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  • It's Impossible To Ignore Adam Benak's Ceiling As A Prospect


    Image courtesy of @mnwprospects on X
    Neil Urbanski

    Hockey Wilderness is counting down the Minnesota Wild’s Top-11 Prospects, as voted by our staff. Today, we give you everything you need to know about our No. 10 prospect, Adam Benak.

    Adam Benak is the type of prospect that sports fans love to root for; supremely talented and hard-working, yet undersized and therefore overlooked. So, it’s not surprising that Minnesota Wild fans, and the writers here at Hockey Wilderness, instantly became enamored with Benak after the Wild picked him in the fourth round last month.

    Our staff voted Benak as the Wild’s tenth-best prospect, and by all accounts, the hype just might be real. I’ll admit that I didn’t have Benak on my ballot, but it’s impossible to ignore his high ceiling as a prospect. He has proven that he can dominate at the junior level.

    Last season was special for the 5-foot-7 forward from Plzeň, Czech Republic. He started it off last summer by leading Czechia to a silver medal in the Hlinka Gretzky Cup, finishing second in the tournament in scoring with four goals and seven assists in five games.

    Later, he joined the USHL’s Youngstown Phantoms, where he produced 17 goals and 42 assists in just 56 games. Those numbers led Youngstown in scoring and were good enough for ninth in the entire league.

    After Youngstown was eliminated from the playoffs, Benak joined Czechia halfway through the U18 World Championship, where he caught a lot of people’s attention with his play and produced a stat line of two goals and five assists despite only playing four games.

    Benak sees the ice really well and is often steps ahead of the play. His anticipation enables him to make quick passes when he gets the puck, find space at the right time to become available for a pass, win races to loose pucks, and quickly apply pressure when opposing players find themselves in a vulnerable position.

    He has high-end straight-line speed that he generates with a powerful stride, as well as quick feet that enable him to maneuver in tight and find space and seams to make plays. Benak also has lethal hands that he uses to handle the puck at speed or in traffic, and is a deft, accurate passer. While he spent most of this past season as a center, he’ll more likely be a winger in professional hockey.

    As you can see, he does a lot of his damage in space and when exploiting lanes from the outside or in transition. Benak is also lethal on the power play. These are skills that translate up levels, but it’s also fair to question if he can become more than a perimeter player and power-play specialist in professional hockey. While the game seems to be trending toward more skilled, faster play, there’s only so much damage a player can do from the perimeter.

    Over 80% of NHL goals are scored from the slot or net-front, and so the key to consistent success remains finding ways to get the puck to that area. That doesn’t mean a player like Benak can’t find success. His ability to use his skating, vision, hands, and passing will enable him to create lanes and exploit seams no matter what league he plays in.

    However, perimeter players won’t be able to drive a line by themselves and need to be paired with possession drivers and scorers that can pull defenders to them and create space in the zone. In an era of video coaches and detailed scouting reports that prepare teams for their opponents, Benak will need to be able to effectively find space in the middle enough to keep defenses from keying on his perimeter play.

    Benak reminds me of former center David Desharnais, a diminutive player (listed at 5-foot-7 on NHL.com) with superb hockey sense and playmaking ability that managed to carve out an NHL career that included 524 regular-season games. To understand how he did so, I watched some film on Desharnais and saw that he and Benak share some comparable traits as players.

    Desharnais did a lot of his damage with the man advantage and often hung out on the perimeter, but not exclusively. He used his anticipation and play-reading ability to find space on the inside, maneuvering into space as it opened up, but he wasn’t stationary when he was in front of the net. He’d weave in at the right time to receive a pass or get a rebound opportunity, but managed to largely avoid battles with larger defensemen that would likely take him out of the play.

    While being unable to establish a consistent net-front presence is limiting for smaller players, it doesn’t mean there isn’t a role for them in the right situation. Desharnais weighed more than Benak, but he didn’t have the same skill level and wasn’t nearly as good of a skater. Despite this, he managed to find a niche in the NHL.

    I envision a development track where Benak puts on some weight and continues to capitalize on his speed, skill, and hockey sense to adapt his game to higher levels and larger, faster opponents. He should be able to slice and dice to execute quick plays to break down defensive structures and exploit mistakes as a pro.

    Suppose he can learn to use his speed and quick feet to weave through the offensive zone without the puck and get to the middle at the right times. Then, he’ll be able to overcome his smaller stature and become a positive possession player in addition to being a playmaker.

    There are multiple ways to be tenacious as a forechecker, and consistently forcing defensemen to make quick decisions can be just as effective as physical play. With Benak’s straight-line speed and willingness to pursue the puck in all areas of the ice, Benak has a chance to be an effective player on a line with possession-driving teammates.

    That’s what the Wild are also banking on, but there are some big “ifs” when it comes to Benak’s development into a professional player. After all, as Jeff Marek often says, “smaller players have to prove that they can play, while big players have to prove that they can’t.”

