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  • The Justin Brazeau Trade Was A Step In the Wrong Direction


    Image courtesy of Eric Hartline-Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    It was always going to be easy to dunk on the Minnesota Wild at the trade deadline. Short of putting big-money players like Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek on LTIR, they simply didn't have the flexibility to grab a big fish like Mikko Rantanen or Brock Nelson or Brock Boeser.

    They couldn't get a medium fish, either. 

    We must consider that difficulty when judging what the Wild did at the trade deadline. Maybe you're not thrilled about the Wild flipping a second-rounder for Gustav Nyquist, but what else could they have done? In a playoff chase, standing pat isn't much of an option, especially with Minnesota's offense sputtering.

    But the Wild did manage to find a way to make a move, swapping out Jakub Lauko on their active roster for Justin Brazeau of the Boston Bruins.

    Did they get better for the move? Probably. 

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    All due respect, Lauko's a "Nice guy, tries hard, loves the game" kind of guy. He's willing to get physical, has speed, and is a bit of a sparkplug. Still, you've got to have some offensive utility in the NHL, and Lauko didn't show much of that in Minnesota because his hands were a weakness.

    Meanwhile, Brazeau offers Minnesota three things they need at the moment: His 6-foot-5 frame, right-handed shot, and sneaky-good goal-scoring ability over his short NHL career. Since making the NHL last season, just days after his 26th birthday, Brazeau has potted 15 goals in 76 games.

    That's not a ton, but considering his ice time, it's fairly efficient. Since the start of the 2023-24 season, Brazeau's 0.95 goals per hour (in all situations) tie him for 144th among 411 forwards with 750-plus minutes during that span. That rate puts him right there with Jesper Bratt (0.96 Goals/60), Mark Stone (0.95), and Evgeni Malkin (0.94). Not bad. 

    And, perhaps notably, more than anyone currently on the Wild aside from Kaprizov (1.69), Matt Boldy (1.13), Marco Rossi (1.00), and Eriksson Ek (0.97). Maybe Brazeau doesn't do much else, but scoring goals is the hardest thing to do in the NHL. However, if Brazeau indeed has the touch he showed in Boston, he has a chance to help Minnesota a bit. It's kinda weird that a team fighting for their playoff lives was regularly scratching him, but hey, it's worth a shot.

    If the move was for Lauko and the sixth-round pick they threw to the Bruins, this is a fine move, even if it doesn't move the needle all that much. But the Wild also threw in Marat Khusnutdinov, a soon-to-be-23-year-old center with upside. Giving up on an interesting young player before he hit 100 games makes the move much harder to swallow.

    Two things can be true at once: Khusnutdinov hasn't been an NHL-caliber player since making his debut in March of last season, and this was too soon to trade him. It's not just that Khusnutdinov scored just three goals and 11 points in 73 games. It was that he rarely took his tools -- his high-end speed, his ability to be a pest at 5-foot-10, the hands he showed in the KHL -- and put them together. He was merely solid defensively and a black hole on offense. 

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    Brazeau is likelier to help the Wild make the playoffs in 2024-25 than Khusnutdinov was, especially with the latter in the AHL because of the salary cap. As a short-term move, that's an upgrade.

    But why are the Wild playing the short game?

    No one in Minnesota thinks it's the Wild's year. Ownership acknowledges this is Year 2 of the front office's five-year plan. When Kaprizov came out looking like an MVP, and Minnesota stacked up wins, that was fun, of course. Still, no one at the Xcel Energy Center really thought this team was a Cup contender. Certainly not with $15 million in dead cap space.

    And, seemingly, that included the front office. A team going for it wouldn't have traded their first-round pick for David Jiricek, whose value was future-focused. They would have kept their powder dry to pursue a Nelson, a Boeser, or someone who could provide immediate help.

    What made the Jiricek move so great was that it was playing for 2025-26, when the Wild would have some money to throw around and build up some depth. It was a team looking at their window and making moves to take advantage of it while being honest about their chances this season. That was a step in the right direction.

    Khusnutdinov for Brazeau feels like a step in the wrong direction.

    Presumably, Minnesota sees their window as Years 3-through-5 of their plan. Who's more likely to make an impact then? A fast 22-year-old center who had a strong career in the KHL before arriving in Minnesota? Or a big 27-year-old winger with a nice shooting percentage in less than 1,000 NHL minutes?

    There's a decent chance that in three years, Brazeau will be a solid fourth-line NHLer, and Khusnutdinov will be back in the KHL. It's also plausible that neither player will be in the NHL in three seasons. But trading in the NHL is partly based on playing the odds, and the chances that Khusnutdinov will be a solid middle-six NHL forward in three years are much higher than Brazeau. 

    Again, the Wild lacked flexibility in dollars to spend and assets to trade, which must be respected. But to what end did Minnesota part with a fast, young center? To get slightly better, sure. But in a Central Division where the Dallas Stars just got Rantanen and the Colorado Avalanche landed Nelson and Charlie Coyle? It seems like the Wild traded Khusnutdinov for a knife to bring to a howitzer fight, and that simply doesn't feel like enough reason to do that.

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    14 hours ago, Protec said:

    It's no big splash but it certainly isn't a massive failure.

