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  • Where Are Minnesota's Greatest Defensive Breakdowns?


    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images
    Bekki Antonelli

    Every goal against the Minnesota Wild hurts to watch. The worst ones are garbage goals or results of misjudgment from Wild players. Some are such incredible plays that you must appreciate the other team's talent. 

    I watched all 28 goals against in the past 10 Wild games where their opponents scored a goal to break down Minnesota’s recent breakdowns. I’ve categorized the goals into types and scenarios when I could. (Note: This does not include last night’s game against the New York Rangers.)

    While some goals were off of rushes, there were 3 scenarios the Wild struggled to defend. 

    They gave up two cross-ice goals

    I put goals in this category when all the Wild players were bunched on one side, and the opposing team made a cross-ice pass in the Wild’s defensive zone and scored by catching them off guard. This type of GA was relatively rare, but the Wild should not leave an opponent wide open with no hope of getting in the shooting lane. 

    Brett Pesce noticed this opening and took advantage of it for this goal. 

     Pesce took a great look here. The Wild haven’t just left Luke Hughes uncovered, they’ve left the entire left side of the ice uncovered. Hughes is able to walk in and take an undefended shot on net. 

    They gave up four on the penalty kill 

    Minnesota’s struggling penalty kill has been a common topic this season. All these goals resulted from a hole in the Wild’s defense, confirming the penalty kill is an area they must improve.

    Their opponents scored five on drop passes

    A drop pass is difficult to defend because of the separation it creates. Typically, a defenseman’s priority is the opposing player closest to the net, and they tend to skate backward to see the ice. After a drop pass, the defenseman suddenly needs to skate forward to defend a new player. While many teams try this, few are successful. 

    The Buffalo Sabres and Rangers scored 4 out of these 5 goals, including the following goal by Buffalo forward JJ Peterka.

    The drop pass above isn’t just a show of good talent and quick reflexes. It's a specific play that the Sabres have practiced countless times. You can tell because Rasmus Dahlin barely glances back as he passes to Owen Powers; he’s counting on Powers already being there. Powers slides it across to Peterka, who is also in place, and scores. 

    Ten came on rebounds

    Controlling rebounds is one of the Wild’s biggest weaknesses. 

    Many of them look like Jack Eichel’s goal on March 25. All 5 Wild defenders are out front, trying to figure out where the initial shot on net went. Somehow, none of them prevent Mark Stone from chipping the puck to Eichel, who is able to shoot and score on Marc-Andre Fleury, who is already down. 

    Minnesota shouldn’t be crowded in front, screening Fleury more than defending. Ideally, there would be a player on Eichel and a player actually lifting Stone’s stick rather than standing next to him.

    11 were direct snipes 

    Direct shots accounted for the biggest portion of Minnesota’s goals against. 8 were unscreened, and 3 were screened. If goalies can’t see the puck, saving it will be much more challenging. While 3 goals isn’t a lot, the Wild need to be better about picking up bodies out front because opponents can also score on tipped pucks, so this is an area Minnesota could focus on. 

    The only way to save more unscreened, non-rebound shots is to have a better goalie or better defense that stops the shots in the first place. Since this is an area every team needs to improve, I don’t consider it something Minnesota needs to focus on. 

    Three got tipped in 

    Tips are not a weak spot for the Wild. One was a backdoor tip, and the other two were from out front. Backdoor tips occur when an opposing player is behind the goalie’s back and gets a pass from across, whereas players who tip out front are in the goalie’s line of vision. 

    Tips from a shot out-front often redirect in an unpredictable way, making them difficult to block for players and goalies. Backdoor tips should never happen because Minnesota’s defensemen should be moving players out of that spot. That’s not a huge issue for them, but they could improve. 

    In the video below, New Jersey Devils defenseman Luke Hughes forced a turnover, catching Minnesota’s defense off-guard during their March 31 matchup in Newark. Stefan Noesen picks it up and sends it to the far corner while Nico Hischier waits to tip it in. Devin Shore needed to get there quickly and pick up Hischier’s stick. 

