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  • John Hynes's System Adjustments Drove His Honeymoon Period


    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
    Justin Hein

     

    When an NHL team fires its head coach, the company line is that the team just needed a fresh voice in the locker room. But what does that mean? Is it just a buzzword? Perhaps it just conveniently threads the needle between the less-believable, The last guy was so bad he should never coach again, and don’t worry -- the roster we built is fine!

    But in John Hynes’ case, it’s becoming clear what his fresh voice brings. In an excellent Athletic article, the players from Hynes’ previous coaching stops describe him as a detail-oriented coach who gets the best out of his skaters. New Jersey Devils goaltender Cory Schneider put it best: “He’ll tell you exactly what he expects out of you and what he needs out of you. He doesn’t mince words. There’s no gray area of ‘just make a play or make a read.’ It’s like, ‘I want you here, I want you here.’

    He’s capable of identifying minor adjustments that unlock massive on-ice improvements. By meeting his players on an individual level, he communicates these adjustments effectively and develops a close personal bond with his players. 

    That certainly squares with what Hockey Wilderness’s Justin Wiggins identified about Hynes’s new-look penalty kill. Hynes made two simple adjustments to the PK forwards. He wants them to be less aggressive in the neutral zone and drop deeper in the defensive zone. That allows them to support the defense off the rush better and prevent mistakes in their own zone. By changing just two small details, Hynes has the same personnel killing penalties at a 93% clip (13/14) during his tenure. 

    Former Minnesota Wild player Wes Walz joined Michael Russo on his latest podcast to identify some of Hynes’s early tactical changes. Walz noted that Minnesota’s breakout is more compact. They support the puck carrier with multiple close passing options rather than spreading out across the whole ice sheet. The point of this is to relieve pressure on the puck carrier. 

    Jake Middleton echoed these sentiments. “We’re really playing tight as a five-man unit,” he explained. “Early on in the year, we might’ve got spread out not being cohesive together … There’s a ton of clarity on what your options are and where you want the puck to go.”

    Note how this pays off on Marco Rossi’s goal against the Chicago Blackhawks: 

    Kirill Kaprizov makes a great play to overturn a loose puck, and he has Mats Zuccarello available as a quick outlet. His target is no farther than center ice so that Kaprizov can make the pass instantly. Zuccarello is under immediate pressure but immediately hands the puck off to Rossi. The Wild don’t out-skate or outnumber Chicago, and the play requires very little space. And yet, it’s essentially indefensible. 

    Compare that close support to Rossi’s goal from October in Washington: 

    Calen Addison makes a hard cross-ice pass to Marcus Johansson, switching the puck from the right side of the ice to the left. Johansson carries the puck and swaps places with Rossi at center ice. Then Johansson rifles the puck to Marcus Foligno on the right wing, and the puck changes sides from left to right. Foligno shoots the puck to a streaking Rossi up the left wing (another change of sides), and Rossi walks in alone. 

    Each of these passes takes a great deal of skill to catch cleanly. This play is awesome, but the degree of difficulty is much higher. “Our breaking out is a lot better than it has been,” as Foligno put it, “Guys are snapping the puck around tape to tape. It’s a lot easier when you play like that.” Hynes has made things easier on his offense by emphasizing support for the puck carrier. That also means fewer turnovers, which is easier on the defensemen. 

    Along with this change in breakout philosophy, Walz called out a change in personnel deployment. Specifically, Hynes tends to pair his best forwards and his best defensemen. 

    Evason typically avoided this philosophy because he liked to match his best defensemen against his opponents’ best forwards. He also preferred to attack the other team’s worst defenseman with Minnesota’s best forwards. 

    Those matchups make a lot of sense if the game is more spread out because that style of play puts the defensemen on an island. However, that often led Evason to pair his top forward line with the bottom defense pair on offensive zone faceoffs. 

    While this nicely shelters the bottom pair from challenging assignments, it puts a lot of pressure on the scoring lines. Third-pairing defenders typically have less skill, which means they’re less effective when the forwards pass the puck to the point. 

    Hynes deploys Kaprizov’s line or Matt Boldy alongside Jared Spurgeon or Jonas Brodin. These players can carry or pass the puck much better than the third pair. That skill maximizes offensive zone time for the team’s best players. 

