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  • Nikolaj Ehlers’ Could Elevate His Game Next To Kirill Kaprizov


    Image courtesy of Bob Frid-Imagn Images
    Kalisha Turnipseed

    The Minnesota Wild are looking for an upgrade at center in free agency, but the center pool is shallow. The Wild will have to continue to build from within. General manager Bill Guerin can still make noise by signing a winger who can be the complete scoring threat to replace Marcus Johansson in the top-six. The Wild can spread their forward depth to 12 forwards by putting players in the right roles. 

    Nikolaj Ehlers is going to test free agency. He's ready for a fresh start after the Winnipeg Jets signed Neal Pionk to a 6-year deal with a $7 million per year (AAV) cap hit. The Jets will likely sign Kyle Connor to a deal worth around what Colorado Avalanche’s star Nathan MacKinnon ($12.6 million per year) or what Toronto Maple Leafs’ star Auston Matthews ($13.25 million per year) is making. Ehlers won't be able to get a better raise. With newfound cap space, Guerin can make a splash by signing Ehlers, which sets up a Kirill Kaprizov extension. 

    Ehlers is coming off a career year in which he scored 63 points in 69 games. He nearly produced a point-per-game season, but injuries hampered his production. Ehlers can continue where he left off, but he needs to stay in the lineup to earn a raise. 

    If the Wild can get him to play up to 75 to 80 games, they’re getting more value. Furthermore, Kaprizov may be able to build chemistry with Ehlers by creating breakaways for him. 

    That’s why getting Ehlers can be a game-changer for the Wild. He's a speed demon like Marian Gaborik was, propelling Kaprizov to play at a higher level. We think we've seen the best of Kaprizov, but with Ehlers’ speed being an excellent complementary skill, Kaprizov will be unstoppable. 

    This dynamic duo can perform at a high level with a big, rugged, hardworking two-way center in Joel Eriksson Ek

    Eriksson Ek will block the middle of the ice to set up turnovers as he feeds Kaprizov the puck with Ehlers flying down the wing with a breakout pass. Suddenly, Ehlers is skating all alone, bearing down on the opposing goaltender. The Wild must find a way to upgrade from Johansson to keep him out of a top-six role now that Guerin has money to spend. 

    Johansson can still thrive in a depth role, and that’s a bargain for $800,000, even if fans have grown tired of him. Thanks to his transition speed, Johansson can still be useful on the second power play. Is it possible for head coach John Hynes to play Ehlers and Johansson on the second unit? That would instantly make the Wild’s power play better due to how many odd-man rushes they can generate! 

    Ehlers hasn't played with a talent like Kaprizov. Connor is the closest talent to Kaprizov on the Jets. However, Ehlers played on Winnipeg’s second line while Gabriel Vilardi spent most of his time with Connor on the top line. Playing with Kaprizov consistently instead of Vladislav Namestnikov and Cole Perfetti will improve Ehlers’ production. Ehlers’ speed is comparable to Mitch Marner’s, but the Wild can’t afford Marner and Kaprizov.

    Adding Ehlers would improve the Wild’s top-six because Hynes could move Matt Boldy to the second line. He could help Danila Yurov’s transition to the NHL. The Wild will likely move on from Marco Rossi to improve the top six. Yurov playing with Boldy gives him a head start in replacing Rossi’s production and providing secondary scoring. The Wild might have their own version of Florida Panthers’ Sam Reinhart, who Wayne Gretzky p as the league’s smartest player. 

    Yurov can benefit from playing alongside Ehlers on the second power play unit. Yurov will likely play bumper, which will help Yurov as a goalscorer. Yurov can also line up for deflections because David Jiricek will be shooting from the point. Yurov doesn’t have the speed like Ehlers and Johansson have, but he will be in the right place at the right time, which is all that matters. Mats Zuccarello joining makes their power play lethal. 

    Ehlers makes the Wild a faster team, and they should add more speed in their lineup instead of bringing back Justin Brazeau. He would provide more skill and consistent scoring than Gustav Nyquist

    The Wild should give Ehlers a five-year contract worth around $9 million annually to convince Ehlers to sign. If Ehlers weren’t injury-prone, he would likely get $9.5 million, but the Wild need to conserve cap space. Ehlers gets to be Kaprizov’s speedster at even-strength while making the second power play faster by playing with Johansson. The Jets will hate this move because Ehlers will take his game to the next level with a rival team. 

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    I mean, upgrade over NoJo, for sure, but, we are getting excited about a guy who is 29 for a 5 year at 9mil per? So paying a 34 year old 9 mil sounds good but paying Rossi who is 23, with very similar points on a worse team than the Jets, especially when missing guys like Kap and Ek for a chunk of the season around 6 to 7 seems insane? Maybe I am missing something, I am not a Jets expert but being 6ft 172, while Rossi is only 5'9" but 182 goes against the too small argument that gets made. Yes he has speed for days but is that enough? What else does he bring?

    This gets into the argument we see so often on here, where his game may be elevated by Kap, which would be great, we cast doubt over others who have done the same. I guess I am just not as excited about bringing in a small speedy forward, at 9 mil until he is 34. Let me know what I am missing here if you would be excited about this signing at that price. (I get you overpay in FA because that is the nature of the beast)

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    Rather bring in Ehlers at $7.5M, but I understand that the league might have too much cap space for that to be enough this offseason.

    I don't love his listed weight(172 lbs), but 95th percentile on top skating speed and 88th percentile on shot speed both sound promising.

    Edited by Imyourhuckleberry
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    I don't see Ehlers as an upgrade over Rossi. This seems like a lateral move at the very best. It's a pass for me.

    Today's reports seem to be honing in on a Canucks deal. #15 pick and a player. I don't really see anyone on the Canucks roster I'd be excited about. Pettersson seems like he's on the decline and is too expensive. Boeser has only had one season where he out-scored Marco (using this years points total) and seems injury prone. I looked at their prospects and none of them are exciting. 

    Sign Rossi, give him another year and we can see what we get from Yurov, Ohgren, etc. I'm thinking this is not the year to make a splash unless Billy can get creative and not chase the same ball as the other dogs.

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    Extend Kap. 

    Extend Rossi.

    Keep Yurov at wing instead of trying to make him a center.

    Then I would try to move Spurgeon and sign Ehlers.

    I like Spurgeon a lot, but we have a lot of up and coming defensemen.

     

     

    Edited by Dis-allowed display name
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