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  • Is Marcus Johansson A Wild Card Or A Sunk Cost?


    Image courtesy of David Gonzales-USA TODAY Sports
    Adam Overby

    Marcus Johansson's 2023-24 season with the Minnesota Wild was a tale of two halves. While his arrival sparked a late-season surge last year, he hosted a nightly tour aboard the Frustration Express this year! 

    Sure, he showed some flashes of brilliance late in the season, but that doesn't erase the invisible ghost of “MoJo,” who haunted the ice most nights! Wild fans deserve better than this inconsistent mess but don’t forget that Minnesota had nine starters out of the lineup at one point in the season. Even Wayne Gretzky may have struggled if he had missed that many teammates. Well, maybe not. But a guy who is minus-65 for his career isn’t going to become a superstar overnight just because the Wild needed that.  

    Unfortunately, Bill Guerin went with Johansson over Gustav Nyquist after Johansson went on a heater with Matt Boldy when Kirill Kaprizov was out*. Geurin treated Johansson’s performance last season as redemption from his first stint with the Wild in 2020-21 and re-signed him. The fanbase saw the front office staring desperately at a desert mirage, parched for secondary scoring.   

    Johansson struggled to find his footing early on this season. Injuries hampered his consistency, and his offensive production dipped. His defensive lapses and turnovers proved costly, raising questions about his overall impact on the ice.

    The bottom line is that Johansson's $2 million cap hit is a hefty price tag for a player who delivered flashes of brilliance but lacked overall consistency while playing in a top-six role!

    His defensive woes and reliance on linemates raise questions about his true value to the Wild. Minnesota needs reliable performers, and Johansson's Jekyll and Hyde act might not be the solution they need for a Stanley Cup run.

    Let's face it: MoJo has a cap hit of only $2 million for the 2024-25 season with a full “no-trade clause” (NTC). He is a 33-year-old left wing who the Washington Capitals drafted 24th overall almost 15 years ago. He's made nearly $40 million from eight contracts with six teams, and Minnesota and Washington scooped him up for a second tour at the trade deadline.

    Johansson has played 911 games over 14 seasons, accumulating 174 goals and 309 assists for a total of 483 points and minus 65 for his career.

    He has value and can still be a contributing teammate in the right environment. But last season's 78-game calisthenics in-game training left most fans wishing Guerin would have kept Nyquist instead.

    I see four options Billy can explore.  Which one would you choose?   

    One Last Hurrah? Why Sticking with Johansson Might Be a Gamble Worth Taking

    Johansson's inconsistency makes any Wild fan want to scream or throw things at the television. But here's a crazy thought: What if we just... ride it out? His contract year magic is undeniable. Maybe, just maybe, this could be his “one last hurrah” season. 

    Sure, it's a gamble. But the Wild front office has far more egregious contracts, trades, and draft selections to be embarrassed about than letting a $2 million player work on his cardio in a bottom-six role during game night.   

    However, the downside is limited because his contract is expiring. It could be a valuable boost for Minnesota’s playoff push if he catches fire. They can always reevaluate in the offseason with a clearer picture. Plus, with some younger players hungry for ice time, Johansson's presence could push them to elevate their game. It's a risky bet, but it could pay off with a deep playoff run. 

    The Trade Route: Overcoming the No-Trade Clause

    Removing MoJo from the roster will require a well-crafted strategy and multiple levels of creativity from the Minnesota Wild. Billy will have his work cut out because his performance might not justify his cost and full no-trade clause.  

    The ideal scenario involves convincing Johansson to waive his no-trade clause. The only play I see to move this needle is a strategic financial and/or ego attack by taking this approach to the negotiations.  

    The Wild could start by informing MoJo that they’re exploring the option of a buyout for his contract or assigning him to the AHL. However, if he was willing to waive his NTC, Minnesota could make an effort to find him a home with a team that is a true championship contender. Hey Dallas, Las Vegas, Edmonton – This is Bill Guerin; when you get a second, give me a call back.