    Both philosophies have merit, but Hynes’s is more traditional. He’s going to ask his bottom-six forwards and third-pair defensemen to hold up defensively. For the grinders at the bottom of the roster, this is their forte. They chase loose pucks, dump them into the offensive zone, and forecheck. 

    Evason asked his bottom-pair defensemen to support the top line. Hynes is willing to throw the bottom end of his roster into the deep end. The idea is for Minnesota’s best players to outweigh the trouble the bottom of the roster gets into. 

    So far, the tradeoff has favored Minnesota. The team has earned a plus-13 goal differential in Hynes’s first four games. 

    Hynes has also re-energized the power play, contributing to that goal differential. Minnesota’s new-look man-advantage unit plays a more structured and connected style, which features the “bumper” player. 

    1-3-1 Structure - Bumper, Net-front, and point QB.JPG

    Image Credit: https://thehockeywriters.com/red-wings-power-play-2022/ 

    You can see the effect of this change during Boldy’s redirection in Calgary: 

    Zuccarello carries the puck down the left wing. As a left-handed shot, he can threaten to pass to all four of his teammates and shoot. Joel Eriksson Ek parks himself in the slot -- this is the bumper position. Eriksson Ek’s presence in the slot forces attention from the weak-side defenseman and the weak-side forward. That’s why Spurgeon, Kaprizov, and Boldy come open for a couple of seconds. 

    Compare that structure to Kaprizov’s power-play goal on November 2nd, on Evason’s power play:

    Boldy briefly sets up as a bumper option but drifts too deep toward the net. He then sets up a screen with Eriksson Ek and the Devils’ John Marino and Jesper Bratt. The system appears less rigid, allowing Boldy to abandon the bumper spot. On the other hand, Kaprizov’s passing options are far less predictable. 

    The screen is impossible for goaltender Vitek Vanecek to handle, but the chances are high that one of these four players blocks the shot. This play puts a lot of pressure on Kaprizov to make the perfect shot, whereas Hynes’s scheme makes things easier on the players. 

    Note that before Boldy’s goal above, all four of Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, and Kaprizov are dangerous shooting options. It’s another example of providing the puck carrier with close and quick passing. 

    So what happens when the penalty killer covers the point player, eliminating that easy pressure release? Let Brock Faber show you: 

    Because the near-side forward steps out to cover Faber, it forces the weak-side defender to respect Johansson’s one-timer. That opens up a three-on-two on the strong side below the faceoff dots. Since the bumper player (Rossi) stays in the open space in the slot, that’s too much ice for Chicago’s defensemen to cover. This will be one of the easiest goals Rossi scores all season. 

    So far, the early results of Hynes’s tenure are very encouraging. Even more encouraging is that he’s quickly implemented highly effective systems changes. After all, the best coaches are great teachers. 

    The Wild have a tough schedule for the rest of December. They play four games in three days, then six games in ten days. The teams they play over those stretches are far better than the teams they played in Hynes’s 4-0 start. Moreover, those teams now have tape on all of the Wild’s system changes. 

    Hynes has a history of hot starts that flame out. If he wants to buck that trend in Minnesota, he must react to the counter-punches his colleagues across the league throw at him. 

    Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

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    26 minutes ago, Will D. Ness said:

    We need a better 3rd pairing D in this system.  Goligoski is the slowest guy on the ice (in the league?).  Merrill is an emergency stop gap at best.

    For what they're paid, these guys are fine. Minnesota has been spoiled with a deep corps of defensemen for a long time. Our current third pairing looks bad if you mostly watch the Wild, but most NHL teams just live like this. 

    Now, the depth is on the third line. Foligno, Hartman, and Maroon are all performing very effectively. That should balance out the ugly plays from the bottom pairing. 

    Help is on the way next year -- Hunt, Lambos, and O'Roarke should push for a roster spot next year. 

