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  • The Wild Have A Pathway To Thrive In 2023 Despite Their Cap Situation


    Image courtesy of © Matt Blewett - USA TODAY Sports
    Brevan Bane

     

    Next season will be the first of consecutive years that the Minnesota Wild will suffer $14 million cap hits after the Zach Parise and Ryan Suter buyouts. For this reason, Minnesota will be attempting to maximize its season with a roster full of young pieces from recent drafts, like Marco Rossi and Brock Faber. However, they still have a few key grizzled veterans, like free-agent signing Pat Maroon and the returning Marcus Foligno. They will rely on Maroon and Foligno to give the team an edge in the playoffs.

    The Wild have made it clear that they will not be waiting for these tough financial years to pass to compete. They will attempt to win regardless of the proverbial handcuffs. But what exactly do the Wild need from their roster to return to the playoffs and go on a run?

    Kirill Kaprizov Needs To Be Kirill Kaprizov

    This goes without saying. However, a full year of Kirill Kaprizov will always come with a reasonable possibility of 100 points from the Russian superstar. Kaprizov being Kaprizov is one of the safer bets on what this team needs, as many already regard him as the best professional hockey player to represent a Minnesotan club. Kaprizov elevates everyone he plays with, providing Mats Zuccarello a resurgence in points as soon as he touched the ice, and was instrumental in Ryan Hartman’s scoring explosion in 2021. Being one of the best passers in the NHL, Kaprizov will be sure to boost anyone’s scoring that is fortunate enough to share ice time with him.

    Continued Goaltending Prowess

    Filip Gustavsson was a brick wall in the net last season. Only Linus Ullmark, the Vezina Trophy-winning Boston Bruins goalie, outperformed him in core metrics such as SV% and GAA. The Wild rewarded Gus for his efforts, inking him to a three-year, $11.75 million deal. 

    Without any setbacks, Gustavsson should have no issue with another quiet but fantastic campaign. However, some fans and pundits have less confidence in Marc-Andre Fleuryh, the second option. He had a seemingly rough outing last season by his standards. He will look to rebound (no pun intended) this upcoming season, where he will more than likely be taking on less of a workload behind Gustavsson. 

    That will hopefully translate to a fresher Flower, allowing him to rest more and recover at a better rate than he has been able to the last couple of years as he pushes 40 years old.

    Defensive Consistency On All Levels

    Jacob Middleton and Jared Spurgeon are already one of the most reliable work-horse defensive pairings in the NHL, and there is no sign of that changing anytime soon. The second unit is home to Jonas Brodin, another one of the most underrated defensemen in hockey. The Wild will probably pair him with Brock Faber, the young stud out of the University of Minnesota, to replace Matt Dumba

    In a very small sample size, Faber showed that he belonged in the big leagues. He had a solid and reliable playstyle that the Wild brass and fanbase could rely on to almost always be in position when they needed him the most. That’s also exactly what Jonas Brodin provides. 

    But there will be a lot of attention on the third unit. Calen Addison, Jon Merrill, and Alex Goligoski will fight for their spots in the lineup nightly. If this season is anything like the last, there will likely be a lot of rotating in and out with this unit, creating a what have you done for me lately situation. If the Wild can find consistency on the third line to support the top two, they could have a reliable defensive unit.

    Another Scorer (or Two) Need To Emerge

    It’s safe to say that the Wild will get a substantial amount of points from Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, and Mats Zuccarello. However, there needs to be another big-time scoring contributor (or two) for the Wild to have a serious chance of making the playoffs and advancing beyond the first round. 

    Ryan Hartman provided that during the 2021-22 season when the Wild paired him with Kevin Fiala before they traded him in the following offseason. Of course, they didn’t end up winning a playoff series. Still, opponents had to account for Hartman and Fiala, Kaprizov’s line, and Matt Boldy. Whether it’s Marco Rossi living up to his draft hype when the Wild took him 9th overall in 2020 or a veteran like Freddy Gaudreau or Marcus Johansson suddenly adding more scoring, someone needs to step up if this team will contend.

    All of these points naturally go hand-in-hand with getting lucky and avoiding injuries all year. Bill Guerin has also made it clear recently that he’s willing to offload draft capital to acquire available assets at the deadline. 