    To sweeten the deal, Guerin could package a late-round draft pick or a prospect behind the log jam like Dakota Mermis and/or retain a portion of his salary.  

    The key to unlocking this trade resides solely with Johansson's willingness to cooperate. However, unloading two players who are not part of the Wild’s future and getting a million bucks back on the books in Minnesota’s cash-strapped final season would probably give Guerin a new nickname: “Miracle Maker!”

    The Buyout Option: Weighing the Risks and Rewards

    If trade negotiations fail, the Wild can consider a buyout. That approach offers immediate cap relief but has drawbacks because it wouldn’t free up enough cash for a league minimum contract.

    According to CapFriendly, NHL buyouts typically spread out the cap hit over double the remaining contract years. Since Johansson has one year left on his deal, the Wild would be responsible for a cap hit spread over two seasons of $1.333 million. That would save the Wild only $666,000. If they send him to the AHL, his minor league salary is still $2 million.

    If the Wild choose a buyout, timing is critical. Do they do it before or after the draft?

    Buyouts can send a message to the locker room and fanbase that the team is serious about improvement and willing to make challenging decisions. Moving forward with a MoJo buyout will open up roster spots for young players to step up and become a core piece of the future.   

    A buyout can also be a tactical motivation for the remaining players. By lighting a fire under the remaining players, letting them know that their performance matters and their jobs aren't guaranteed. No matter what, they signed the year before. 

    Waiting until after the draft allows the Wild to leverage freed-up cap space to sign draft picks or extend contracts for key players.

    The Wild Card Option: Could Johansson Find His Game in the AHL?

    Let's face it, Wild fans are chomping at the bit for a change with Marcus Johansson. But before we banish him to the minors, consider this: Jon Merrill has been a healthy scratch for almost as many games as Mojo has dressed for, and he’s not on a bus to Des Moines.

    Maybe playing in the less demanding AHL could allow Johansson to rediscover his confidence and work on his game. That would lead to a strong performance, potentially attracting a mid-season trade suitor in need of veteran depth.

    Johansson's experience could be a goldmine for the young players in the Iowa Wild. I’m not saying he’ll turn one of them into the next Gretzky. Still, a different voice or perspective can go a long way when someone is trying to learn the finer details of the game. 

    By fulfilling his contract in the AHL, Johansson frees up a roster spot on the Wild for a young player hungry for NHL ice time. This win-win allows Minnesota to focus on development while honoring its commitment to Johansson.

    It's not an ideal scenario. Still, the AHL stint could catalyze a surprising turnaround for Johansson and the Wild's future. It's a gamble, but one with some intriguing possible benefits.

    Removing Marcus Johansson from the roster requires a well-crafted strategic maneuver. While a trade with salary retention is ideal, the Wild must prepare to explore buyout options if negotiations stall. Ultimately, the best approach involves a combination of tactics that minimize the negative impacts while maximizing the potential return on investment.

    The Wild can effectively navigate the Johansson situation by focusing on internal development alongside strategic trade or buyout maneuvers. That could lead to a more competitive roster in the long run, allowing them to pursue their championship aspirations.

    *An earlier version of this article misstated Boldy's injury status. We regret the error.

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    you ask him to waive his NTC and waive him or send him back for 3rd stint in Washington (attach a pick for sweetener) 

    but he CANNOT be in the lineup this year

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    Yurov decided to stay in Russia.  Johansson is a warm body at this point, but it's 1 year at $2m.  Ride it out and see if Yurov actually wants to replace him next year.

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    Johansson is not an ideal player but this is last year and just 2 mil. Wild has a lot of other contracts to be concerned about (Hartman, Foligno, Spurgeon just naming the few). And by the way he still has 30 points. If u want him to be 40 plus point player good luck to find this type of guy for 2 mil (look at Hartman)

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    49 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Yurov decided to stay in Russia.  Johansson is a warm body at this point, but it's 1 year at $2m.  Ride it out and see if Yurov actually wants to replace him next year.

    why would you want to keep MJ playing top 6 role this year? this is insane! 

