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  • The Kirill Kaprizov Rumor Mill Is Here To Stay


    Image courtesy of Jamie Sabau-Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    The end is near. Anytime a market not deemed "desirable" by the hockey world has a star player nearing free agency, the doomsday prophets show up in force. Look at the ongoing situation with people wildly speculating about Connor McDavid, whose contract expires in two seasons.

    These rumors are inevitable, whether they turn out to be true (See: Panarin, Artemi) or the player ultimately sticks around (See: Draisaitl, Leon). There are only two ways to stop them: A player signs or leaves. There is no in-between.

    The Minnesota Wild aren't going to be immune to those rumors. In fact, they've officially kicked off Wednesday morning. Fans in the State of Hockey -- at least, the ones unfortunate enough to still be using Twitter -- woke up to see this on their feeds:

    Oh, no. What had previously been a free-floating dread that something awful might happen was displaced by an actual, concrete NHL "Rumor." This was doubly concerning since the initial version was incorrectly attributed to The Athletic's Joe Smith. But while Mark Lazerus (also of The Athletic) is based out of Chicago, he is very much involved in the national media landscape, so his words have clout.

    As panic crept through Minnesota, Lazerus sought to clarify his statement on Twitter. 

    He was emphatic in his denial that this was coming from Kaprizov or his camp. "Nothing is imminent, nothing is set in stone," the reporter insisted. "Kaprizov is not asking out, nothing like that. Stand down. I didn't intend to imply otherwise."

     

    But that denial isn't the end of the story, and it's not the end of the rumors. Now that the first one is unleashed, prepare to see things like...

    Kaprizov, a free agent in the summer of 2026, would look great as a New York Ranger. The Blueshirts offer a Stanley Cup Contender complete with countrymen Artemi Panarin and Igor Shesterkin, as well as being able to shine on the biggest stage of U.S. hockey.

    Or...

    Would Kaprizov want to relocate to Florida? The Panthers are always contenders, and there's a lineage there with Pavel Bure having made South Beach his home. The weather and no state tax have to be appealing for the star winger.

    Or...

    Mark Lazerus hinted back in September that Kaprizov might want to jump to Chicago, and the destination makes sense for both sides. Kaprizov can give Connor Bedard a bonafide superstar linemate a center-winger battery that can compete with Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, or Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson. Meanwhile, Kaprizov would join a wealth of young Blackhawks talent.

    This is the world we live in, and it will be that way until Minnesota can lock Kaprizov into a long-term deal. Will that happen? It's hard to say.

    Part of it is that we don't know what motivates Kaprizov the most. Is he going to make that choice based on winning? On money? On the best living situation for him? And even if we knew that, we probably can't know his assessment of this team's future and won't until he either signs or tries to find a way out. Anything past that is speculation.

    It's hard to imagine that Kaprizov can't break the bank here. Draisaitl is making $14 million against the cap, and you have to imagine that's the starting point for an agent. While that's a hefty price, we're really only talking about a $5 million per season investment over what he's making now. The Wild can probably talk themselves into that, even if they're skittish about the number.

    The bigger concern, at least the one that's in Minnesota's control (assuming Wild ownership and Bill Guerin can't terraform St. Paul into a San Jose/Miami-esque beach paradise or whatever) is the part about winning. We spoke yesterday about how the knock on Kaprizov in the eyes of the league is that we haven't seen him on the biggest stage, working with premier players. Is that going to change this year?

    Minnesota had better hope so. Because if Boldy can be a fantastic running mate to Kaprizov -- and Guerin has said that Boldy can score 50 goals and 50 assists in this league -- and propel Kaprizov and the Wild to new heights, it might be an easy sell to keep the star around. Especially since they have young Russian players coming in Danila Yurov and Marat Khusnutdinov, and we know that Kaprizov values playing with his countrymen.

    If not? Minnesota could still convince him to stay, but there are no certainties... Except for us be seeing a steady stream of doomsday reports and rumors, that is.

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    On 9/26/2024 at 1:18 PM, Citizen Strife said:

    The main thing is location.  I have never gotten the sense Kaprizov is a "me first" bright lights kinda guy...  I think location comes down to weather and comfort.

    Chicago and Minnesota have extremely similar climates, also very comparable to KK's hometown.  This argument doesn't hold water.  At KK's income, comfort can be bought in any locale.  If he wanted better climate, Shy-town isn't far enough south.  

    If KK has that strong of a desire to leave, then it's for a team that has a better chance at cup dynasty during his NHL career than what MN is trying to build around him.  

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    I wasn't really considering climate as my main point when I said that.  Chicago is a much bigger city and "higher pressure" environment than the Twin Cities.  Some people might be drawn to that sort of thing, some may not.  Weather plays a factor, but might not be that big a deal.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    I was listening to Sirius NHL radio awhile back and they were talking with Jordan Leopold iirc. They talked for quite awhile about the things a player considers important when choosing a team to go to or choosing which teams to put on their no go list.  The players wife and or girlfriend it seemed had almost as much to say about it as the player. Which makes sense, I would never make my wife move somewhere she didn't want to go nor would I consider living separately.

    Next seemed to be if the team has a winning culture followed by tax rates and city culture and safety. Climate was a consideration as well but didn't seem to be a deal killer for many. 

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    On 9/27/2024 at 3:39 PM, Lern2spell said:

    Kaprizov not re-signing will immediately set them back in the same hole.

    There were two ways to manage the three years of cap hell created by the buy-outs:

    1)  Sign some skilled players Kap would be willing to make a run with in 2025-26 and beyond, play a bunch of kids on ELC'S, and let some veterans walk when their contracts were up. Results would probably be missing the playoffs (missed playoffs anyways last year).

    2) Try and field a team that can compete for the playoffs during the cap recapture years, and hoping it is enough for Kap to want to stick around. This is what Guerin did by re-signing some vets, hoping for a resurge in secondary scoring this year. 1st year of cap hell, they made the playoffs. Last year they did not, putting a spotlight on how crucial this year is for the immediate future. The Wild have drafted pretty well, and may have some very nice pieces to put in place in the next couple of years, but nobody (including Kaprizov) knows how that will work out. 

    My point was simply that option 1 would have at least increased the chances Kaprizov would re-sign.

    Either way, not having 97 in two years would put the Wild back in a hole...

     

     

    No, it doesn't.  Fletcher left us with almost no prospect pool at all.  It's not the same.

    Option 1 also doesn't work because skilled players cost more, meaning you have two good lines and the rest of your roster is worse than ours is now.  With that you are literally 1-2 injuries from tanking the entire season where with the team now, we could absorb 1-2 injuries.  I think we have a better shot of making the playoffs with the current team rather than what your proposing - and that is more likely to get Kaprizov to stay than missing them again.

    Then next offseason, after the recapture penalties are mostly off the books, we enhance the team by adding a skill player.

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