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  • The Quinn Hughes Trade Finally Gives the Minnesota Wild "Christmas Morning"


    Image courtesy of Bob Frid - Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    Credit to Minnesota Wild general manager Bill Guerin: He did it.

    When the Wild were finally on the cusp of losing the titanic twin dead cap hits from the Zach Parise and Ryan Suter buyouts, an overjoyed Craig Leipold told the media, "Next July 1 is going to be like Christmas." 

    That was in October 2024, and when July 1 (and then July 31, and the 2025-26 season home opener, etc.) came around, it was looking as if Christmas wasn't coming. 31 Grinchy General Managers denied the Wilds down in Wildville an impact player, and with the trade market ground to a halt since the summer, it was looking like that'd remain the status quo.

    But here's the thing: No one can know when a superstar is going to become available. All Guerin could do was keep his powder dry, which he did. He didn't tie up cap room with an expensive, but underwhelming UFA signing. He didn't cash in his chips for a good-but-not-difference-making player like Jordan Kyrou. He waited for an opportunity and shot his shot when the time was right.

    Trading a player like Quinn Hughes doesn't happen, and a big part of that is that there's not many players like him to begin with. It's not sufficient to call him a "No. 1 Defenseman," a "star," or even a "superstar." Hughes is a franchise-changing presence. He's one of 12 defensemen ever -- EVER!!! -- to score 90 points in a season. Better yet, he's in his age-26 season, his absolute prime. 

    The rare players who are like him -- Cale Makar and Erik Karlsson being the only ones from this century that feel like Hughes' true peers -- elevated their teams in ways almost no defenseman can. Makar has a Stanley Cup and two Norris Trophies under his belt at age-27, while prime Karlsson (who won the Norris three times) dragged an uninspiring Ottawa Senators team to within one game of the Stanley Cup Final in 2017.

    The price going the Vancouver Canucks' way -- Zeev Buium, Marco Rossi, Liam Öhgren, and a 2026 first-round pick -- might make some squeamish. This is a topic to be discussed another day in full, but it must be stressed that Hughes is a caliber of player worth the cost for two crucial reasons.

    One, Hughes fills the Wild's biggest need: A game-changing defenseman. Not merely a very good defenseman, as Minnesota has employed plenty of those, from Jared Spurgeon to Jonas Brodin to Ryan Suter to Matt Dumba and more. Maybe Buium could have been Hughes in time; we'll find out how well he fills those skates in Vancouver. But make no mistake: Hughes is the 99th percentile outcome for Buium. Buium could become extremely good, a legitimate No. 1 defenseman, and still not be close to Hughes' level. 

    The gulf between Hughes and any defenseman not named "Makar" is enormous. Hughes has 267 points since the start of the 2022-23 season, more than anyone but Makar (285), and crucially, 34 more than third-place Josh Morrissey. In terms of Hughes' impact on his team, Evolving-Hockey measures his impact during that time as being worth 20.7 Standings Points Above Replacement, tops among all defensemen. Second place is Adam Fox (18.0), and Makar is in third (17.5). Put another way: For every 82 games, Hughes' play is worth a point in the standings more than the next-best defenseman.

    That's a massive need for Minnesota, but it wasn't the team's biggest need. No, that was one that felt almost silly to mention, as it felt unrealistic as recently as Friday morning. The Wild needed another top-10 player to pair with Kirill Kaprizov, and they got one.

    Not only that, it's a legitimate debate as to whether Kaprizov is the best player on the Wild. In fact, the temperature of the NHL before the season was that Hughes was slightly above Kaprizov. In The Athletic's Player Tiers, which was built with input from sources from around the NHL, both were MVP-caliber players, with Hughes landing in Tier 1B (eighth overall) and Kaprizov in Tier 1C (tenth). 

    The Wild are now one of three teams with two MVP-caliber players in their lineup, with the Colorado Avalanche (Makar, Nathan MacKinnon) and Edmonton Oilers (Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl) being the other two. Those teams made up three of the last four Western Conference Finals winners. And now, the Wild get to be in their league, at least at the very top of their lineup.