    4 minutes ago, Lovehockey said:

    Johansson is not an ideal player but this is last year and just 2 mil. Wild has a lot of other contracts to be concerned about (Hartman, Foligno, Spurgeon just naming the few). And by the way he still has 30 points. If u want him to be 40 plus point player good luck to find this type of guy for 2 mil (look at Hartman)

    this is a huge year for us, to say MJ gets one of the top 6 spots is a fireable offense! 

    BILLY do NOT do what these commentators are saying here. MJ must be gone as soon as possible. him and freddy boy.  

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    18 minutes ago, Lovehockey said:

    Johansson is not an ideal player but this is last year and just 2 mil. Wild has a lot of other contracts to be concerned about (Hartman, Foligno, Spurgeon just naming the few). And by the way he still has 30 points. If u want him to be 40 plus point player good luck to find this type of guy for 2 mil (look at Hartman)

    You're right except when you factor NoJo costing the Wild goals against or diminished morale. I would say ODC is right with the eye test. He just needs to be gone. Like a Parise/Suter scenario. Rotten apple analogy. That guy on the 2nd line turns them into a non-factor for the most part.

    At this point they're kinda stuck with him. I'd bury him as a 13th forward and begin building the chemistry with new, younger players who will takeover those roles driving play for their lines. 

    NoJo is the clearest case of Guerin seeing something weird and picking the wrong guy to sign after that Dallas series. He could have got Pius Suter or Tomas Nosek for less money. There were other options. 

    Good article. Realistic. Hopefully all the suggestions of disgruntled prospects, old vets, and psych-case players don't come true. MN already has an undersized-abundance and less money than anyone. Please don't do anything foolish this off-season.

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    Sunk cost.  Now just when you count out ole Barrel Breezers up comes a contract year and he finds a pulse.  Watch him be a legit top 6 players for half the games (best case scenario).  I can't believe there will be a market value for nojo and the league has enough tape on this noodle to know better, but if he can be dealt at deadline please do that Guerin&Co.  We will all meet to burn his jersey after he get's traded

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    Quote

    Since Johansson has one year left on his deal, the Wild would be responsible for a cap hit spread over two seasons of $1.333 million. That would save the Wild only $666,000. If they send him to the AHL, his minor league salary is still $2 million.

    That's not the entire picture if they send him to the AHL.  His paycheck will still be $2M next season (if he's skating in Iowa) but the buried threshold for 2024-2025 season is going to be $375k, which means the only part of his $2M that is going to hit the cap (if he is in the AHL) is $2M - $375k - $775k (league min) = $850K.

    I dont know why you would buy out a player for $666k for TWO seasons when you can bury them in the AHL for $850k for one seasons...

    $666k...OMG GUYS, MOJO IS THE DEVIL 

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    I don’t get why people think we have another year to waste on these Billy misfits . A. Kappy will be gone if we do and B Billy isn’t going to make a playoff contender in next years free agency. That crap doesn’t happen overnight. So how many more years does Billy get to do nothing?  He needs to stop giving lazy friends contracts and get playoff character players . Guys that actually want to show up and compete for a cup. We aren’t coming out of the buyouts in a strong position if your superstar won’t resign.  Get kappy signed by doing good gm work. Enough of the pr of hopes and dreams. Put the damn product on the ice and quit talking about it Billy 

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    31 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Where did I say keep him in Top 6?  I'm just saying buying out a year or half year adds more to the tab that we're gonna get rid of anyway.

    well where are you going to slide MJ into then? perhaps a grinder line? or top line with Kap and Ek? 

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    Prospects don’t mean anything if you don’t have good development, coaching and management. Look around the league at young talented rosters floundering. To think we will come out of buyouts with a Stanley cup contender is ridiculous imo .  To keep giving Billy time to do nothing is also ridiculous imo. How many years now has Billy gotten us nowhere?  If he doesn’t pull his head out of his arse and start building this year than kappy is absolutely gone. 

