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  • The Wild Has A Chance To Be Everyone’s Favorite Team Down the Stretch


    Image courtesy of Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
    Justin Wiggins

     

    For almost their entire existence, the Minnesota Wild have been firmly stuck in the middle, on and off the ice. On the ice, it began with their first head coach, Jacques Lemaire, who continued his decades-long impressive resume as a coach but did so in a very boring fashion.

    The Wild weren’t particularly fun to watch, even if their on-ice results were… okay. While the team was certainly more competitive at the beginning of the Zach Parise and Ryan Suter era, they could never find a way to make a deep run. Every year, the Wild were good enough to be talked about but never good enough to be taken seriously.

    The Minnesota "Mild."

    Even as their popularity has grown in recent seasons with the arrival of their first true superstar, Kirill Kaprizov, their inability to get past the first round further proved that the NHL world's jokes have some merit.

    Always stuck in the middle. Never too good, but never bad enough either. Just… Mild.

    All of that could change in the next month and a half. The Wild have a chance to be the hottest story in hockey and maybe, just maybe, every NHL fan’s second favorite team.

    The roller coaster of a season has continued, with the latest hot streak vaulting the Wild back into contention for the Western Conference's final playoff spot. They find themselves just four points out of the 8-seed partially because of their 5-0-1 run. But the gap has also closed because the team occupying that final spot has found itself in a tailspin -- in an almost hilarious fashion.

    The Vegas Golden Knights are sputtering. The defending champs are 6-9-1 since the start of February. Injuries have been a large part of that. However, in case you have been living under a rock for the past week and change, the Golden Knights made a flurry of controversial trades ahead of the trade deadline to boost their roster depth.

    With Mark Stone and Alec Martinez on long-term injured reserve, they added big-name players like Noah Hanifin, Tomas Hertl, and Anthony Mantha at the beginning of March. Their strategy appears the same as it was last year when they won the Stanley Cup: add at the deadline, and when those injured players return for the playoffs, their roster will be deeper than every other team, allowing them to make a run at repeating.

    Most of us know how these cap shenanigans work, but in case you need a refresher, Mike Russo of The Athletic had a behind-the-curtains interview with Vegas general manager Kelly McCrimmon this week. Simply put, there is no salary cap in the playoffs. By adding these extra players at the deadline and waiting to activate their injured stars once the playoffs start, the Golden Knights can enter the playoffs with a roster that far exceeds the CBA-mandated salary cap.

    It's technically legal (for now), but that doesn’t mean every other team’s fan base isn’t throwing their hands up in disgust and demanding a change to the rules. While most hockey fans wait for such a change, there's no doubt a heavy rooting interest for someone in the West to catch the Golden Knights and prevent them from making the playoffs.

    It’s the perfect opportunity for the Wild to pull themselves out of the mushy middle discourse of hockey takes and firmly plant themselves as everybody’s favorite team, even if for just a short while.  

    Nobody wants to see Vegas pull off their legal yet frowned-upon strategy and win another Stanley Cup, especially for a franchise most fans loathe due to their immediate success as an expansion team in 2017. While the story as a team of “misfit castoffs” was fun then, their over-the-top aggressiveness in bending the rules as far as they can have tired most people. Their most recent trade deadline shenanigans seemed to be the tipping point across the hockey world.

    It’s the same sort of villainization of other pro sports teams that has turned the rest of the sports world against them that we’ve seen in the past. The New York Yankees had more money than everyone for a period of time. The New England Patriots were literally caught cheating. The Miami Heat started a super team that led the NBA into a decade of almost zero parity. Eventually, nearly every sport produces a villain in which every other fan base loathes.

    And now, the Golden Knights are the new villains of the NHL. Only four points separate them from the Wild. One team is ascending while another is tumbling down the standings, and they also play each other twice in the final 15 games. The path is there for the Wild to rise up and overtake the Sin City villains.

    The hockey world is clamoring for the Wild to humiliate the Golden Knights. For the first time in their history, Minnesota could become the second score every fan checks after their own team.

    It’s time for Minnesota to actually do something, well, Wild. 

     

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    It would be fun to catch them or the Kings. March has certainly, on paper with the schedule, given us the opportunity to catch them. Let's see if they can do it!

    Let's Go Wild!

    Tonight it's the Blues. I think we owe them a loss.

