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  • What's Behind the Wild's Improved Penalty Kill?


    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images
    Justin Hein

    Drink if you’ve heard this before: the Minnesota Wild have a penalty-killing problem. 

    It wasn’t always like this. Before the 2020s, the Wild were synonymous with good shorthanded play. It made sense, given their staunch defensive reputation, which has returned in the 2024-25 season. Strangely, the penalty kill has not followed suit. 

    It seems that enough is finally enough. John Hynes has changed the penalty kill system. 

    The Wild ran a 1-2-1 diamond at the start of the year. Jack Han identified a 1-2-1 diamond in his book Hockey Tactics 2025. It’s the same system that Minnesota ran in the previous two seasons, as Han identifies in earlier versions of the book. 

    Diamond PK.JPG

    Under this system, one defenseman covers the net front, and the other three players fill out the rest of a diamond shape in their own zone. By defending the net front with the weak-side defenseman, the strong-side defenseman is free to attack the puck carrier. It can be extremely effective when that strong-side defender creates turnovers, which they can clear to the other end of the ice. 

    Any four-on-five defensive scheme will have holes. The hole in this system is that it leaves the weak side of the ice open to a dangerous pass. The penalty killers are betting they can force a turnover before the puck carrier can thread a pass to the opposite side of the ice. Call it the Diamond Gambit. 

    When the gambit fails, it looks like this.

    Notice that Freddy Gaudreau and Marcus Foligno are in a passing lane, but there’s still a dangerous shot available to Seth Jones from the point. 

    Part of the issue is that Bogosian retreats to the net front rather than attacking the puck carrier, which gives Connor Bedard time and space to find Jones. However, it’s theoretically possible for Bedard to find that pass even if Bogosian applies pressure correctly. 

    The benefit of this system is that it pairs well with an aggressive box, which Minnesota uses when their opponent has three players at the blue line. It allows their PK forwards to apply pressure when the puck is high in the zone, potentially creating a turnover. 

    box PK.JPG

    The 2-2 box has largely been solved since the advent of the 1-3-1 power play shape. It works great in your beer league, but the passing skill of the modern NHL, combined with the 1-3-1 spacing, renders it ineffective. 

    That’s why the Wild combine this with a diamond system. If the opponent successfully works the puck deep into Minnesota’s zone, they shift to the diamond. That frees Minnesota’s strong-side defenseman to pressure as well. It’s all pressure, all the time. 

    That scheme aligns with Hynes’s vision for the penalty kill. He wants to stop entries whenever possible and create turnovers at all costs. When successful, the opposing power play won’t ever generate chances because they’ll spend the full two minutes trying to enter Minnesota’s zone and set up their shape. It’s the best route to an elite penalty kill. 

    The trouble is that it hasn’t worked for the past two years. The Wild’s PK ranked 30th in the NHL last year with a 74.5% kill, and they’re worse this year at 71.3%. The main culprit is high-danger chances. Last year, Minnesota ranked 26th in high-danger 4-on-5 goals against per-two minutes. This year, they’re 31st. 

    Even worse, the Wild rank 27th in shorthanded shot attempts against. The entire point of the diamond is to prevent shots from happening anywhere in their zone, and they have not enjoyed that benefit in the current system. 

    Hynes’s penalty-killers must walk before they can run. Rather than trying to return to their elite PK form of 2022-23, getting back to average would be a major step in the right direction. 

    Therefore, Hynes appears to have implemented a 1-1-2 penalty kill structure to serve that goal. This can also be called a “wedge-plus-one” because of the wedge shape created in front of the net. 

    wedge + 1 PK.JPG

    This system is specifically designed to challenge high-danger passes. In a 1-3-1, the most dangerous plays come from the flankers, pictured above as the gray players near the faceoff circles. One such example happened in the Los Angeles Kings game. 

    That’s a bad example of how to execute the wedge-plus-one, but it shows the staple play of a 1-3-1: a pass from one flanker to another. 

    Let’s look at a better rep against the Utah Hockey Club. Notice how early in the video, both defensemen are in position to block a shot from the flanker. Gaudreau, the forward playing the “point” of the wedge, is in position to deny cross-seam passes. 