    Benak recently signed with the OHL’s Brantford Bulldogs for the 2025-26 season, and could very well head to the NCAA after that. Following the newly available USHL-OHL-NCAA ladder, Benak would have the opportunity to develop physically and learn to play against older players on his way to professional hockey. Although he has limited experience doing so in Czechia, it was on larger ice surfaces and in an environment vastly different from professional hockey in North America.  

    The Wild have until the summer of 2029 to sign him, and I would guess that they’ll wait as long as they can to lengthen his development path and give him the best chance to develop. Regardless, it should be a lot of fun to track Benak’s progress (and highlight reels) over the coming seasons. You can bet there will be a lot of fans rooting for him along the way. 

    Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

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    People rarely talk about the upside of being short.  Shorter legs allow you to place your feet faster with less distance to travel.  Meaning you are capable of being quicker.  Same with hands. Shorter people can drive up on larger player taking away their leverage.

    Downside:  A smaller frame makes it harder to put on muscle and more muscle can limit flexibility.  Shorter stride means top end speed is typically slower.  Less weight means harder to maintain position.

    Spurgeon is 5' 9'' and only 166 pounds.  Brad Marchand is also 5' 9'' and 180 pounds.  Neither weighs a whole lot.  Both are willing to go to the dirty areas and use their size "advantages" tremendously.  

    Not every player needs to be 6' 3'' and 220 pounds. (some do) Gaining too much weight and not being able to use it properly can have the opposite desired effect.  

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    If we can find PM Bouchard and get him on a line with this kid and Rossi!!! Imagine the possibilities. They’d skate between the legs of any Dallas or Vegas player in the first round. They’d never see it coming. Gotta think outside the box once in a while.

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    Why did he go in the fourth round?  101 other players were taken before him.  When you realize that about 60 players from each draft make it to the NHL in some form and of those around 40 play at least 300 games and few play more than 500.  You realize that it doesn't matter how much you like this kid the odds are extremely high that he won't make it to St. Paul. This is where everyone is going to say Kirill was drafted later and Dustin Byfuglien was drafted later.  Yeah sure, there is always someone who makes it from a later round.  When you look at the number of early round player success over the later round player success you instantly see that players from the later rounds are extremely rare. 

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    11 hours ago, 1Brotherbill said:

    Why did he go in the fourth round?

    Similar reason to Stankoven going middle of the 2nd round despite having top 15 skill, or Spurgeon going late rounds. A lot of GMs don't want to bet on the short players being able to find success against the strength of the NHL

    A number of fun success stories out there, but countless others who failed to make an impact when elevating to the best league in the world, and many others who didn't make it beyond the AHL. Lots of speed and skill though, generally the best player on most teams he's been on, so he could be the success story, but people understand the odds are against him.

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    I'm really hoping for a late growth spurt that allows him to keep his skill and skating. Things like that can happen, see Graovac. He doesn't need to come in at 6'5", but he could put on about 5" and be 6'.

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    So he's short, wont be playing for Billy, no matter how well he does... Unless he's trade bait. 

     

    With Billy and Hynes, no way he gets a shot. Unless it's on the 4th line and even then, doubtful.

    At best, trade bait.

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    On 8/15/2025 at 11:39 AM, MNCountryLife said:

    People rarely talk about the upside of being short.  Shorter legs allow you to place your feet faster with less distance to travel.  Meaning you are capable of being quicker.  

    Downside:  .... and more muscle can limit flexibility.  

    I didn't realize tall people were required to take full strides on every stride.....😭😭😭.

    And muscle only limits flexibility on the extreme. It would never impact a hockey player.

     

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    On 8/15/2025 at 11:39 AM, MNCountryLife said:

    Not every player needs to be 6' 3'' and 220 pounds.

    I’ve seen many posts on this site stating that every player that’s not at least 6 foot and 200 lbs is a bust. #HWExperts

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    On 8/15/2025 at 8:06 PM, 1Brotherbill said:

    When you look at the number of early round player success over the later round player success you instantly see that players from the later rounds are extremely rare. 

    Too many people think drafting is easy.

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    38 minutes ago, FredJohnson said:

    Too many people think drafting is easy.

    First rounders don't even always pan out...

    For every Joe Pavelski (7th rounder) or Anders Lee (6th rounder) you're going to get a Lias Andersson(1st rounder) or Charlie Stramel (1st rounder) 

    (edit: i guess Lias Andersson made it 110 NHL games...maybe a bad example, lets just go with Filip Johansson(1st rounder) instead)

    https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/16/nhl-draft-pick-probabilities/

    image.png.3cdba18ad20c8a1f6e11226891d2cb84.png

    Edited by MrCheatachu
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    27 minutes ago, MrCheatachu said:

    First rounders don't even always pan out...

