Jump to content
Hockey Wilderness
  • Kirill Kaprizov's League-Wide Reputation Is In Purgatory


    Image courtesy of Matt Kartozian-Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    It's been a long five months since we've seen Kirill Kaprizov hit the ice, so it might be difficult to remember what it was like to watch him play. But hop in your time machine and go back to this spring, and you'll witness a version of Kaprizov who was playing like an MVP.

    After taking a game to shake off the rust after returning from injury on January 13, Kaprizov went on the greatest heater the Wild franchise had ever seen. Over the next half-season, he scored 33 goals and added another 29 assists for 62 points in 40 games. That run represents the most in franchise history, and it's not even close. From January 15 on, only Auston Matthews had more goals (36), and just Connor McDavid (75 points), Nikita Kucherov (72), and Nathan MacKinnon (71) surpassed him in points.

    Even with a slow start from a lingering leg injury late in the 2022-23 season, as well as some more missed time near mid-season, Kaprizov still played like a borderline MVP for the entire 2023-24 campaign. His 46 goals and 96 points in 75 games ranked eighth and 11th in the NHL, respectively. On a per-game basis, Kaprizov had more goals than David Pastrnak and more goals and points per game than Jack Hughes and Matthew Tkachuk. Put a pin in those names.

    With a monster season like that, the NHL has to fear him as they would any MVP-type player, right? Right?

    Not according to The Athletic's annual NHL Player Tiers list, which combines the opinions of Sean Gentille, Shayna Goldman, and Dom Luszczyszyn, then sends it to NHL coaches, analysts, and the like for cross-checking. For the past two seasons, Kirill Kaprizov has been at the top of their second-tier... which is where he remains entering this season.

    "In a different market with a different system and a stronger supporting cast, Kaprizov might get a lot more buzz as a Tier 1 player," explains The Athletic's trio. "He’s on an island. Between the Wild’s defensive brand and their weak offensive support, a 105-point pace is a lot more impressive there than it is elsewhere. While everyone knows how good Kaprizov is with the puck, not enough factor in the degree of difficulty."

    To which my only response is, "Uhhhhhhh... weren't you the ones writing the list?"

    Hey, I get it. The list is trying to counteract the writer's biases by including 200 hockey men and women in the process, and it seems the hockey world gives Kaprizov (slightly) less thought than the list-makers. Moreover, these conversations can veer dangerously close to Please like my player, which is never a good look. 

    But also... it's not really about me convincing them to like the player on the team I watch the most. They already do! You're all smart, just trust yourselves!

    This is one where the computer kids have it right. The last three players in Tier 1 are all wingers: Hughes (don't come at me, he didn't take a faceoff from February 8 on), Pastrnak, and Tkachuk. We already talked about how Kaprizov outscored each of them on a per-game basis last season.

    Now let's take a look at their all-around games with Standings Points Above Replacement for last year:

    SPAR 2023-24:
    David Pastrnak: 7.6
    Kirill Kaprizov: 7.4
    Jack Hughes: 5.7 (prorated to 82 GP; 4.3 SPAR in 62 GP)
    Matthew Tkachuk: 4.9

    Kaprizov didn't get to jump the line after turning in a Pastrnak-like performance and besting Hughes and Tkachuk? It's not like the gap between these players was so massive beforehand. Kaprizov had already had one 100-point season and two 40-goal campaigns under his belt before he stepped foot on the ice last season.

    There's also a line in that write-up that just sets off alarm bells. The idea that Kaprizov would be more respected league-wide "in a different market with a different system and a stronger supporting cast" is the last thing you want in Kaprizov's ear if you're a Wild fan. That kind of talk leads to a team starting over a two-decade-long search for a superstar.

    Gentille, Goldman, and Luszczyczyn have hope that Kaprizov can finally get the kid of reverence his skills merit this season. "With the Wild starting to grow around Kaprizov, this might be the year he finally makes his mark as an MVP fixture. A spot in Tier 1 is up for grabs."

    Let's hope so because being stuck in purgatory sucks.

    Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

    • Like 3

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    Top 5? Maybe not… Top 10? Sounds about right… a lot better than Top 20 and what he gets credit for. If he plays consistently dominant like he did when he was on his “heater” then there’s an argument to be made that he’s top 5. I hope taking him off the line with Boldy and Ek works out. 