    You can see Gaudreau turn his head to check on Utah’s weak-side flanker. He then turns his eyes toward the puck carrier, planting himself and his stick in the passing lane. 

    wedge + 1 PK gaudreau head turn.JPG

    The Diamond leaves the weak side of the ice poorly defended. Instead, this system has two players, Gaudreau and Brock Faber, defending their opponent’s most dangerous play. The high forward -- in this case, Yakov Trenin -- applies pressure to the puck carrier and defends the passing lane back to the point. That avoids opportunities like Seth Jones’ goal in

    Chicago. However, the wedge-plus-one’s pitfall is on display against Utah. It doesn’t create effective pressure as often as the box or diamond. Brodin can’t sit in the shooting lane and pressure Hayton simultaneously, and the same goes for Faber. 

    The Pittsburgh Penguins power play had success from the same area

    However, the Wild will likely improve their ability to execute a new system over the final games of the season, which should reduce plays like this. Hynes didn’t implement a penalty kill with an Achilles heel that would allow the opponent to walk through the slot. As Minnesota’s defense corps gets healthier and the players get more comfortable with the system, they can execute it better. 

    That’s not a guarantee. Implementing a new system outside of training camp is challenging, especially for a team that rarely practices and is already fatigued due to a season-long injury streak. If the players can’t adopt the nuances of this new system, it could be even leakier than the diamond. 

    Still, the benefits of a league-average penalty kill would be significant. If the Wild continue to take about 2.5 penalties per game, but they improve their PK from 71.3% to a league-average 78.4%, that projects to an extra 1.25 penalty kills over a seven-game stretch. 

    In other words, it could be enough for one goal per playoff series. 

    The Western Conference playoff picture is stacked with elite power play units. The Winnipeg Jets' power play ranks 1st in the NHL, followed closely by the Vegas Golden Knights (2nd) and Edmonton Oilers (6th). One of those three will most likely be Minnesota's first-round opponent. Entering those series with a bottom-five penalty kill would lead to a quick exit. 

    Hynes is betting that the Wild can establish this systems change before those teams come to town. Call it the Wedge Gambit. I like it better than the Diamond one. 

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    Let's hope this is greatly improved.  Horrendous special teams resulted in quick exits recently.  The playoffs will put it on full display.  We keep the special teams play even I like our chances.  

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    Wild are at 81% on PK% since trading for Nyquist, and 31% on the PP in that timeframe. Sample size too small to be meaningful, but at least the special teams have shown some improved results in the last couple of weeks.

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    2 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Wild are at 81% on PK% since trading for Nyquist, and 31% on the PP in that timeframe. Sample size too small to be meaningful, but at least the special teams have shown some improved results in the last couple of weeks.

    Thanks for the positive about Nyquist.  I know it is only 9 games,  and many are ragging on the trade, but numbers like this show some of his benefit.  I might have lost track, but I know he has hit three posts for sure in those 9 games too, might even be more.  

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    2 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Wild are at 81% on PK% since trading for Nyquist, and 31% on the PP in that timeframe. Sample size too small to be meaningful, but at least the special teams have shown some improved results in the last couple of weeks.

    Notable that some of these games are under the new PK structure too. I did notice one rep in which Faber chased the puck from his strong-side into the slot, so they may still be giving the defensemen freedom to pressure or they may have switched back to the Diamond. Boldy on the PK has been an interesting wrinkle as well. 

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    17 minutes ago, Justin Hein said:

    Boldy on the PK has been an interesting wrinkle as well. 

    This should have happened long ago.

    I think what your getting is a new concept bounce. As soon as teams are ready for it, they will figure out how to defeat it. Seems to me that you should have different concepts that you play with and not always come out with the same PK. Some might be high pressure, and then passive pressure but packed in. Some might be a diamond and others the weggie. The bottom line is it requires 4 players to defeat 5 and a goalie who makes saves, sometimes when he's not supposed to.

    PK's and PP's run hot and cold. Our PK has been cold all season. And, just for fun, the PPs we've seen recently haven't been stellar ones. I'm waiting to see the 4 + goalie, where 4 guys just block shots around the crease and push people around while the goalie covers everything else. 😉

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    Long overdue.  The Wilds PK was on pace to be the WORST in NHL history! (except that somehow Detroit was on pace to be even worse) Glad to see a change.  There are few things more frustrating than a stubborn coach.

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