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  • Trading Danila Yurov Would Be A Massive Mistake For the Wild


    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images
    Robert Brent

    The Minnesota Wild seem to have recovered from their early-season struggles, at least for now, but that isn’t stopping people from discussing how Minnesota could improve its roster. Trade talks are running rampant, with Joe Smith and Michael Russo confirming that Bill Guerin is looking to improve the roster.

    “If he can trade for a top-six forward, he will try,” they wrote. “In fact, it’s abundantly clear Guerin has been working the phones pretty furiously lately.”

    Smith and Russo discussed players the Wild might dangle in trade talks in their most recent Athletic Q&A, with one name in particular standing out: Danila Yurov

    Yurov hasn’t quite lived up to the expectations that made him Hockey Wilderness’ No. 2-ranked prospect leading into the season. Still, there should be significant concern about moving the 21-year-old forward so early in his career.

    Yurov Carries Significant Value

    The Russian forward has only played 15 games for the Wild. That’s not nearly enough time to make determinations as to whether he can reach the potential he showed when breaking the KHL scoring record for a player under 21 years old. 

    Yurov possesses NHL size and speed, though neither of these is an elite tool for him. Instead, he’s known for his two-way play. 

    "Yurov [excels] as a defensive forward through a combination of high-end engagement rate, fantastic defensive stick work, and impressive instincts for reading attackers' intentions and intercepting their passes," EliteProspects wrote regarding Yurov in their top 100 affiliated prospects piece this season.

    Yurov’s style means that he has a high floor in the NHL. He shouldn’t ever be a complete liability. Even if the Russian forward never replicates the gaudy scoring numbers he put up in the KHL, he’ll still be a valuable NHLer. 

    He may be particularly valuable to Minnesota, especially if he can develop as a center. The Wild have struggled for years to find long-term viable options at center, and that’s true once again this year after Marco Rossi’s recent injury exposed their lack of depth up the middle.

    Yurov’s promise has especially shown through in recent games as he’s starting to break out of an early-season slump that seemed to affect the whole team. Yurov’s emergence has primarily been the result of his partnership with new line partners Yakov Trenin and Marcus Foligno.

    The trio has been one of the driving forces behind Minnesota’s recent hot streak and is the Wild’s second-best line this season by expected goals percentage. 

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    The success of the line has demonstrated Yurov’s ability to complement his teammates well, with John Hynes recognizing his strong play as the unit’s anchor.

    “Yurov, I think he complements them (Trenin and Foligno) well because he’s a good skating centerman. I think he can transport the puck up the ice at times,” Hynes said.

    “When those two guys get in and bang and crash in the offensive zone, he’s a smart player where, I think, he finds good ice, where when they get puck retrievals in the offensive zone, he’s usually in good spots where they can pop it to him, and then there’s usually a next play.”

    Potential Trade Partners Are Out There

    While Yurov’s potential and recent performance establish that he has value to the Wild, everything has a price. Zeev Buium is likely the team’s only untouchable prospect, so it’s vital to analyze who the Wild could target and if that’s worth shipping Yurov.

    The Wild would likely have interest in a top-six scoring forward, and there are a few names that could be interesting mentioned in Russo and Smith’s recent article on potential trade targets.

    Steven Stamkos

    Stamkos is a future Hall of Famer and one of the greatest goal scorers of his generation. However, he could use a change of scenery after an unsuccessful move to Nashville. He went from scoring 40 goals in his final year in Tampa to only scoring 27 last season. That downward trend has continued this season, with him only potting four goals in 20 games.

    Still, there’s a chance he can recover his form. He’s under contract for $8 million a year, and at 35 years old, the prospect of him becoming the player he used to be is a risky bet. Minnesota has already bet on one aging sniper in Vladimir Tarasenko. It wouldn’t be worth risking an asset like Yurov on a trade like this.

    Brayden Schenn

    Nothing has gone right for Brayden Schenn in St. Louis this season. He only has six points in 19 games. In addition to his lack of production, Blues general manager Doug Armstrong reportedly wanted a first-round pick and more for Schenn at last season’s deadline. The team clearly values him and won’t give him up easily.

    Trading a young center like Yurov and potentially having to add even more to the pot for a potentially declining Brayden Schenn is a bad decision. 

    Nazem Kadri

    Kadri, like Schenn, is an aging center who has logged many hard miles on his body. Still, he would be valuable to a Wild team that needs help down the middle. However, his faceoff percentage has plummeted recently (from 52.8% in 2020-21 to 45.6% this year). At 35, his offensive production has also started to decline, with 11 points in 20 games this season.

    His $7 million per year contract runs through the end of the 2028-29 season, and he doesn’t offer enough to justify giving up a young, cost-controlled asset who is also a center. 

