at the right time. It coincided with Kaprizov’s early-March injury.

    Kaprizov is back for the playoffs, and Minnesota has a different look than they had in February. The Johansson, Boldy, and Joel Eriksson Ek trio formed an effective second line that produced strong numbers across the board. In just over 176 minutes together in all situations until Eriksson Ek suffered an injury, the trio controlled 60.5% of the on-ice expected goal share. The line also outscored opponents 17-6, good for a 73.9 goals for percentage.

    Johansson was worth 2.2 points in the standings in just 20 games in Minnesota, and he deserves credit for his play. He's certainly been more than just a depth piece. His arrival added his speed to the lineup, which was a badly-needed element to the Wild’s second line. 

    The former first-rounder is showing signs of his play from earlier in his career. Johansson has been a legitimate middle-six option for the Wild, who desperately needed one of those players. He also has provided the Wild with much-needed depth and flexibility with all the injuries that riddled the lineup over the last month. 

    Johansson hasn’t been nearly as strong in the first two playoff games as he was during the regular season. But he's done something that Boldy, Mats Zuccarello, Marcus Foligno, Gustav Nyquist, and others, haven’t done yet: find twine in the postseason. On Wednesday night, Johansson cleaned up Boldy’s rebound in front on the power play and scored via the backhand to cut the lead to 4-2.

    There’s no doubt that the Wild need Johansson to continue producing in this series, just as much as they’ll need his size and speed. It’s just as important for Johansson to keep scoring if he wants any opportunity of extending his stay in Minnesota.

    “I’m very comfortable here,” Johansson told the media in March. “I do hope I can find a home here.”

    The likelihood of Johansson re-signing with the Wild looks incredibly slim due to the buyout penalties and Minnesota's pending unrestricted and restricted free agents. That list includes Filip Gustavsson, who has to be the team’s No. 1 priority this summer. But at the very least, Johansson’s second audition in Minnesota has likely made the Wild entertain the scenario. He’s done everything you could have hoped from him.

    All Data Via Evolving-Hockey, Natural Stat Trick and Hockey-Reference.

     

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    From the reports previously, health, seemed to be dinged up last go around. If healthy this time around that would be the biggest change. Also having a pair of studs with you like Ek and Boldy doesn't hurt. 

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    If these guys wanna be in MN they'll be wanted and appreciated but there's not lots of money to go around. There shouldn't be any beating around the bush. With any of these guys who are all doing pretty well, they know the deal. If good offers come in from someplace they'll likely take it. At the same time some guys wanna win and money isn't everything. Hartman is a great example. Ek also took a team-friendly deal IMO.

    The tough thing is both Mojo and Nyqviist have been pretty effective. Sundqvuisst and Reaves have been good players who bring something to the table. The first two guys would be nice ones to keep but I've liked Steel and Sundsquivvst is probably the most affordable guy the Wild could hang on to. Not the worst problem to have considering the flexibility management has built in. It could go a variety of ways and the Wild aren't in a bad spot.

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    Mojo, the first time just didn’t get any real opportunity to build positive momentum. He had gotten hurt, only got 36 games. Never really found chemistry with a line. Had crummy luck as he was a minus player and then broke the collar bone or had the shoulder injury against Vegas. He was coming from Buffalo but his previous success with Washington wasn’t happening. 
     

    I believe the reason they wanted him in the first place was to pair with some offensive guys to build scoring depth. It didn’t work then during a season when Rask was a superior player on paper. This time it appears the Wild were able to get that positive momentum with talented offensive guys. Johansson also taking advantage having warmed up with 60 games in Washington and playing healthy. 
     

    20-21 I think the Wild were built differently with players like Sturm, Rask, Parise, Bjugstad, and others who weren’t all bad but not the types of guys who make plays AND score the way Boldy can. The Bold-Mojo duo is connecting back and forth setting each other up for finishes and both players are very capable. 
     

    Example: Game 3. Boldy finds streaking Mojo who makes great move to score. When I watch that one, I thought those two guys could have swapped places and made the same play. That chemistry and fit has been noticeable and it’s a glimpse into the types of things coaches and GMs are trying to find. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. When it does work, it’s pretty gratifying for everyone IMO.

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    I'll admit it...

    I've already screamed MOJO infinitely (three specifically) more times this playoffs then I ever have before.

    And since I've done it zero times before this year... which is logically undefined mathematically... it works out to Mojo is suddenly a beast now.

    Math is weird... just going with that.

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    17 hours ago, Protec said:

    If these guys wanna be in MN they'll be wanted and appreciated but there's not lots of money to go around. There shouldn't be any beating around the bush. With any of these guys who are all doing pretty well, they know the deal. If good offers come in from someplace they'll likely take it. At the same time some guys wanna win and money isn't everything. Hartman is a great example. Ek also took a team-friendly deal IMO.

    The tough thing is both Mojo and Nyqviist have been pretty effective. Sundqvuisst and Reaves have been good players who bring something to the table. The first two guys would be nice ones to keep but I've liked Steel and Sundsquivvst is probably the most affordable guy the Wild could hang on to. Not the worst problem to have considering the flexibility management has built in. It could go a variety of ways and the Wild aren't in a bad spot.

    Mojo is on record saying he was tired of moving around. He likes Minnesota and the Wild and wants to settle down. Who knows, maybe he will take a team friendly contract.

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    If they can find a way to keep Gustavsson, Johansson, and Nyquist, we might be able to get through these buyouts extremely well.  

    Get Fleury and Goose to ride off into the sunset, and it may be possible to keep 2 of the 3.  But, yeah, probably almost impossible barring some sort of big trade with Zucc.

    But, at the end of the day, those three have been our best players in the postseason.  If they make a run with these guys and it continues, it’ll be tough to see any of them walk.

     

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    20 hours ago, Beast said:

    But, at the end of the day, those three have been our best players in the postseason.  If they make a run with these guys and it continues, it’ll be tough to see any of them walk.

    It may be tough, but we've got some guys marinating in Iowa that may be ready to take those spots.

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