    What happens next will be fascinating. How much can Hughes push the pace for the Wild, both at 5-on-5 and on the power play? How insane will a top pairing of Hughes and Brock Faber be, perhaps? Does Danila Yurov have what it takes to backfill the loss of Rossi? Or heck, with Kaprizov and Hughes together, does the center position even matter all that much?

    We'll start finding out those questions as soon as Saturday, but in the meantime, enjoy the moment, Wild fans. It's Christmas morning, and now the Wild have a Quinn Hughes. Ho ho ho.

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    Horrible trade.   He will be gone to free agency after 2027 as a UFA because he wants to play for the Devils.   We just gave away 4 1st round picks and we get a guy for 1 1/2 years.  Dumb

    Edited by MNCountryLife
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    5 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    We just gave away 4 1st round picks and we get a guy for 1 1/2 years.  Dumb

    That's not certain .A lot depend how Wild will do rest of saison and also in play-off . But how much Wild are able to offer Hughes contract wise ?

    They have a lot of exciting player's now but still Center depth is not there 

    EEK hurt for 20 games and Top line center would be Ryan Hartman 

     

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    17 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    Bg better have a handshake deal to sign for more years

    I'd be willing to bet that being team USA gm has given him good insight.  

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    Still trying to shake off the shock of this and figure out my feelings so here we go. Quinn is elite, all stop. Top 2 defenseman in the NHL, on a team that, let's be honest, is not good. He also puts up points, again on a bad team, which can't hurt. Very excited to see what he can do on this roster and working with Boldy and Kap. 

    The mixed feelings, losing Zeev, but our hope would be that he develops in a Quinn or Cale right? Hughes is also only 26, so he's not old. I'm sad about losing Zeev, but that is all based on potential. What if he becomes good but not elite, let alone top 5 dman. Ohgren? Meh, has been getting better but are we sure that Haight can't preform the same? Rossi hurts, young, center, getting better each year. But he went out the 11th,during the ot loss to the sharks. Then without him, an absolute heater. I'm not saying better without but, definitely have been preforming quite well while he's been out. Yurov is quickly adapting well to the Kap style of free style give and go hockey so he is a good fit at 1c. Who breaks up line 2? So Rossi line 3? Will be missed hard if Yurov or ek get dinged up. Future 1st? It may be Super Mario, it may be James Sheppard. 

    I think I am talking myself into being OK with it and see why it makes sense. This all hinges on a long term resign, deep playoff runs/hoisting the cup. If a 2 year rental no cup, fire everyone, if he won't sign and really wants to go to NJ, flip him next trade deadline to recoup. For now, I will enjoy having an elite offensive defenseman driving play. Him and Faber is sexy, brodin and spurge can still be elite, also letting them jump up in the play a bit more safely. Bogo, hunt, jiricek( if he progresses) could be fun. Jiri and hunt could be a fun 3rd pairing if they put it together. 

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    21 minutes ago, goenzoy said:

    That's not certain .A lot depend how Wild will do rest of saison and also in play-off . But how much Wild are able to offer Hughes contract wise

    We have to sign him long term to make it worth it

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    If on Christmas, the neighbor stole my brand new bicycle that was exactly what I wanted and replaced it with his smaller, older, more expensive bike that is faster today, but likely to break down sooner...and stole half of my gift cards too...then I guess it's like Christmas.

    I have no doubt that Quinn Hughes is dynamic offensively, but I have no idea how good he is on defense. He was certainly one of the better players from a really mediocre draft, but Buium's future should be incredible.

    I feel like I got the old version of something I really wanted instead of the new upgraded version, and it cost me far more than the new product. I suspect this trade will make the Wild better in the current season, and hurt their future.

    I thought Guerin did a pretty solid job of building up assets, but I just don't know how this one is going to work out.

     

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    13 minutes ago, AKwildkraken said:

    I'd be willing to bet that being team USA gm has given him good insight

    I hope so...  but the contracts as is must change to make it worth it. 