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    DE was out a week ago saying he didn’t want to give out secrets but kappy is hurt and has been since start of year. . Today you can read he’s now blaming the goalies for his firing. What an entitled baby. It’s not normal to be out talking about injuries to your former player or to blame certain players for your downfall. How often have you heard fired coaches run around media outlets making excuses for there firing? They usually just go away with class and dignity.  DE embodies the entitled culture bill has created.

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    14 minutes ago, Dean said:

    Today you can read he’s now blaming the goalies for his firing.

    My spidey senses tingled when I heard him expose the 97 injury situation.  I'm sure the org. was not happy with him doing this.  If he's now out blaming the goalies, he needs to be careful because there must be language in his contract that allows Leo to stop paying Dean if rules are broken.

    All that said, if I'm Dean I'm pissed too getting fired after 20 games half of them without spurge, Boldyzy and Fred.  And the goalies did suck the tail pipe over that stretch.  

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    12 minutes ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    My spidey senses tingled when I heard him expose the 97 injury situation.  I'm sure the org. was not happy with him doing this.  If he's now out blaming the goalies, he needs to be careful because there must be language in his contract that allows Leo to stop paying Dean if rules are broken.

    All that said, if I'm Dean I'm pissed too getting fired after 20 games half of them without spurge, Boldyzy and Fred.  And the goalies did suck the tail pipe over that stretch.  

    Dean Evason was the fall guy to protect Bill Guerin. Barely a week before the Evason firing, Bill Guerin was acting like it was all the players fault and that there was nothing the coaches could do to fix it. After the Sweden trip, Guerin did a 180 and fired Evason and Woods. Guerin went from exonorating the coaches to scapegoating the coaches in short order. I would have given Evason until at least Christmas or preferably the All star break, but Leopold must have been putting pressure on Guerin to stop the slide.

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    3 hours ago, Will D. Ness said:

    We need a better 3rd pairing D in this system.  Goligoski is the slowest guy on the ice (in the league?).  Merrill is an emergency stop gap at best.

    I'll go further and say Merrill is a turnover machine.

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    1 hour ago, Quebec1648 said:

    Dean Evason was the fall guy to protect Bill Guerin. Barely a week before the Evason firing, Bill Guerin was acting like it was all the players fault and that there was nothing the coaches could do to fix it. After the Sweden trip, Guerin did a 180 and fired Evason and Woods. Guerin went from exonorating the coaches to scapegoating the coaches in short order. I would have given Evason until at least Christmas or preferably the All star break, but Leopold must have been putting pressure on Guerin to stop the slide.

    Should he have fired/cut the players? There are only a few things a GM can do early/mid season, dumping the coach is pretty much all that was left after meetings and what not. I liked Dean myself, was excited to see what he could do when the young guns got a chance but the time had come for a change, the players weren't responding and the season has been embarrassing, I am not convinced all the players would regress this hard due to age. Should Bill have fired himself? He called out players, rightfully so, because they were playing like horse dung. Looked lifeless and checked out. He would then support the coaches because, well, that's what you do, the coaches aren't playing and I bet are doing everything they can to motivate, days off, extra practice, talking to them, yelling at them. Nothing was working, Bill then comes in and rips the players apart, nothing. You don't have many options left, and well, it looks like the right call, going 4-1, and even their loss they looked like a much different team. Would them losing 17 or 20 then firing have been better if that happened or would people be asking why did he wait so damn long?

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    20 hours ago, IllicitFive said:

    Should he have fired/cut the players? There are only a few things a GM can do early/mid season, dumping the coach is pretty much all that was left after meetings and what not. I liked Dean myself, was excited to see what he could do when the young guns got a chance but the time had come for a change, the players weren't responding and the season has been embarrassing, I am not convinced all the players would regress this hard due to age. Should Bill have fired himself? He called out players, rightfully so, because they were playing like horse dung. Looked lifeless and checked out. He would then support the coaches because, well, that's what you do, the coaches aren't playing and I bet are doing everything they can to motivate, days off, extra practice, talking to them, yelling at them. Nothing was working, Bill then comes in and rips the players apart, nothing. You don't have many options left, and well, it looks like the right call, going 4-1, and even their loss they looked like a much different team. Would them losing 17 or 20 then firing have been better if that happened or would people be asking why did he wait so damn long?