    The Wild are going to face their fair share of adversity over the next couple of years, everyone knows that. With how the front office has handled things over the past couple of seasons, they are not afraid to continue to try and acquire players who won’t be around long-term but will aid them in their quest for the Cup. 

    Minnesota still should make the playoffs, but getting eliminated in the first round stops being fun after the first seven times in a row. But just because they don’t have as much cap space as other teams doesn’t mean he’s not going to attempt to try and hit it big.

     

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    Ryan Hartman provided that during the 2021-22 season when the Wild paired him with Kevin Fiala before they traded him in the following offseason. Of course, they didn’t end up winning a playoff series. Still, opponents had to account for Hartman and Fiala, Kaprizov’s line, and Matt Boldy.

    Pretty sure that Gaudreau was centering Boldy and Fiala, which is why he shows up on Fiala's scoring log 29 times while Hartman is only in there 6 times.

    Hartman was centering the Kaprizov/Zuccarello line much of the 21-22 year, after Thanksgiving. They started JEE on the top line, tried Gaudreau a bit, then switched gears to Hartman for most of the season.  Hartman shows up on the scoring log for Kaprizov 37 times, including 3 assists on even strength playoff goals. When healthy, Hartman has scored at a pace above 60 points on that top line. He fits pretty well there.

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    Thx Brevan, I appreciate the insight. One thing that is missing is the impact from what will be needed from IA in the form of salary cap relief, play due to injury or performance.

    With our history, there is absolutely no chance we go this whole year unscathed. Walker and Beckman will be vital to our group in case of injury and lack of performance with Foligno, Hartzy and Zucci and maybe Rossi.

    I'm not sold on the last pair of D-men either. I know Addy will sign, hopefully, but I'm not encouraged he's gonna come in and fix all our problems if he's not willing to sign a contract until the day of camp. Goose's longevity and Merrill's Jekyll/Hyde have a lot of question marks for me. I believe there's gonna be an impact from Hunt, Lambos and possibly Spacek before we're all done. Faber's transition will signal if we change anything further with the 3rd pair from IA.

    Edited by vonlonster67
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    It seems to me that the best way to conquer the $15m cap restriction is to have a couple of prospects absolutely shine in camp where a couple of the vet placeholders get to find new homes. I don't think that Shooter is too concerned with the return he gets back from the vets, as he's more concerned with finding them a good fit.

    Goodwill is something that Shooter has been able to use when trading some of the vets, especially ones where their agents don't go shooting off their mouths to the press. He sends them to locations where they can be productive. 

    I think when he signs these guys, he let's it be known the holes he has, but there is a lot of talent marinating in the minors and when they're ready, that's who he's going with. I think he also promises to find them a good home. He's been through that before as a player, so he knows what it's like. Following through on this promise is how he builds that goodwill. 

    So, to me, if Lambos really shines, perhaps the best place for Goligoski is in the front office? I could see him getting that salary over a couple of years in the front office learning scouting and mentoring. Maybe Hunt comes up and really shines too. I don't think Merrill will be too tough to move. 

    But, what if one of the non-Rossi forwards shines? Could that open up a little cap space?

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    33 minutes ago, viper3119 said:

    Addison just signed his 1 year offer.  Team is now pretty much set till December

    I wanna see a motivated/pissed off Addison this season. 

    $825k for 1 year.  Not the contract he wanted, not the contract his side thought he deserved.  $100k less than Faber is getting next season.  

    If Addison doesn't play like a man posessed next season, stick a fork in him...he's not going to be in a Wild sweater much longer.

     

    Also just read the Russo article on this.  With this signing, if the wild choose to carry a 13th forward, they can't afford to call up Walker or Beckman.  They can call up Lettieri, Khaira, Petan, Fogarty, or Swaney.

    Edited by MrCheatachu
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    1 minute ago, MrCheatachu said:

    I wanna see a motivated/pissed off Addison this season. 

    $825k for 1 year.  Not the contract he wanted, not the contract his side thought he deserved.  $100k less than Faber is getting next season.  

    If Addison doesn't play like a man posessed next season, stick a fork in him...he's not going to be in a Wild sweater much longer.

    MrC, after what I saw Lambos do last year and at prospect camp I believe he needs a shot. Like you I'm ready to move on if he's not.

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