    During the Wild game against the Colorado Avalanche on March 11, Samuel Girard makes a spin move, backhands it from the blue line, and Joel Kiviranta tips it in. I’ve never seen someone take a backhand shot from the point in more than 15 years of playing and watching hockey, so the shot itself likely took the Wild by surprise. 

    While Girard is starting to make this his signature move, according to the Avs broadcast, not many other defensemen are trying to take a backhand shot from the point. Minnesota does not need to be particularly worried over this scenario. 

    One was a wrap-around

    Wrap-around shots tend to be easy for defensemen and goalies to defend. The St. Louis Blues were the only team to score a wrap-around goal in the past 10 games.

    During their March 15 matchup, Jordan Kyrou was moving exceptionally fast and wrapped around before Filip Gustavsson could move across. Jared Spurgeon should have stepped up on Kyrou earlier but probably expected Gustavsson to get there first and didn’t want to get in the way. 

    Again, this situation isn’t going to happen a lot. The Wild could have stopped this goal, and most of the time, they will.

    Three were scored on an empty net

    Every coach knows they’re risking an empty-netter when they pull the goalie. Save for a chip in the ice redirecting a puck, any NHL player will score on an empty net if they have a half clear lane. They don’t usually reflect a team’s ability to defend their net. 

    The Wild must shut down dynamic opposing players

    There were 3 hat tricks against the Wild in this 11-game run, which is rare in the NHL. During the 2023-24 season, NHL players scored 115 hat tricks in the regular season, which is 1,312 games total. Hischier scored 3 goals for New Jersey when they played the Wild on March 29. Eichel scored his hat trick during Minnesota’s 5-1 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights on March 25. Kyrou scored on March 15 during the Wild’s game against St. Louis. 

    Hischier, Eichel, and Kyrou are undoubtedly top NHL talent, but Minnesota has difficulty shutting down key players. In lower levels of hockey, opponents may opt to leave weaker players uncovered in order to overwhelm star players, making it difficult for them to perform. In the NHL, there are literally zero skaters who do not pose a scoring threat on the ice, so this isn’t a good strategy. 

    As every team fights for a playoff spot, other teams will exploit every opening the Wild gives them. For scenarios, Minnesota still needs to hone in on their penalty kill and avoid getting caught all on one side. The Wild struggle to defend drop passes, but only certain teams score that way often. 

    The biggest improvement for Minnesota would be picking up sticks and moving bodies from out front, as well as corralling loose pucks. A greater effort here would help the Wild decrease the number of backdoor tips, screened shots, and rebounds, which account for a large portion of their goals against. Finally, Minnesota needs to figure out how to shut down star players without leaving other opponents wide open. Hopefully, the Wild will improve on these weaknesses as the playoffs approach. 

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    This was the area where I felt improvement was needed:

    Quote

    Ten came on rebounds

    Controlling rebounds is one of the Wild’s biggest weaknesses. 

    Many of them look like Jack Eichel’s goal on March 25. All 5 Wild defenders are out front, trying to figure out where the initial shot on net went. Somehow, none of them prevent Mark Stone from chipping the puck to Eichel, who is able to shoot and score on Marc-Andre Fleury, who is already down. 

    This also, to me, is a red flag of goaltender fatigue. What makes this very difficult is that the rebounds are getting kicked out lazily where opponents are, but if you lock it down, your faceoff% is so low you anticipate losing the draw and get bottled up. 

    Goaltender fatigue may mean he's just a tad late on the save and can't lock it down, nor can he kick it out where he wants to. On a different note, defensive fatigue means you don't cover the opponent as well so there may be plenty of that going on too. 

    Just looking at the standings, to me it appears that some of the teams chasing us forgot to pit and are trying to catch us with very little gas left in their tank. I think they fade. Flames went down to the Hockey Club on Tuesday, Canucks last night to the Kraken. Both were brutal losses for them in winnable games. Connor Zary is out with a pretty severe leg injury. I think both teams are a bit like us and don't have a lot of depth.