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    12 minutes ago, IllicitFive said:

    Still trying to shake off the shock of this and figure out my feelings so here we go. Quinn is elite, all stop. Top 2 defenseman in the NHL, on a team that, let's be honest, is not good. He also puts up points, again on a bad team, which can't hurt. Very excited to see what he can do on this roster and working with Boldy and Kap. 

    The mixed feelings, losing Zeev, but our hope would be that he develops in a Quinn or Cale right? Hughes is also only 26, so he's not old. I'm sad about losing Zeev, but that is all based on potential. What if he becomes good but not elite, let alone top 5 dman. Ohgren? Meh, has been getting better but are we sure that Haight can't preform the same? Rossi hurts, young, center, getting better each year. But he went out the 11th,during the ot loss to the sharks. Then without him, an absolute heater. I'm not saying better without but, definitely have been preforming quite well while he's been out. Yurov is quickly adapting well to the Kap style of free style give and go hockey so he is a good fit at 1c. Who breaks up line 2? So Rossi line 3? Will be missed hard if Yurov or ek get dinged up. Future 1st? It may be Super Mario, it may be James Sheppard. 

    I think I am talking myself into being OK with it and see why it makes sense. This all hinges on a long term resign, deep playoff runs/hoisting the cup. If a 2 year rental no cup, fire everyone, if he won't sign and really wants to go to NJ, flip him next trade deadline to recoup. For now, I will enjoy having an elite offensive defenseman driving play. Him and Faber is sexy, brodin and spurge can still be elite, also letting them jump up in the play a bit more safely. Bogo, hunt, jiricek( if he progresses) could be fun. Jiri and hunt could be a fun 3rd pairing if they put it together

    I like the positivity...but I will take longer to get there.    

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    What're the lines now? Assuming...

    KK - Yur - Tara

    NoJo - JEEK - Boldy

    Treni - Hart - ?

    Jones - Sturm - Piti

     

    Hughes - Faber

    JoBro (when he gets back) - Spurge

    ? - Bogo

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    7 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    feel like I got the old version of something I really wanted instead of the new upgraded version, and it cost me far more than the new product. I suspect this trade will make the Wild better in the current season, and hurt their future

    Yep...  I feel that as well.  We just lost Zeev... and yes... I do think he is the next Makar.

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    3 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    I am okay with Ohgren,  a first and even Rossi... but not Buium...  

    Yeah, he might get really good. Hughes might make us forget all about Boo-Yum though.

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    20 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    We have to sign him long term to make it worth it

    Agreed 4 first rounder for 1 1/2  years would be too much 

    But Quinn Hughes is an amazing player but still worried about center depth now even if they played well when Rossi was out

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    1 minute ago, FredJohnson said:

    he might get really good. Hughes might make us forget all about Boo-Yum though

    I have no doubt that Hughes is awesome.   It's the length of his contract that worries me.

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    1 minute ago, goenzoy said:

    Quinn Hughes is an amazing player but still worried about center depth now even if they played well when Rossi was out

    And we are still missing a top 6th forward

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    4 minutes ago, MNCountryLife said:

    I have no doubt that Hughes is awesome.   It's the length of his contract that worries me.

    Oh for sure! Gotta extend him or this was a collosal f-up.

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    1 hour ago, MNCountryLife said:

    Horrible trade.   He will be gone to free agency after 2027 as a UFA because he wants to play for the Devils.   We just gave away 4 1st round picks and we get a guy for 1 1/2 years.  Dumb

    you win with him - he stays. and you do this trade knowing that you have a chance to win. he can bond with his brothers in the off season. this is our time. 

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    25 minutes ago, FredJohnson said:

    What're the lines now? Assuming...

    KK - Yur - Tara

    NoJo - JEEK - Boldy

    Treni - Hart - ?

    Jones - Sturm - Piti

     

    Hughes - Faber

    JoBro (when he gets back) - Spurge

    ? - Bogo

    Foligno or Aube-Kubel

    On D Middleton and Hunt or Kierstadt was called up.  That's not his name but it starts with a K.

    Edited by AKwildkraken
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