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  • The Wild Are Still Unprepared For the Injury Bug


    Image courtesy of David Berding-Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    The Minnesota Wild have arguably been doomed in consecutive seasons by injuries to their two hardest-to-replace players. In spring 2023, the Wild lost Joel Eriksson Ek to a broken leg that took him out for all but a handful of seconds against the Dallas Stars in the playoffs. Last season, Jared Spurgeon played just 16 games, and the team missed the postseason for the second time in 12 seasons, all of which had Spurgeon on the team.

    Minnesota was determined this offseason to beef up its depth, which was lacking last season. This was a not-unexpected development for a team coping with a $14.7 million cap penalty. They were counting on internal improvements from their veterans and an influx of talent from their prospects. The added depth to stand at the ready in the minor leagues in case injuries cropped up.

    Yet, three games into the season, Minnesota already must test the fruit of those efforts. Do the Wild have better answers to injury problems than last year? In theory, yes. 

    Are the Wild still in deep trouble if Eriksson Ek or Spurgeon is out of the lineup? Also, yes. 

    Minnesota lost Eriksson Ek midway through the second period after an Adam Larsson elbow to the face, and he didn't travel to Winnipeg for Game 3 of the season the following night. Spurgeon is now out with a lower-body injury, which may or may not be some sort of recurrence of the ailment that kept him out for so long last year. 

    So the Wild entered Game 3 without arguably their two most irreplaceable players. And predictably, they struggled. Zach Bogosian moved up in the lineup to take Spurgeon's place, and his pairing with Jonas Brodin got buried in their own zone through much of the night. Ryan Hartman scored a goal spelling Eriksson Ek on Saturday. However, he couldn't find his footing on the second line with Matt Boldy and Marcus Johansson

    These injuries put Minnesota back into a familiar position. They must live or die by Kaprizov, Boldy, and an explosive power play, of which Eriksson Ek is a major part. Kaprizov and Boldy combined for zero points, and the power play went 0-for-3. A stellar Filip Gustavsson performance was the only thing that secured a point for the Wild.

    Coming into training camp, Minnesota seemed more equipped to handle an Eriksson Ek injury than years previous. Marco Rossi's strong rookie season helped, but most teams have two top-six centers, which puts the Wild at one. Marat Khusnutdinov gave them another center prospect with two-way prowess on which to pin their hopes. Speaking of hope, Minnesota gave 2023 second-rounder Riley Heidt every chance to prove he was NHL-ready.

    Heidt was not ready for the NHL game during the preseason, and it's too early for Khusnutdinov to prove he deserves to jump Hartman in the pecking order, particularly when he didn't stand out. Minor-league free agent Travis Boyd got a call-up, but they scratched the veteran center on Sunday.

    Luckily, it doesn't look like Eriksson Ek will be out for long, with Minnesota sending Boyd back to Des Moines. Eriksson Ek's return makes the center picture make sense again because Hartman's third line with Marcus Foligno and Yakov Trenin has done well controlling the play at 5-on-5. 

    Unfortunately, the Wild have to grapple with the possibility of an extended absence for Spurgeon, for which they might not have answers. Brock Faber can step up and absorb more minutes, but he can only do so much. In Games 1 and 2, John Hynes showed that his ideal workload for Bogosian is under 15 minutes per night. Last night, he logged 20:35, including the second-most 5-on-5 ice time of any defenseman on the team.

    As much of a workhorse as Jonas Brodin is for Minnesota, they're arguably better equipped to lose a left defenseman like him than one on the right side. Daemon Hunt and Carson Lambos are likely the most NHL-ready defense prospects at Iowa, but they both play the left side. Hunt is probably the next player up. Still, is it wise to potentially play him on his off-side in his first shot at NHL time this season? It's a lot to ask for a rookie.

    Again, it shouldn't be surprising that Minnesota is vulnerable to injuries at the top of its lineup. As mentioned earlier, losing $14.7 million in cap penalties will eat into anyone's contingency plans. But it is discouraging for the Wild's depth to be exposed in crucial situations just four days into the season. If it wasn't clear before, it is now: health will be the most fragile part of Minnesota's path to the postseason.

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    4 hours ago, Burnt Toast said:

    It’s taken me awhile but I have finally drawn the same conclusion. I have a bad feeling some kind of desperation move/ trade is coming. BG and his team have acquired a lot of draft capital and prospects, fantastic!! They’ve slowly added pieces one player at a time. Wonderful! I’d hate to see some kind of “big splash” move before the iron is hot enough to strike. 

    Agree.  Watch out for the reactionary emotional moves by Guerin if we watch 10 more games of yard sale hockey. Can’t fire coach, GM or owner.  Ok fine. 
    is he going to move the journey man core (smart) or a prospect (ie moving rossi from position of weakness/desperation would be dumb) or a GUS (smart)

     your move bill

     #don’tbedumbbill

    Edited by Pewterschmidt
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    29 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Looks like Mojo, Ek, and Spurgeon aren't available tonight.

    Ohgren might get the first crack at 2nd wing, but I would prefer Lauko honestly.  He's got speed and grit for days.  Ohgren looked pretty rough in Winnipeg.

     

    I think Ohgren deserves a little grace period to get acclimated but he did look somewhat lost at times out there last game.  I'll give him a break.

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    I suppose you're right.  He looked lost in a game in the preseason, and then lit things up to earn his spot.  Rossi should have taught me what it means to judge things 1-2 games in.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    1 hour ago, Will D. Ness said:

    I think Ohgren deserves a little grace period to get acclimated but he did look somewhat lost at times out there last game.  I'll give him a break.