    Re Trenin: count the number of times t-bag fails to execute simple hockey plays with the puck:

    1) clearing the puck out of d-zone.   He fumbles puck out to neutral zone but not far enough to get a line change

     2) he did the windmill arms fall down last game

     3) he not only plays a heartless game (it doesn’t look like he cares) but his decision making proves he’s dumb too.  That’s a tough combo. 
     

    this is the guy bill chose to spend his money and term on. 

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    14 hours ago, Protec said:

    Plenty of 20-22yo guys have shown more at the NHL level than Knudi or Lauko. So do you wait and wait or does a 27yo big guy get a chance for a fresh start and opportunity? We can all see these aren't primary moves with long-term implications. I would venture to guess Knudi is not the next M. St.Louis

    Agree.  I’m not heart broken to lose the grape Knuts because khuz is too tiny and has zero Finnish and Laukzy, well we hardly knew ya.  That said, I think the smarter way to manage our assets was to hold onto these cheap unproven assets another year to see what they can become.  Oversized ahl forwards are easy to find/sign especially if they aren’t really nhl’rs.   I’m giving brazzars a chance, but bill and Brackett don’t have a great track record for identifying talent

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    11 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    he was still  developing, had skill and motor and heart.

    These are the traits about khuz that make this trade such a head scratcher. Why the urgency to deal this kid now    And watch bill get huffy when he’s asked to explain it

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    To me sometimes it feels like BG is over his head this trade braz for Morat and Lako and a pick seemed very steep maybe braz for the pick and trade morat for what could of been a third i dont think he was working out here not that i think hes bad but he might need skill to thrive lako im sure could of been a different deal for a late pick and i wavier treinin and hes either hid in the AHL which i than think frees up his cap no. All this aside tho if i dont hear minny has extended kap on July 1 id fire BG on July 2nd 

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    Just a thought …. Maybe KK didn’t want to go on LTIR because he wants to showcase his talents for whatever team trades for him AND he is willing to sign an extension with.  Since it is so difficult for the Wild to get top tier free agents, I have to believe BG approached KK and talked with him about the benefit of being able to go after a Ranty at the deadline if KK agreed to LTIR.  I know KK loves to play, but it makes zero sense for him to play in the last couple of regular season games when the Wild don’t have the scoring punch to go far in the playoffs.

    Even if showcasing that he is healthy for other teams didn’t cross his mind, KK is likely to be put off by another first round exit.

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    20 hours ago, WildNotMild said:

    Just a thought …. Maybe KK didn’t want to go on LTIR because he wants to showcase his talents for whatever team trades for him AND he is willing to sign an extension with.  Since it is so difficult for the Wild to get top tier free agents, I have to believe BG approached KK and talked with him about the benefit of being able to go after a Ranty at the deadline if KK agreed to LTIR.  I know KK loves to play, but it makes zero sense for him to play in the last couple of regular season games when the Wild don’t have the scoring punch to go far in the playoffs.

    Even if showcasing that he is healthy for other teams didn’t cross his mind, KK is likely to be put off by another first round exit.

    Unlikely in my opinion. Also, what the heck do the Wild have that could have been used to trade for Ratty? I know, Boldy, Rossi, Faber +++. Ratty is worth the cost but not the future. The team would probably be left with so little talent outside KK and Ratty that the results would not have been any better.

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    1 hour ago, Up North Guy said:

    Unlikely in my opinion. Also, what the heck do the Wild have that could have been used to trade for Ratty? I know, Boldy, Rossi, Faber +++. Ratty is worth the cost but not the future. The team would probably be left with so little talent outside KK and Ratty that the results would not have been any better.

    I would have traded Kaprizov for Rantanen at the deadline. Rantanen is a better player, bigger, stronger, more consistent and a lot less injury prone. All the Wild have is Kaprizov and Boldy (only when on a rare hot streak). Because of annual long term injuries, Kaprizov is killing this team.

    The Wild only had to pay this year's remaining salary and Carolina would have eaten the rest to get a player back of Kaprizov's stature. Plenty of money in the coffers to sign Rantanen to a long term deal starting next year, as Dallas did.

    I truly believe Rantanen just wants to get even with Colorado and would have signed with any Central team. Dallas has more upside today, but they are old and now out of money to build anything significant long term.

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    We had a 2nd instead of Nyquist.  We have a 1st still.  We have more prospects than can possibly play in our lineup.  We also have Rossi, who I would like to keep, but would be willing to trade for Rantanen.  The trade was for two firsts and two thirds plus a good player.  My point is/was that without getting KK to go on LTIR, we had no chance to bring in a second top tier forward at the trade deadline.  Doing so would have bettered the odds of getting into the playoffs, getting past the first round and giving KK another good reason to resign-sign.

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    We could’ve matched the 2026 and 2028 first round picks.  Without Nyquist, we could have sweetened the 2026 third round pick to a second and matched the 2027 third round pick.  If Rossi was considered not as good of a prospect, then we could’ve added another player/pick.

    Lou’s comments recently were that it would have been good for the team if KK went on LTIR, but he likes to play (which is a good thing).  I have to believe that if he had a choice between playing 1-3 regular season games and the playoffs without Rantanen or zero regular season games and playoffs with Rantanen that he would choose the latter.  KK hasn’t started to skate yet and I don’t see the Wild rushing him back for more than a few games.


    The Wild could have used the same framework above to get EP from VAN.  I think this was a huge missed opportunity to at least try to get a second elite player.

    Edited by WildNotMild
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