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    16 minutes ago, MrCheatachu said:

    That's not the entire picture if they send him to the AHL.  His paycheck will still be $2M next season (if he's skating in Iowa) but the buried threshold for 2024-2025 season is going to be $375k, which means the only part of his $2M that is going to hit the cap (if he is in the AHL) is $2M - $375k - $775k (league min) = $850K.

    I dont know why you would buy out a player for $666k for TWO seasons when you can bury them in the AHL for $850k for one seasons...

    $666k...OMG GUYS, MOJO IS THE DEVIL 

    due to his NTC i do not believe he can be just sent there without his content thus the predicament. otherwise - leo would have sent half the team to iowa already and we be in a swell position

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    17 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    well where are you going to slide MJ into then? perhaps a grinder line? or top line with Kap and Ek? 

    Press box(preferred) or 4th line(the guy on that line they don't use for the PK). He certainly hasn't earned more play in the top 2 lines, but even if he is only NHL replacement level, NoJo is likely better than much of the AHL.

    Dino and Shaw have well rounded defensive games for the 4th line. MJ certainly wouldn't bring any grit to that line, but he might be a decent replacement if any of the regular guys are missing time due to injury.

    He does do one thing alright that is a 4th line standard, which is skating the puck to the red line and throwing it into the opposing zone for a line change.

    Nobody is really wanting him to get 14+ minutes a night, but some people don't want his salary cap to hinder future years when this is his last with the Wild and it's highly unlikely the Wild will be cup contenders this year. Why extend his cap hit to future years?

    If they can keep him off the NHL roster without giving up assets to move him, or extending his cap hit to future years, I don't think anyone here would take issue with that.

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    48 minutes ago, MrCheatachu said:

    That's not the entire picture if they send him to the AHL.

    They allowed him (and no one rose up to take his spot) to coast, literally coast, thru a full season last year presumably for his ability to skate the puck thru the neutral zone. Without ever sending him a message using reduced ice time.  He's in the middle six for next season too whether we like it or not. 

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    Yes...because Beckman, Walker, Lucchini, and Letteri proved to be SO much better...

    Ohgren and Khusnutdinov are here to provide better depth now.

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    19 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Press box(preferred) or 4th line(the guy on that line they don't use for the PK). He certainly hasn't earned more play in the top 2 lines, but even if he is only NHL replacement level, NoJo is likely better than much of the AHL.

    Dino and Shaw have well rounded defensive games for the 4th line. MJ certainly wouldn't bring any grit to that line, but he might be a decent replacement if any of the regular guys are missing time due to injury.

    He does do one thing alright that is a 4th line standard, which is skating the puck to the red line and throwing it into the opposing zone for a line change.

    Nobody is really wanting him to get 14+ minutes a night, but some people don't want his salary cap to hinder future years when this is his last with the Wild and it's highly unlikely the Wild will be cup contenders this year. Why extend his cap hit to future years?

    If they can keep him off the NHL roster without giving up assets to move him, or extending his cap hit to future years, I don't think anyone here would take issue with that.

    there was some sarcasm in my response, so sorry - yes he should NOT be anywhere in the lineup. nowhere in lines 1-4. 

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    43 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    due to his NTC i do not believe he can be just sent there without his content thus the predicament. otherwise - leo would have sent half the team to iowa already and we be in a swell position

    A NTC and NMC are 2 entirely different things. Mojo can be sent down to Iowa without his permission. So all Billy has to do is line up a potential trade partner and if Mojo says "no"  Billy can say fine "then I'm sending you to Iowa"

    The Wild do have some leverage w Mojo.

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    8 minutes ago, Paul Bunyan is Real said:

    A NTC and NMC are 2 entirely different things. Mojo can be sent down to Iowa without his permission. So all Billy has to do is line up a potential trade partner and if Mojo says "no"  Billy can say fine "then I'm sending you to Iowa"

    The Wild do have some leverage w Mojo.

    well saying ALL billy has to do is find another idiot to take on MJ is a maybe reaching above his ability

    so if there is a requirement to have this be (a) find a trade partner and (b) ask MJ then it maybe a tough go. but if you are saying that MJ can just be sent to Iowa without his permission - then ship him out tomorrow! 

    problem solved!