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    Wild still have one of the 5 least difficult schedules, but 2 games each against Vegas, LA, and Colorado. Also 2 games against the Blues, who are slightly above .500 and those 4 points could be crucial.

    Given that the Wild might not be bad enough to get a top 3 draft pick even if they win the lottery, it should be more exciting to see them lock up the last playoff spot in the West.

    Vegas and the Wild could both overtake the Kings, but the Kings put themselves 2 points up on Vegas last night by destroying Bedard's Blackhawks 5-0 with T-Bot standing strong in goal for his 3rd shutout on the year.

    The Kings(5th) are right next to the Wild(4th) in remaining schedule difficulty while Vegas is closer to an average difficulty(13th least difficult). Vegas is one of just 4 teams off on Saturday, and will be hosting NJ and TB their next 2.

    Could be a very entertaining race to the finish line. Hopefully Dino shines bright & Eriksson Ek(day-to-day) is healthy and strong for the final push this season.

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    Biggest game of the season this evening. 

    Doug Armstrong just named GM for Canada. That means he and Guerin will be rivals outside the Central division too. 

    Tonight's game has to feel like a playoff game. Minnesota has to play a really smart, disciplined game. Binnington has been good lately. STL has Wild killers. MN will need big performances from their guys with Ek out...

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    The Wild have played more games than a majority of the league, so them sitting closer to the playoffs than top 10 in lottery odds is somewhat precarious. We'll see if any of those teams with fewer games played passes them in the standing points.

    The Capitals, Islanders, and Blues could pass them with wins in their "games in hand". The Flames could get within a point, so wouldn't be shocking for them to pass by either if the Wild have even a small skid.

    Definitely need to play better than they did in St. Louis to make the playoffs, even though they nearly came away with 2 points anyway. Not sure why Boldy took a 2 minute shift in OT. He's good, but someone with fresh legs has got to be better than the effort he had remaining at that point.

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    I really just don't understand this season. It seems like every time there is a big game with a central division opponent, the Wild struggle. Why is it that this year they are not competitive in their own division?

    Looking at the roster, the only thing I can come up with is size. We have, for the most part, moved some guys out and replaced them with much smaller players. Was Sturm that important of a center? 

    I'm convinced we need far more >200 lb. players. I'm not saying get rid of Rossi and Dino, but I am saying we've got too many guys in the 180 category and those guys need to be replaced with 20+ lb. players. With the players we've got, and their size, we simply cannot compete where we're giving away 20 lbs. almost by the man. 

    That said, I thought we did knock around some Blues players last night, and it looked like a lot more of them were sliding on the ice than our guys. 

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    Looking at the roster, the only thing I can come up with is size.

    We're definitely the shortest in our division, with more under 6'0" players than any other team (8x), and the second lightest team (the Coyotes are lighter). A quick breakdown of our rivals in the Central Division (all stats from NHL.com and omits goalies):

    • Arizona Coyotes:
      Average Height: 6'0.85"
      Average Weight: 192.2 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'0.46" and 190.38 lb
      Defense Average: 6'1.57" and 195.57 lb
      Average Age: 25.55 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 0x
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 6x (Cooley: 5'8", Carcone: 5'9", Keller: 5'10", Kerfoot: 5'11", Maccellini: 5'11", and Soderstrom: 5'11")
       
    • Chicago Blackhawks:
      Average Height: 6'1.45"
      Average Weight: 198.68 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'0.2" and 193.53 lb
      Defense Average: 6'4.14" and 209.71 lb
      Average Age: 27
      Number of Players +32 yo: 5x (Foligno: 36, Johnson: 33, Hall: 32, Tinordi: 32, Zaitzev: 32)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 3x (Blackwell: 5'9", Bedard: 5'10", Johnson: 5'8")
       
    • Colorado Avalanche:
      Average Height: 6'0.62"
      Average Weight: 195.19 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'0.64" and 194.35 lb
      Defense Average: 6'0.57" and 196.86 lb
      Average Age: 28.85 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 3x (Parise: 39, Johnson: 37, Cogliano: 36)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 7x (Cogliano: 5'10", Drouin: 5'11", Kiviranta: 5'11", Lehkonen: 5'11", Parise: 5'11", Girad: 5'11", Walker: 5'11")
       