    My entire point, was that a week before the firing, Guerin was talking as if the coaches were safe and not to blame for the slide. Guerin said it was on the players to turn things around. You can`t make those statements, and then fire the coach a week later. That's why Evason should have been given more time. The Wild are a wild card team at best this year, so keeping Evason on a few more weeks would not change much. Guerin also brought in one of his buddies as the new coach, which is also suspect.

    The Suter / Fletcher country club is gone, but it has been replaced by the Guerin country club.

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    On 12/8/2023 at 11:28 AM, Will D. Ness said:

    We need a better 3rd pairing D in this system.  Goligoski is the slowest guy on the ice (in the league?).  Merrill is an emergency stop gap at best.

    I noticed this specifically against Vancouver. It seemed like they made rookies mistakes but were vets. I'd rather have rookie mistakes from rookies who are faster and need to learn.

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    On 12/8/2023 at 12:00 PM, Justin Hein said:

    Help is on the way next year -- Hunt, Lambos, and O'Roarke should push for a roster spot next year. 

    I think Hunt is ready to surpass Merrill this year. O'Rourke may not make it. He plays way too violent of a game to be at 180lbs. He needs bulk for his style especially. 

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    23 hours ago, Quebec1648 said:

    Dean Evason was the fall guy to protect Bill Guerin. Barely a week before the Evason firing, Bill Guerin was acting like it was all the players fault and that there was nothing the coaches could do to fix it. After the Sweden trip, Guerin did a 180 and fired Evason and Woods. Guerin went from exonorating the coaches to scapegoating the coaches in short order. I would have given Evason until at least Christmas or preferably the All star break, but Leopold must have been putting pressure on Guerin to stop the slide.

    In hindsight, the first part was Guerin lying through his teeth. I think it was Ryan Carter who stated (maybe it was Walz in Calgary) that Hynes was asked by Guerin a couple of weeks before the firing to watch the Wild games and get a feel for the team. That kind of heads up only comes when a GM is planning on making a change. I thought he wouldn't do it before Sweden but if things weren't successful over there (they weren't) Evason was in deep trouble. 

    Guerin's problem was that he needed a viable replacement for Evason. Prior to the firing, I didn't realize he wanted to also let Woods go. Could Darby have been interim coach? I don't think so, not with the expectation of turning the ship around to make the playoffs. So, Guerin turned to one of his guys, gave him a heads up to watch and analyze, and this way Hynes did not come in stone cold. 

    Guerin may also have known that Hynes was meticulous in his details, and would need some time to get up to speed. I did not know that Hynes was on Guerin's short list, did anyone else?

    Also, against Edmonton, with tired legs, to me, it looked like the Wild started to defer to old habits (something done when the physical body gets tired). Those old habits were standing still and firing long passes. I believe this will be addressed today as they prepare for Seattle. 

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    1 hour ago, Quebec1648 said:

    You can`t make those statements, and then fire the coach a week later. That's why Evason should have been given more time.

    Yes you can, and it happens all the time. It was the dreaded vote of confidence to the coaching staff. That typically lasts about 2 weeks. If nothing turns around, the coach is gone. That was really a warning shot across the bow of Evason to get different results or you're done.

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    Also, on Kaprizov being hurt, I believe it is absolutely true. Here is my evidence:

    • He looks like he has trouble going 10-2 to the right
    • He used to be strong on his stick, it isn't there
    • His balance looks off
    • His skating posture looks like he leaning too far forward

    I'm guessing he has something wrong with his left hip that was damaged when Stanley fell on him awkwardly. He may be playing through it, but something is definitely wrong. 

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    1 hour ago, Quebec1648 said:

    My entire point, was that a week before the firing, Guerin was talking as if the coaches were safe and not to blame for the slide. Guerin said it was on the players to turn things around. You can`t make those statements, and then fire the coach a week later. That's why Evason should have been given more time. The Wild are a wild card team at best this year, so keeping Evason on a few more weeks would not change much. Guerin also brought in one of his buddies as the new coach, which is also suspect.

    The Suter / Fletcher country club is gone, but it has been replaced by the Guerin country club.

