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  • Jared Spurgeon Isn't Getting Enough Credit For His Impact This Year


    Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images
    Phillip Garrett

    In a game like hockey, where momentum, pressure, and emotions dictate the outcomes of games, a team's captain can often be the spark that pushes the team to new heights. Some teams have captains like Alex Ovechkin or Sidney Crosby, whose offense can carry a team. However, the players you hear about the least often make the most impact.

    That’s the case for Minnesota Wild captain Jared Spurgeon

    Spurgeon’s teammates give him accolades, but people outside the organization often overlook his impact. Spurgeon’s consistent defense and flashes of playmaking have never been more critical than now. I don’t need to reiterate that the Wild have struggled to score. So, with the postseason right around the corner, it is refreshing to see that the Wild’s 35-year-old captain has been scoring at an elevated rate.

    Spurgeon has mostly stayed healthy this season, scoring seven goals and 32 points in 65 games. It’s encouraging to see the captain return to form this year after playing only 16 games in the 2023-24 season before undergoing season-ending back and hip surgery. It also became clear what the Wild look like without Spurgeon. He’s always been crucial to the Wild’s backchecking.

    Stable defense

    Since the beginning of 2023, Spurgeon has missed 82 games. In that time, the Wild have allowed 262 goals. However, in the last 82 games with Spurgeon, Minnesota has allowed 236 goals. Because the Wild have lost 380 of their 493 one-goal games since their founding, the 26-goal difference with Spurgeon on the ice could be the difference between making the playoffs or not. The puck goes in the net less with him around.

    Screenshot 2025-04-16 at 9.34.23 AM.png

    While Spurgeon may only be +7 this season, he has a respectable career plus/minus. He has been +30 three times and +124 three times. That ties Spurgeon for the 196th-best career plus/minus of all time, tied with 35-year-old defenseman Alex Pietrangelo.

    Experts argue over whether plus/minus is a reliable stat, with the consensus being that the quality of one's team heavily affects the player’s number. However, in Spurgeon’s case this year, he played most of the season without Kirill Kaprizov to pad his stats. 

    Spurgeon did this on a team with a -12 goal differential, the seventh-worst goal differential in franchise history. 

    His blocked shots also highlight his defensive prowess. Spurgeon’s 115 blocked shots are the second-most on the Wild. I’d say his willingness to put his body on the line after undergoing major surgeries might be what the rest of the team sees in him. Late in the season, he injured his throat by blocking a shot.

    Consistent offense

    Spurgeon's defensive capabilities have been the foundation of his success, but he’s consistently produced offense from the blue line. Spurgeon may not be Quinn Hughes or Cale Makar, but he’s tied for the sixth-most points on the Wild this season. That might not have been the case if Minnesota’s offensive core had stayed healthy this season. Still, Spurgeon stepped up when the Wild needed him most, the trait of a team captain. 

    Even though Wild fans see Spurgeon as a superstar, you likely won't hear about Spurgeon’s game on ESPN or the NHL Network. Still, the Wild aren’t the Wild without him. His consistency offensively and defensively stabilizes them on both sides of the ice. Though Spurgeon has had every excuse for his offensive production to slip, he didn’t take that as an option. 

    Since 2015, Spurgeon has achieved two 40-point seasons and has only failed to score fewer than 29 points twice: once in 2020 due to a shortened season and once in 2023 because of his surgeries. During the COVID-shortened season, Spurgeon played 54 games and scored 25 points, maintaining his usual production of roughly half a point per game.

    In terms of points per 60 minutes this season, Spurgeon has maintained an average of 1.45, the third-best of his career. The last time he scored at a better rate was in the 2021-22 and 2017-18 seasons, when he scored 1.75 and 1.48, respectively. Throughout these three seasons, one constant has remained: Spurgeon stayed above 1.0 assists per 60 minutes, proving he is still a fantastic playmaker today.

    Staying consistent offensively is difficult enough in the NHL. Still, for obvious reasons, it is even more difficult for a defenseman to make a difference on both ends of the ice. Add aging into the mix, and you start to realize why you see players retire in their mid-30s. 