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    16 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Yes...because Beckman, Walker, Lucchini, and Letteri proved to be SO much better...

    Ohgren and Khusnutdinov are here to provide better depth now.

    Ohgren and Khusnutdinov are here to provide better depth now. because we believe? because Marat had 1 goal in 16 games? is it because despite winning his first 3 FO he is just at 47% for the year? or is it because of his better than advertised speed? Or maybe its Ohgren's pedigree who played for a whooping 4 games in NHL but is ready to step in and show that he belongs? sorry until they show something, i am going to assume they are a bit less than proven NHLers

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    8 minutes ago, OldDutchChip said:

    Ohgren and Khusnutdinov are here to provide better depth now. because we believe? because Marat had 1 goal in 16 games? is it because despite winning his first 3 FO he is just at 47% for the year? or is it because of his better than advertised speed? Or maybe its Ohgren's pedigree who played for a whooping 4 games in NHL but is ready to step in and show that he belongs? sorry until they show something, i am going to assume they are a bit less than proven NHLers

    Based on the small sample size, The Rat becomes Conner Dewar 2.0 for next couple years (hopefully that's not his ceiling) and Ohgzy becomes Nino Neidereiter lite for next season.  I saw a little bit of hockey sense (right place right time) on his goal and overall play.  Hopefully he wasn't purely playing off 1st NHL experience fumes like Hooz Nuts.  Hooz Nuts looked like a world beater his first game but then came back down to earth.  Hopefully that was him playing extra responsible (based on coaches guidance) and once he settles into the NHL game he can show a little more hockey play ability.

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    1 minute ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    Based on the small sample size, The Rat becomes Conner Dewar 2.0 for next couple years (hopefully that's not his ceiling) and Ohgzy becomes Nino Neidereiter lite for next season.  I saw a little bit of hockey sense (right place right time) on his goal and overall play.  Hopefully he wasn't purely playing off 1st NHL experience fumes like Hooz Nuts.  Hooz Nuts looked like a world beater his first game but then came back down to earth.  Hopefully that was him playing extra responsible (based on coaches guidance) and once he settles into the NHL game he can show a little more hockey play ability.

    i am probably being a bit too rough on them, but only to level out the expectations and hype train. but at the same time - if the team is icing a lineup this year that includes Freddy Nutty Rossi Ohgren and MJ i will be upset. and likely so will Kap.

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    "Johansson has played 911 games over 14 seasons, accumulating 174 goals and 309 assists for a total of 483 points and minus 65 for his career.

    He has value and can still be a contributing teammate in the right environment. But last season's 78-game calisthenics in-game training left most fans wishing Guerin would have kept Nyquist instead."
     

    NoJo seems to need someone like Ovie to put a boot up his arse once in a while for motivation.

    And I remember Nyquist being a cap casualty. Am I wrong?

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    1 hour ago, Pewterschmidt said:

    They allowed him (and no one rose up to take his spot) to coast, literally coast, thru a full season last year presumably for his ability to skate the puck thru the neutral zone. Without ever sending him a message using reduced ice time.  He's in the middle six for next season too whether we like it or not. 

    I've noticed Guerin gives guys a chance til he doesn't. Best case scenario, Guerin was giving NoJo the opportunity to find it but it didn't happen. Then like Addison, Talbot, Dean-O, Staal, Fiala, Jostradamus, or Greenway, the time comes they gotta go. We'll all be happier if that happens to NoJo and the Wild move on with more guts and work ethic, less neck-beard, stick-drops, and shameful looks to the rafters.

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    Give him 3rd line minutes and ride it out. If nothing else he can effectively carry the puck through the neutral zone.  If we have another injury nightmare we are screwed anyway so what difference does it make if he is on the 2nd line as that point. Maybe we can flip him for something at the deadline. It's better than paying to get rid of him.

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