    Jordan Kyrou

    Kyrou is where things may get interesting. He’d be a big fish for the Wild to land and brings some pretty significant scoring upside, hovering around 70 points for four straight seasons. Much like Schenn, the issue with Kyrou is how much the Blues want in return for him. 

    According to Elliotte Friedman, a potential deal between the Blues and Seattle Kraken involved the main pieces of Kyrou and the eighth-overall pick. A top-10 pick carries a lot of value, so you’d have to expect that any deal with Yurov for Kyrou would have to include significantly more capital. Kyrou is also primarily a winger, so trading a center for him would leave a gaping hole down the middle of the Wild’s depth chart.

    Alex Tuch

    Tuch is an intriguing and popular target as a former Wild first-round pick with scoring ability. He’d be a good roster fit, but he’s a winger. The Wild needs a center coming back if they’re going to give up pivots. 

    There’s also the issue of his next contract. Matthew Fairburn, The Athletic’s Buffalo Sabres beat writer, proposes that a $10 million price tag is realistic for Tuch’s next contract. With significant money already committed to Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy, the Wild probably can’t dedicate significant additional cap space for a forward. 

    The Case for Patience

    When you look at what’s out there for the Wild, there are definitely some pieces that would be helpful, but none that make the team a true contender or don’t come with long-term ramifications. 

    Yurov may not be driving winning for the Wild, but we know he has potential and a fairly high floor as a skilled two-way player. If there’s an amazing deal out there, then nothing should be off the table. Still, it makes sense to hold onto a young, promising cost-controlled center while the team still desperately needs depth down the middle.

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    Russo said the most likely trades that would happen would be Hartman, Spurgeon, or Brodin first.  Ohgren would probably go before Yurov does.

    I think the article is needlessly stirring up controversy.  Rossi and Yurov aren't going anywhere.  If they were, they would have been traded by now.

     

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    Yurov is looking pretty good.  I like Rossi but if I had to choose between Rossi and Yurov... I might just lay my chips on Yurov.  I know it sounds crazy but Yurov could be some form of Barkov?

    Maybe I should dial it back... could he be Ek 2.0?

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    35 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    most likely trades that would happen would be Hartman, Spurgeon, or Brodin first.

    I wouldn’t lose sleep parting with any of these three.  They’re all past their wild expiration date.   Brodin would get the most return imo.  I’d be shocked if spurgeon has much market value at his age and size.   And Guerin loves presenting silver stick to retiring players

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    Trading Yurov for any of those players would be ridiculous unless the Wild would be getting high picks in return. He could have Robert Thomas value, so if you aren't getting a player in their prime or near it, who can deliver at that level, then you simply don't trade him.

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    Yurov is getting better every game.  He could be the new Stamkos.  You don't trade him for a has been.  If he heads out the door we better get a big return.  Maybe BG can get his picks back from the Jiricek trade.

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    I'm interested in Kyrou and Tuch, I think both can help the team. Yurov is not on the table for them however. Ohgren would be on the table, but prospects, to me, are not guys already on the roster. Injury callups count. 

    MNCL is right about Hartman, Spurgeon and Brodin, they need to go first. 

    I know in the other thread we were talking about Kempe's contract. I would consider Kyrou a pretty good comparable with Kempe. This contract probably adds the best long term value of the guys mentioned. I do think Tuch is the better fit for what we need, though. One thing I find interesting in this is that Tuch hasn't resigned with his hometown team yet. So, what is he looking for?

    As for prospects, we've got Haight, Heidt, Lambos, Ohgren, Spacek, Bankier. That's a lot of guys who we can trade with, plus we've got draft picks, like a top 15 protected '26 1st. 

    We're about at the 20 game mark, now we should have an idea where the deficiencies are. We've had an audition of Buium-Faber and it went well for 2 games. So, I do think an older defenseman could be dealt. I'd prefer Spurgy.

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    3 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Trading Yurov for any of those players would be ridiculous unless the Wild would be getting high picks in return

    Now after 100 stories about  Rossi trades we start over again and do the same with Yurov ?

    This team does have a shortage of centers so what exactly is the point ? 

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    As for prospects, we've got Haight, Heidt, Lambos, Ohgren, Spacek, Bankier. That's a lot of guys who we can trade with, plus we've got draft picks, like a top 15 protected '26 1st. 

    Ryder Ritchie might have more value than all of those guys with some potential for line 2 given his offensive talents, but hard to say for sure at his age. I'd put Ohgren ahead of all of them today due to his likelihood to have a 2-way game, but he's certainly not shown elite forward skill to this point.

    Ogre could still elevate his game, but he and Stramel may never make it above line 3. I could see Haight and Bankier at line 3 or 4 down the road.

    I'll still give Lambos a shot at 2nd pair, but seems like he may end up 3rd pairing.

    Heidt either develops his game a lot and becomes a capable play driver for line 2 or has to adjust into something like a Dewar line 4 role. I don't see him on line 3. Spacek might make 3rd pairing someday.