    While I hope not to see Spurgeon retire anytime soon, the good thing is that he still has a lot left in his game. He may not spend his entire career in Minnesota because the Wild have more reasons to let him go than to stay. But in a season of ups and downs, Spurgeon has been a constant for the Wild, who still gives us glimpses of the player he was in his prime.

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    Nice article.  I do have a question though.  

    Because the Wild have lost 380 of their 493 one-goal games since their founding,

    Our record isn't 113-380 in games decided by one goal, correct?  That seems impossible.  Anyone have a few hours to check that?

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    49 minutes ago, SkolWild73 said:

    Because the Wild have lost 380 of their 493 one-goal games since their founding,

    Our record isn't 113-380 in games decided by one goal, correct?  That seems impossible.  Anyone have a few hours to check that?

    Actually, you can check this via NHL.com by going to team stats and selecting all-time, and Team Goal Shares. No idea where the stats from the article came from.

    The Wild are 424 - 417 (.504 winning percentage )in one goal games for their history in the regular season. 188 are OT losses.  I'm not seeing how many are OT wins. In the playoffs, the win percentage for the Wild has plummeted to .302 for games decided by one goal.

    Another note that may interest some. Partly due to the points change around 2000 that has been in place for the entirety of the Wild franchise, the Wild have the 5th highest points percentage in NHL history at .561. Vegas is #1 at .632 and Utah is 7th all-time at .543 despite finishing their only 82 game season with just 38 wins.

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    I'm also seeing another correction or two that can be made now.

    Quote

    While Spurgeon may only be +7 this season, he has a respectable career plus/minus. He has been +30 three times and +124 three times. 

    That +124 was supposed to be "for his career", as far as I can tell, but that number is now +125 after tallying a +1 last night to put him +8 for this season.

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    Trade him and his 7.5 mm in the off season, it’s time, stop being a retirement community and start making shrewd and smart decisions

    when it matters - spurgeon size is exploited and it has been proven every PO series

    bye spurge

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    Spurgeon was one of my favorite players the last 25 years. I'd hate to see him go but if Billy can package him with the upcoming Rossi trade that's  7.5 extra fixing our bottom 6 nightmare. There's 2 D-man in Iowa ready to start they're full-time NHL career plus Buuim. Writing is on the wall that both Rossi and Spurgeon will be elsewhere next September. Billy is gonna surprise us all with a total revamped top and bottom 6. We all give Billy shit but he's gonna take the Wild to the promise land. 

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    Tried to find something about Spurg as far as playoff performance.  Only thing I found was Ai overview.  In 2021/22 the wild had a 2.65 goals against per 60, and a 2.01 with Spurg on the ice.  In 2022/23 the team was 2.66 and 2.40 with Spurg on the ice.  Maybe someone who is better at finding these things can help me out.

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    21 minutes ago, SkolWild73 said:

    Tried to find something about Spurg as far as playoff performance.  Only thing I found was Ai overview.  In 2021/22 the wild had a 2.65 goals against per 60, and a 2.01 with Spurg on the ice.  In 2022/23 the team was 2.66 and 2.40 with Spurg on the ice.  Maybe someone who is better at finding these things can help me out.

    what are we trying to prove with the stats? that he is not a liability against a more physically imposing teams that we face in the playoffs? or that he aged like a fine wine? or that he will likely be deployed as third pair D making 7.5 million next year? 

    smart way of handling it - is to ship him out and pass his C onto Kap

    Edited by OldDutchChip
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    52 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    what are we trying to prove with the stats? that he is not a liability against a more physically imposing teams that we face in the playoffs? or that he aged like a fine wine? or that he will likely be deployed as third pair D making 7.5 million next year? 

    smart way of handling it - is to ship him out and pass his C onto Kap

    Not trying to prove anything.  It was an article about Spurgeon so posted some things I found about him to anyone that might be interested.  Never said anything about whether we should trade him or not, how he might be in a year or two when he ages or anything else.  If you don’t like it, you are more than welcome not to read it.

    Edited by SkolWild73
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    11 hours ago, RedLake said:

    Writing is on the wall that both Rossi and Spurgeon will be elsewhere next September.