    Are you wanting a GM with no loyalties to players? I would have a hard time believing there is a GM who does have "his guys".  While we may not agree with the extensions I respect the reasoning stated of knowing what financial situation you will have going forward. The young guys may not be ready yet, and bringing them up early can limit development., therefore rushing this would cause longer term issues. Moose may not have the points we like but veteran leadership is also important. Zuc numbers look really good so far. Marcus J, well, that one is bad but had to gamble on the production he had with Boldy last year, because, damn it looked good.  Hartman is well, Hartman, hot and cold (waiting for the hot maybe)

    As far as you can't make those statements then fire a coach a week later..... well he did so obviously he can. Again, you can't fire the players even if it is on them, you gotta make a change and that is the card he could play. Yes the new coach is someone he worked with in the past, who would you want instead? A total unknown? Someone he has no relationship with? You said you would give a few more weeks, who would you hope for then? We don't know the terms of contract so maybe there is someone in mind going into next season.

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    2 hours ago, IllicitFive said:

    Are you wanting a GM with no loyalties to players? I would have a hard time believing there is a GM who does have "his guys".  While we may not agree with the extensions I respect the reasoning stated of knowing what financial situation you will have going forward. The young guys may not be ready yet, and bringing them up early can limit development., therefore rushing this would cause longer term issues. Moose may not have the points we like but veteran leadership is also important. Zuc numbers look really good so far. Marcus J, well, that one is bad but had to gamble on the production he had with Boldy last year, because, damn it looked good.  Hartman is well, Hartman, hot and cold (waiting for the hot maybe)

    As far as you can't make those statements then fire a coach a week later..... well he did so obviously he can. Again, you can't fire the players even if it is on them, you gotta make a change and that is the card he could play. Yes the new coach is someone he worked with in the past, who would you want instead? A total unknown? Someone he has no relationship with? You said you would give a few more weeks, who would you hope for then? We don't know the terms of contract so maybe there is someone in mind going into next season.

    If Guerin was planning to make a move, then he should have worded his public statements differently. Be upfront and honest with folks. Just tell the coach he is on the hot seat, and that he has a week or so to fix things, or he's fired. That is what I am getting at. Guerin acted publicly like it was all the players fault, while privately plotting to fire the coach. If Hynes was given advanced warning to prepare, then Guerin already knew Evason was going to be fired when he may the ill advised statement blaming the players and saying there was nothing the coaches could do.

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    Evason had lost the room. Most of the players had seen enough and stopped playing for him. BG saw this from the start of the season and still gave the players a way out if they wanted it. BG then adapts and hires his guy. That's how things work. Still, the tail wagged the dog on this one and I'd say both goalies and quite a few other players were in on it.
    Goligoski and Merrill are NOT fine. They are atrocious defensemen and anything we've got in Iowa are far better choices, and cheaper. Goligoski 2M is off the books after this year and Merrill has 1 year left at 1.2M. They belong in the press box.

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    On 12/9/2023 at 4:47 PM, Quebec1648 said:

    If Guerin was planning to make a move, then he should have worded his public statements differently. Be upfront and honest with folks. Just tell the coach he is on the hot seat, and that he has a week or so to fix things, or he's fired. That is what I am getting at. Guerin acted publicly like it was all the players fault, while privately plotting to fire the coach. If Hynes was given advanced warning to prepare, then Guerin already knew Evason was going to be fired when he may the ill advised statement blaming the players and saying there was nothing the coaches could do.

    Nobody does that. No GM even does that in private. They give a vote of confidence to the current regime even though they may have just hung up the phone with their replacement.

    Furthermore, Guerin owes us fans nothing as far as honesty in what he's thinking. That stuff stays in the building under heavy security. There is so much fans never hear of what goes on in the building. 

    It would be refreshing to hear that from a GM from a fans' perspective, but if we had one like that, he wouldn't be GM very long. You cannot tip your hand publicly. And you should know this! Look at what happened when Talbot's agent went public. Look at how displeased Guerin was when Davidson leaked that the Wild were interested in Fleury. That immediately tips you off that he doesn't say a lot of team stuff publicly. He, the players, the coaches are taught to speak in cliches. You'll never find out most stuff until after the fact, if at all. 

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