    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I think it’s pretty funny to think and read kappy wants to go to Chicago.  The team that rebuilt the right way by being bad a few years to get  top talent an assets . Versus the so called rebuild mediocre on the fly , acquiring mediocre talent an assets . The Billy /craig rebuild loses you a franchise talent to the team that rebuilt the right way. To funny. To think every playoff Billy and Craig see kappy and bedard going places while there still waiting for some unknown draft pick to fill kappys talent and help them make playoffs.  
       If kappy is going to leave , I hope it’s Chicago so he can stick a dagger in Billy and Craig’s bs rebuild on fly crap. Billy’s has done nothing in his time here. Can’t get a broken laine to come here or keep a franchise talent.  Thankfully we have Freddy and Jo Jo 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Doesn't seem like a major slight to me. Still listed in top 15, ahead of Mitch Marner. Marner has tallied slightly more points/game the last 3 seasons, but Kaprizov does have higher goal totals.

    You could easily put Kaprizov in the top 10, but every fan would love to have anyone in the  top 20 on their team.

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    So, if that was the production, and it seems weird but wasn't that about the time Heinzy switched to the Boldy-Ek-Kaprizov line, why would you break that up? Seems to me that that line had chemistry together, and all of the parts of that line could play. 

    Now the question is building a 2nd line that can give you secondary scoring. I don't agree with the concept of passing the wealth around. You've got a dominant line here with a player who should be recognized in the top tier. Don't mess around with it!

    Now, figure out a way that you can put a 2nd line together that doesn't have to face another team's checking line. I would assume that Rossi would be that center. At this point, trying Zuccarello and Hartman on his wings would be the best thing, but I'd be looking hard at Ogie replacing Zuccarello on that line. All 3 of these players wouldn't be as good as the top line, but all 3 could put up 20 goals if they mesh. 

    1 more reason not to break up that top line: You don't have to change it for PP1. Yurov, Heidt are coming. Eventually they can also help on line 2, but at this point, we've already assembled line 1. 

    For those who think that Zuccarello needs Kaprizov to put up points, you need to re-examine this team. Zuccarello should be able to stand on his own, not get a contract because he can get gimme points being with Kaprizov. He needs to hold up his end of the contract bargain and produce where he's put.

    Heinzy hated many things last year and had enough of some. The east west passing spree that was Zuccarello-Kaprizov was too much. They got broken up. He also looked on with disdain on the majority of Johansson's shifts and while everyone starts with a clean slate, you've got to think that Johansson's place in the backyard is close to the doghouse. You could also tell by Heinzy's deployment that the AHL 4th line was pretty much benched for the 3rd period of close games. He's looking for more and a different kind of game. 

    Start with your top line that can rival Dallas and Colorado. Then build a 2nd and 3rd line. Putting Rossi centering line 2 isn't bad when you have Dinorat who can fill in with Trenin and Foligno on line 3. If some vets don't like getting shoved to line 4, then there's only one solution: play better.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    In any other Market?  This isn’t the MLB.

    If the Wild had a bigger arena, they’d lead the NHL in attendance.  They led the league in capacity percentage in 23-24, despite the awful product.

    They get no nationally televised games.  This is a media bias issue, not actually a market size issue.

    Everyone knows about Kaprisov within the league, and within knowledgeable fans.  Casuals who jumped on the Vegas or Florida/Tampa bandwagons likely haven’t seen him play more than a game or two.

    At the end of the day, whether the perception by a subsection of casuals is accurate, that perception is a result of how Geurin is running this thing.  He needs to go.  He’s totally screwed the pooch here, and after some of the extensions and flubbing the Yurov migration, he can no longer fall back on the buyouts as an excuse.  He’s taken the franchise from an annual contender (despite the playoff failures) to a hopeless case.  That’s why it’s looking increasingly likely that Kaprisov will bolt.  Not because he’s worried about how he’s perceived by casuals that are there for the FOMO and social aspect, and know nothing about hockey.

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    On 9/25/2024 at 1:33 PM, Dean said:

    I think it’s pretty funny to think and read kappy wants to go to Chicago.  The team that rebuilt the right way by being bad a few years to get  top talent an assets . Versus the so called rebuild mediocre on the fly , acquiring mediocre talent an assets . The Billy /craig rebuild loses you a franchise talent to the team that rebuilt the right way. To funny. To think every playoff Billy and Craig see kappy and bedard going places while there still waiting for some unknown draft pick to fill kappys talent and help them make playoffs.  
       If kappy is going to leave , I hope it’s Chicago so he can stick a dagger in Billy and Craig’s bs rebuild on fly crap. Billy’s has done nothing in his time here. Can’t get a broken laine to come here or keep a franchise talent.  Thankfully we have Freddy and Jo Jo 

    The dude who said that pretty much backtracked his statement and basically said it was bullshit he shouldn't have even said on that podcast. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites



    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...