    When I watch ogzi just remind myself he’s only 20.  Remember how ridiculous Brent burns looked playing the wing at 20.  Clown show. 
    ogz had looked over matched imo but I’m ok with that at 20 years old

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    34 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    and then lit things up to earn his spot.

    I think the only way he doesn’t’earn his spot’ in opener is if he shits his breezers every exhibition game.  Guerin desperately needs to show some progress and having ogz on roster opening night allows Guerin to point and say “see what Billy did today”

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    Good to be watching the Wild play some hockey instead of just talking about them.  Except Nojo.  He still looks like last years version.  I get angry watching him.  Spurgeon getting injured isn't good.  he needs a lot of ice time to return to form (if he ever does).  He didn't look good so far.  Still have hope though that he will turn it around.  Faber and Rossi have both looked good.  Bummer that Ek is out.  I still think he is our best player ... period.  Good luck to the Wild tonight.  Always good to get a win over a division opponent. 

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    16 hours ago, Burnt Toast said:

    The Wild won’t have any money left for good free agency moves next year. Between Faber’s new contract and KK coming extension the cash is gone. Rossi’s getting a bridge deal coming in at 5.5$M AAV at a bare minimum. What they’re probably going to do is package him for, yes, an older player in the 9$M AAV range. An even worse idea is sending the Gus Bus down the road in a similar deal. Those FA moves don’t move the needle for me. That’s the real cost of the multiple 4$M AAV extensions. Those guys will have to be the difference makers you’re looking for. 

    They can buyout Spurgeon next season and gain $4.8M in cap space, in addition to the $15M they're already projected to have. The only RFAs are Rossi, Khusnutdinov and Lauko, with Hunt a possibility as well. Hunt probably gets $1M tops on his RFA deal and joins us as bottom-pair defenseman. I'd assume it will be similar for Khusnutdinov and Lauko.

    Personally I don't see Rossi getting $5.5M if Fiala only got $5.1M in arbitration despite having more seasons of production than Rossi will have next year. We'll go ahead and use that number though. 

    Yurov and likely Buium will be here on their ELCs, so that's another $2M roughly. 

    That leaves them $10.3M to play with, without making any other moves, and a roster that has 13 forwards, 6 defensemen, and 2 goalies. They could then go to UFA and get a guy like Chychrun to come in and replace Spurgy. That would give you a line-up of:

    Zuccy-Yurov-Kap
    Boldy-Ek-Rossi
    Trenin-Hartman-Foligno
    Ohgren-Khusnut-Gaudreau/Lauko

    Faber-Chychrun
    Buium-Brodin
    Middsy-Bogo
    Hunt

    By the time that Spurgeon's $2.1M dead-cap in '27-'28 and '28-'29 hits, you'll have Hartman and Mats off the book for a rough addition of $6M still. 

    All this to say, yes, the Wild absolutely can still make a big move next year without it affecting their long-term cap too much. 

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    The most interesting GM in hockey. One day he's feuding with agents and player's wives. The next he's signing Boldy to a value deal. He's USA GM in Summer, Wild Fall, Winter, Spring. Spit'n Shitlets Podcast and affinity for Swedish neck-beards. 

    I rest my case. 😁

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    8 minutes ago, Enforceror said:

    Faber listed as 7th D tonight on wild.com

    Please don't let it be an injury...

    With NOJO out they are running 11/7 tonight so he'll be in

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    2-0 good guys. National broadcast just quaffing STL's balls with praise.

    Also, nice to see Suter's weak-ass wristers are still off the mark and ineffective. 😂😂😂

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    On 10/14/2024 at 10:28 PM, Burnt Toast said:

    The Wild won’t have any money left for good free agency moves next year. Between Faber’s new contract and KK coming extension the cash is gone. Rossi’s getting a bridge deal coming in at 5.5$M AAV at a bare minimum. What they’re probably going to do is package him for, yes, an older player in the 9$M AAV range. An even worse idea is sending the Gus Bus down the road in a similar deal. Those FA moves don’t move the needle for me. That’s the real cost of the multiple 4$M AAV extensions. Those guys will have to be the difference makers you’re looking for. 

    The Faber extension is on the books for next year already.  The Kaprizov extension wouldn't be on the books for two years yet.  So the money they spend on Kirill will not effect the salary spending next summer.  So what we have available next year is what is going to be used to sign Rossi, Marat, Lauko, and Chisholm or possible free agents.  Johansson and Merrill will be gone.  The year Kirill's contract goes into effect Zuccarello and Begosian are off the books.  I doubt either will get a contract.  So that is 5 million that year to go onto the 9 million Kirill makes now.  That would be 14 million a year for Kirill.  So his contract extension is going to make zero impact on spending next summer.  Even if they still sign Zuccarello for another go at it, it wouldn't be for 4 million.  There is going to be two or three prospects that are going to be cheaper and beter at that point.  

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    On 10/15/2024 at 12:23 AM, Citizen Strife said:

    What's pretty funny is they still have games where they can get 3-4 goals, or be a team that clings on for dear life for 2-1 losses and yet still get points out of it.

    Games seem to be inconsistent, and with that I really like what I was seeing last night against the Blues.  They were aggressive at both ends, increased their passing game, better checking and blocking, more disciplined play, and seemed to dominate possession.  Wild benefitted from a couple of lousy penalties, and their F/O percentage still needs work...overall I'd rather see the team that played the Blues show up every game this year than what I saw most of last year. 

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    Quote

    Then again we have seen what happens when you draft for shear size (*cough* Stramel *cough*)

    Some promising news from Michigan State; In four games Stramel has two goals, one assist, and is +3.

     

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