    Writing on what wall? Yours? Rossi, sure because he is not signed and it seems like Guerin isn't sold on him. I haven't seen any writing on the wall about Spurgeon though. 

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    Sure, if you can find a trade that a GM wants (not the GM mode trades we constantly hear about here), sure.  Maybe a Rossi/Spurgeon package MIGHT be beneficial.  The issue is finding the right guy teams want to part with.  If it's just for someone with lackluster stats or  injury history (like a Josh Norris), forget it.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    15 hours ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Spurgeon still has a lot to give, and the team would suffer without him.  Trading him early might be more bad than good (if the rumors end up being true).

    I'd be very surprised is Spurgzy has any trade market value.  Why? age, injury history, contract.  Take your pick.

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    That's what I've been saying.  Spurgeon hasn't shown the Goligoski cliff yet.  If you can't package him to get money savings, just keep him and see what happens when his contract is done.  Either he retires, gets traded or let go, or kept for a much cheaper price tag.  No one's going to come with those fantasy Thompson or Tkachuk ideas without dumping a lot more than Rossi and Spurgeon...

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    10 hours ago, SkolWild73 said:

    Not trying to prove anything.  It was an article about Spurgeon so posted some things I found about him to anyone that might be interested.  Never said anything about whether we should trade him or not, how he might be in a year or two when he ages or anything else.  If you don’t like it, you are more than welcome not to read it.

    I didn’t realize it was informative only

     

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    23 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Sure, if you can find a trade that a GM wants (not the GM mode trades we constantly hear about here), sure.  Maybe a Rossi/Spurgeon package MIGHT be beneficial.  The issue is finding the right guy teams want to part with.  If it's just for someone with lackluster stats or  injury history (like a Josh Norris), forget it.

    Not exactly the right approach. A good trade might be to trade him for a prospect or just picks and reuse the money saved

    Would a trade to oilers or hawks for picks interest them?

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    Fletcher's main issue (and the one with the Nyquist one this year) was selling away any and all picks for "depth" in years that the Wild weren't realistically contenders.  If the Chicago pick is high enough, and the player you'd get with the Rossi and Spurgeon savings was on the market, sure.  If by some miracle a Pastrnak is rumored, do that.  I have heard no such player since Rantanen though, so FAs like Marner, Boeser, or Ehlers is the crop at large.

    The Wild aren't all in next year, despite the allure of it.  The approach of building a ceiling is all well and good until you remember the floor is still made of loose wood.

    10-20 pt D and 20-40 pt F are expendable.  30-40 pt D and 50-60 pt F are not.  Vegas and St Louis have the floor of players the Wild don't.

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    2 hours ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Sure, if you can find a trade that a GM wants (not the GM mode trades we constantly hear about here), sure.  Maybe a Rossi/Spurgeon package MIGHT be beneficial.  The issue is finding the right guy teams want to part with.  If it's just for someone with lackluster stats or  injury history (like a Josh Norris), forget it.

    The trade doesn’t always need to bring a player back of equal value - which is what one of the options should be. If you can unload Spurge and not take back money, then you can reuse that money

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    1 hour ago, OldDutchChip said:

    The trade doesn’t always need to bring a player back of equal value - which is what one of the options should be. If you can unload Spurge and not take back money, then you can reuse that money

    Would it be worth it to retain 30-50%? Don't think you're just going to be able to unload him without incentive.

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    1 hour ago, M_Nels said:

    Would it be worth it to retain 30-50%? Don't think you're just going to be able to unload him without incentive.

    hoping not to do that, but you are correct. would columbus entertain spurge and freddy for nothing? 

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    Let's see how Spurgeon plays against Vegas. He's nearing the end of his contract and has as much MN tenure/resume as anyone currently. Yeah, his AAV is tempting to offload but it's probably not an easy one to move for a handful of reasons, not all negative.

    MN is in position to prioritize Kaprizov. That's gotta be the number one thing. Spurgeon would wanna finish out his deal here anyways, you gotta figure. I think he should too. Then the 7.5M is there after next season. 

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