    For every Joe Pavelski (7th rounder) or Anders Lee (6th rounder) you're going to get a Lias Andersson(1st rounder) or Charlie Stramel (1st rounder) 

    (edit: i guess Lias Andersson made it 110 NHL games...maybe a bad example, lets just go with Filip Johansson(1st rounder) instead)

    https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/16/nhl-draft-pick-probabilities/

    image.png.3cdba18ad20c8a1f6e11226891d2cb84.png

    Thanks!!

    I’m actually surprised that many 1st rounders play over 100 games. No way to tell if they are playing top-6 or top-4 (defense) minutes either. Pretty sobering that 66% of those coveted 2nd-rounders don’t play 100 games and it gets 4.6% worse each successive round (on average). Cool little jump ⬆️ in the 6th!

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    2 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Thanks!!

    I’m actually surprised that many 1st rounders play over 100 games. No way to tell if they are playing top-6 or top-4 (defense) minutes either. Pretty sobering that 66% of those coveted 2nd-rounders don’t play 100 games and it gets 4.6% worse each successive round (on average). Cool little jump ⬆️ in the 6th!

    That article is 5 years old now, I'd be interested to see if those probabilities are changing over the years as scouting and advanced analytics progresses.

    There are always going to be exceptions to the trends, and it's always easy to look in the rear-view mirror (Jeremy Swayman was available and the wild picked Mason Shaw?!), but it kinda puts into perspective the value of those higher round picks.

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    32 minutes ago, MrCheatachu said:

    and it's always easy to look in the rear-view mirror

    Oh sure, just like every team can say they could’ve drafted KK97. It still takes a bit of luck, but I’m surprised the first rounders play >99 games that often.

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    2 hours ago, MrCheatachu said:

    That article is 5 years old now, I'd be interested to see if those probabilities are changing over the years as scouting and advanced analytics progresses.

     

    There are always going to be exceptions to the trends, and it's always easy to look in the rear-view mirror (Jeremy Swayman was available and the wild picked Mason Shaw?!), but it kinda puts into perspective the value of those higher round picks.

    Here is a good article that is from this year.

     

    https://thehockeywriters.com/success-rates-of-nhl-draft-picks/

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    10 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Too many people think drafting is easy.

    Ain't that the truth!

    Food for thought: the studies smartly cited in the comments, and the many others like them, all generally show that a 4th round pick has a roughly 1/5 or 1/6 chance to have some sort of NHL career.

    The Wild have more than that number of 4th rounders that would still be considered "prospects." So, if we just go by the math, it stands to reason that at least one of them will make it. Which one, if any? I know I wrote the Benak article, but if I had to bet money right now on only one player, I'd put it on Amidovski. Second would be Benak or Kiviharju. 

    Time will tell! Guess that's why they call them "prospects" and not "sure things" 

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    Man if there's a team in this league to give you prospect fatigue it's the Wild. When a team does not win year after year after year all the hope gets pinned on the prospects. Prospects have become the entire focus of the Wild since the Matt Dumba, Charlie Coyle and Makial Grandlund coming who were going to turn this team into a dynasty. 

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    15 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Oh sure, just like every team can say they could’ve drafted KK97. It still takes a bit of luck, but I’m surprised the first rounders play >99 games that often.

    And there's one team who was offered the choice of Tuch, Greenway or Kaprizov so they wouldnt pick Haula in the expansion draft instead of Dumba...could you imagine the alternative universe where Kaprizov was in Vegas?

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    21 hours ago, FredJohnson said:

    Oh sure, just like every team can say they could’ve drafted KK97. It still takes a bit of luck, but I’m surprised the first rounders play >99 games that often.

    Well, think about it.  If a team picks a player in the first round, they are more likely to keep giving that player chances.  Even notable busts like Daigle and Yakupov played well over 100 games.  Daigle played over 600 games.  100 games is only like 1.25 seasons. 

    The 20% who don't do that are probably largely from teams that have rosters that were good enough where the prospect was just kept in lower leagues hoping they would develop.  When it became evident that they wouldn't, the team moved on.

    It would be far more interesting to know average games played by draft position.

    Edited by raithis
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    6 minutes ago, raithis said:

    It would be far more interesting to know average games played by draft position.

    I hadn't clicked SkolWild73's link yet when I typed this. 

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    19 hours ago, SkolWild73 said:

    Here is a good article that is from this year.

     

    https://thehockeywriters.com/success-rates-of-nhl-draft-picks/

    It's kind of amazing how bad 15th overall is compared to the rest of the draft order.  The rest of the draft order percentages are mostly trending in the same way, but for whatever reason, 15th specifically is as bad as picking in the late 20s. 

    I know the Wild aren't exactly known for their ability to develop players and they often pick around that, but I didn't know it was so bad that it skewed data for the entire draft.  😛

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