    • Dallas Stars:
      Average Height: 6'2.2"
      Average Weight: 201.75 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'1.85" and 200.77 lb
      Defense Average: 6'2.85" and 203.57 lb
      Average Age: 29.35 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 8x (Suter: 39, Pavelski: 39, Dadonov: 35, Smith: 34, Benn: 34, Tanev: 34 Duchene: 33, and Seguin: 32)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 0x
       
    • Minnesota Wild:
      Average Height: 6'0.26"
      Average Weight: 194.04 lb
      Forwards Average: 5'11.79" and 192.07 lb
      Defense Average: 6'1" and 197.11 lb
      Average Age: 28.35 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 7x (Goligoski: 38, Zucarello: 36, Spurgeon: 34, Bogosian: 33, Johansson: 33, Foligno: 32, and Merrill: 32)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 8x (Zucarello: 5'8", Spurgeon: 5'9", Rossi: 5'9", Kaprizov: 5'10", Lettieri: 5'10", Shaw: 5'10", Khustnutdinov: 5'11", and Goligoski: 5'11")
       
    • Nashville Predators:
      Average Height: 6'0.95"
      Average Weight: 198.86 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'1.14" and 197.5 lb
      Defense Average: 6'0.625" and 201.25 lb
      Average Age: 28.59 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 7x (McDonagh: 34, Schenn: 34, Nyquist: 34, Josi: 33, O'Reilly: 33, Barrie: 32, Zucker: 32)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 6x (Anderson-Dolan: 5'11", Beauvillier: 5'11", Nyquist: 5'11", Zucker: 5'11", Barrie: 5'11", Carrier: 5'11")
       
    • St. Louis Blues:
      Average Height: 6'1.13"
      Average Weight: 202.04 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'1.27" and 200.67 lb 
      Defense Average: 6'2.88" and 204.63 lb
      Average Age: 27.17 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 4 Krug (32), Schenn (32), Leddy (32), and Scandella (34)
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 2x (Walker: 5'9" + Krug: 5'9")
       
    • Winnipeg Jets:
      Average Height: 6'1.82"
      Average Weight: 201.4 lb
      Forwards Average: 6'1.78" 202.5 lb
      Defense Average: 6'2.09" and 205 lb
      Average Age: 28.08 yo
      Number of Players +32 yo: 2x 
      Number of Players Under 6'0": 1x (Perfetti: 5'11")

     

    Here's the ranking of height / weight within our division:
     

    • Average Height (from shortest to tallest):
      Wild: 6'0.26"
      Avalanche: 6'0.62"
      Coyotes: 6'0.85"
      Predators: 6'0.95"
      Blues: 6'1.13"
      Blackhawks: 6'1.45"
      Jets: 6'1.82"
      Stars: 6'2.2"
       
    • Average Weight (from lightest to heaviest):
      Coyotes: 192.2 lb
      Wild: 194.04 lb
      Avalanche: 195.19 lb
      Blackhawks: 198.68 lb
      Predators: 198.86 lb
      Jets: 201.4 lb
      Stars: 201.75 lb
      Blues: 202.04 lb
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    WSC knocked it out of the park! While the Wild are the 2nd lightest team, and I'm not sure if Maroon was counted in this, think about it for a minute.

    This includes guys like Foligno, Middleton, and Bogosian who skew the height and weight up. What are guys are not doing is getting the weight and consequently strength up themselves.

    So, the other guys in the central can out reach the Wild slightly and can out muscle them. But, the Wild are not the fastest skaters either, so they lose that possible advantage. 

    The solution here is to add strength/weight in the offseason as a team. Look at the evidence in some of the players: Ek gained about 20-25 lbs. in 2 offseasons and became a beast. Rossi had 1 offseason of hard training, gaining 15 lbs. and look at the difference it has made. Collectively if the Vets would add 5 lbs. of muscle, and the kids 10 lbs., we are a little north of average in the division. 

    Doing this is not necessarily fun, but it can be if the whole team buys in. At that point you get real encouragement, and if they invite the A guys to join them, that gets even more comradery going in the gym. 

    But, MNfan, what about the guys going home for the summer? If you miss out on the playoffs with a playoff roster, it seems to me that spending a summer in MN is kind of an obligation you need to do. And, it seems like something you would want to do. I get there won't be 100% participation, but, there should be at least 80%. 

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