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    13 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Ryder Ritchie might have more value than all of those guys with some potential for line 2 given his offensive talents, but hard to say for sure at his age. I'd put Ohgren ahead of all of them today due to his likelihood to have a 2-way game, but he's certainly not shown elite forward skill to this point.

    Ogre could still elevate his game, but he and Stramel may never make it above line 3. I could see Haight and Bankier at line 3 or 4 down the road.

    I'll still give Lambos a shot at 2nd pair, but seems like he may end up 3rd pairing.

    Heidt either develops his game a lot and becomes a capable play driver for line 2 or has to adjust into something like a Dewar line 4 role. I don't see him on line 3. Spacek might make 3rd pairing someday.

    I'd forgotten about Ritchie. But the point remains, don't mess with the guys on the roster now (youth), work your highly rated prospect pool and the older vets. When we traded Zucker, it was an older vet and futures. When we traded Fiala, our cap position meant we didn't need the vet + it was summer so the cap wasn't that big of a deal for the Kings either. We got futures. 

    These are examples of what happens all the time in the NHL. 1 team gets the really good player and usually wins the trade. The other team gets futures and hope. If they get an NHL rostered player, it's usually a player that's a cap dump like Galchenyuk was. 

    But, more to your point, don't wait too long to trade out these guys, you've got to trade out the guys while there's still excitement about their potential.

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    Agree with the article.  You can't keep trading away all your young guys for old guys until you know what you have.  I understand trading away hype that you think won't turn out to be much, but I don't think Yurov is that guy.  

    I also think the best case from those players listed as trade targets maybe get us out of round 1.  I think Yurov's value is higher than winning one series this year.  

    But if trading Yurov is the way BG is going to continue to run this team, then they should ONLY pick decent college players like Buium, Faber, or Boldy that they can instantly jump to the NHL because the  just don't have any patience or developmental ability to ever get a young player from juniors or anywhere else to the NHL.

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    19 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    One thing I find interesting in this is that Tuch hasn't resigned with his hometown team yet. So, what is he looking for?

    What I keep seeing is that he wants a long deal.  I've heard reports that he is looking for up to $12M a year for 8yrs and Buffalo doesn't want to pay him that much for that long.  I don't know how credible any of that is though.  He definitely seems like we wants up into 8 figures a year or he'd probably be signed already.

    He'd be a good player, but I'm not sure about paying him that much for that long.

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    I read articles like this and I think of Brent Burns and Alex Tuch.  Young players that we should have found a way to keep.  Granlund, Coyle and Nino were all players that have left and had solid careers.  I liked the Granlund trade as we picked up a sniper.  You don't trade away snipers.  You trade for them.  So rare to find a pure goal scorer like Fiala.  As much as I like Faber ... still an ouch.

    Consider this: Traded down from Brent Burns to Coyle.  Traded  down again for Donato.  Traded down again for 3rd round pick.  A 20th pick in the 1st round turned into a 3rd round pick by the Wild.  The epitome of poor trades over several years.

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    51 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    Consider this: Traded down from Brent Burns to Coyle.  Traded  down again for Donato.  Traded down again for 3rd round pick.  A 20th pick in the 1st round turned into a 3rd round pick by the Wild.  The epitome of poor trades over several years.

    Wow... way to put it in perspective.

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    Everyone is going to be high on Yurov after this game.  All the coments about how he should have always been top line center and how BG doesn't know what he's doing keeping him in Iowa, blah, blah, blah.  

    He had a good game.

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    22 hours ago, raithis said:

    What I keep seeing is that he wants a long deal.  I've heard reports that he is looking for up to $12M a year for 8yrs and Buffalo doesn't want to pay him that much for that long.  I don't know how credible any of that is though.  He definitely seems like we wants up into 8 figures a year or he'd probably be signed already.

    He'd be a good player, but I'm not sure about paying him that much for that long.

    $12m is a lot of money. Is he trying to cash in on the Kapflation™️ that Kaprizov's contract has provided? Or, is that the cost of business for a Buffalo team that appears to be going nowhere?

    It would seem that if a team were to trade for Tuch, they'd also need an extension in hand. Perhaps Kyrou is the better choice. A little younger and with some decent term.

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    $12m is a lot of money. Is he trying to cash in on the Kapflation™️ that Kaprizov's contract has provided? Or, is that the cost of business for a Buffalo team that appears to be going nowhere?

    It would seem that if a team were to trade for Tuch, they'd also need an extension in hand. Perhaps Kyrou is the better choice. A little younger and with some decent term.

    Unsure, but everything I've seen indicates he would like to stay with Buffalo and Buffalo would like to keep him, but the main sticking point is money.  Whether than price tag goes down elsewhere, I've no idea.  It just really looks like he wants to cash in on what may be the last big contract of his career.

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