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    I know the last game was excluded from the analysis, but I felt a little bit bad for Gus last night. He had an okay game, but seemed like he was playing against 6-7 guys at times against the Rangers, particularly when Chisholm banked a rebound off of his pads so the Rangers could tally a goal.

    I'm pretty sure I understand what Chisholm was attempting to do(pull the puck back behind the net), but that mistake just cannot happen, particularly this late in the season fighting for playoff seeding, or just to get in.

    I think in the 1st Devils game, Gus wasn't ready to go. He was playing too far out of his crease on shots from distance and the rebounds were kicking to guys who ended up with wide open shots. He's tightened up his game since last Saturday, but the Wild's skaters have been getting outplayed. Excited to see Kaprizov back, likely in less than 1 week now.

    Edited by Imyourhuckleberry
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    I get that there is always room for improvement but if you take out the 3 empty net goals the Wild are giving up 2.5 goals a game over this stretch.  That would tie them for #1 in the NHL!  Even with the empty netters they would be ranked 9th!  

    Scoring goals is the problem. Not preventing them.

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    13 minutes ago, Patrick said:

    I get that there is always room for improvement but if you take out the 3 empty net goals the Wild are giving up 2.5 goals a game over this stretch.  That would tie them for #1 in the NHL!  Even with the empty netters they would be ranked 9th!  

    Scoring goals is the problem. Not preventing them.

    All very true, but that just makes the bonehead plays (looking at you Chissy) all the more glaring. If a team is struggling to score, it just can't give up brutal mistakes. This is particularly true when chasing a playoff spot.

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    Danila Yurov still held off the score sheet in 4 playoff games, but his team won 3-1 today to tighten the series to 2-3. After losing the first 3 games(two by just 1 goal), it would be a nice effort to push that series to 7 games.

    I don't think the Wild will be bringing him over before the summer now, so I wouldn't mind his team going on an extended playoff run where Yurov can tally some points.

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    Zeev Buium's Denver Pioneers face Western Michigan 1 week from tonight.

    They've played 3 times this season, with each game decided by 1 goal. First game was lost by Denver in regulation 3-2. Second game was won by Denver 3-2 in the first OT. Third game saw Denver give up a 3 goal lead in the 3rd period to lose 4-3 in double OT. Buium had at least 1 point in each game.

    Based upon the pattern so far, one might anticipate a tight game with at least 1 point from Buium and Denver possibly coming out on top in the third OT.

    On the other side of the bracket, I imagine Boston University, with Cole Eiserman(2024 Pick #20 overall), Cole Hutson(2024 Pick #43 overall), Quinn Hutson(undrafted top scorer), Tom Willander(2023 Pick #11 overall), Ryan Greene(2022 Pick #57 overall), and a 2nd round(2024 Pick #49 overall) goalie named Mikhail Yegorov is likely favored over Penn State, who has a 5'4" 145 forward among their top 6 scorers.

    Penn State was ranked 12th before the tourney, with Boston U at 8th, Denver at 6th, and Western Michigan at #3 in the country.

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    2 hours ago, RedLake said:

    Rossi is a defensive liability. Send him down and get Ohgren up.

     I don't know what you mean specifically, but on the OT goal, I saw him lunge at the puck carrier and whiff, and I just knew it was over at that point.  

    I thought, "OH CRAP!   Yep.  Saw that comin."  We hung in there for a good twenty seconds or so.  A faceoff win to start OT might help some day.

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    I don't think they should have started Rossi in OT. That knee is still a problem and the coaches should realize that. I'd have probably gone with Boldy and the suddenly hot handed Johansson. Boldy is proficient in taking draws. This was a coaching error and drops specifically on their feet.

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    7 hours ago, RedLake said:

    Rossi is a defensive liability. Send him down and get Ohgren up.

    Huh? Rossi is better defensively than Ohhren by any measure. 

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