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  • How Does the Jiricek Trade Affect Minnesota's Cap Situation?


    Image courtesy of Eric Hartline-Imagn Images
    Luke Sims

    Big David Jiricek comes with a small cap hit this season. However, if the defender hits like the Minnesota Wild thinks he can, his salary will soon match his size. Can the Wild afford it with the recent extensions they’ve given to Brock Faber and Jake Middleton, in addition to the expensive veterans already on the roster in Jared Spurgeon and Jonas Brodin

    Minnesota must answer that question after acquiring Jiricek. If the offensively-inclined defenseman performs in the way that Bill Guerin and the Wild hope, he will demand a large contract extension. As it stands, Jiricek is in Year 2 of his entry-level contract, which will pay him $918,333 for this season and the next. After the conclusion of the 2025-26 season, Jiricek will become a restricted free agent. 

    Jiricek’s salary isn’t a cap issue for the Wild. He’s also on a two-way contract, meaning he can freely move from Minnesota to Iowa without being subjected to waivers. 

    Minnesota’s top four are all signed for at least the next two seasons after this. Spurgeon’s deal ends after the 2026-27 season, one before Jiricek needs a new deal. So the Wild will not need to pay out big money to their defenders besides the small sum Declan Chisholm will get for his impressive play this season. 

    Zeev Buium may eventually squeeze Chisholm out of the left side of Minnesota’s defense, but that won’t affect Jiricek. 

    In the meantime, Minnesota must sign star winger Kirill Kaprizov and young center Marco Rossi. The Wild have their young core locked into long-term contracts, and the rest of the roster shouldn’t be expensive. Veterans like Mats Zuccarello, Marcus Johansson, and Zach Bogosian’s contracts will expire. However, due to their age and declining production, they won’t be back with the team or will sign a team-friendly contract. 

    Speedy youngsters Marat Khusnutdinov and Jakub Lauko are restricted free agents, and neither will demand hefty raises if the Wild decide to bring them back. 

    Guerin could trade for or sign expensive players. However, aside from that, goaltending is the only significant cost the Wild must account for on their current roster. 

    Filip Gustavsson is playing at a Vezina level, and the Wild must extend him if they want to keep Gustavsson and Jesper Wallstedt in net long-term. Gus has been a Jekyll and Hyde player, so who knows how he’ll play next season before his contract expires. However, if he plays like he has this season, that number will certainly be more than $3.75 million.

    The NHL salary cap should rise as much as $9 million next season, giving the Wild more wiggle room to sign Kaprizov to an extension next summer. Minnesota could also use that money to extend Rossi and Gustavsson. 

    Add it all up, and the Wild should have about $74 million of their $97 million in cap space committed to 15 players, including most of their defensive core and both starting goalies (assuming Fleury retires). Rossi and Kaprizov take up $20 million of that, and Minnesota must fill out its roster, which leaves them with around $3 million to sign Jiricek to an extension. 

    Suppose the team waits to give him an extension until after his rookie deal expires. Then, they’ll have more wiggle room with nearly $6 million combined from Zuccarello and Bogosian coming off the books. 

    If Jiricek costs the Wild nearly $9 million, the team will be in great hands with the young Czechnian. However, if Jiricek flames out and does not live up to his potential, the Wild won’t have to worry about how much he’ll cost, just the big price they paid to acquire him. 

    Jircek’s cost also depends on his development. If he comes along slowly, he may not get a hefty contract like Faber’s. If the most likely scenario occurs, and Jiricek gets used to the defensive system, and his offensive game can also come along, he’ll get a bridge deal. 

    Jiricek reminds me a ton of St. Louis Blues defenseman Colton Parayko, and I see his time in Minnesota going similarly to Parayko’s early development. After his first two full seasons in the NHL, Parayko recorded 33 and 35 points, respectively, in back-to-back seasons. That led Blues general manager Doug Armstrong to offer his young 6’6” right-shot defender a five-year deal at $5.5 million AAV. 

    If the Wild's investment in Jiricek pays off and he becomes the dominating, physical, two-way, offensive force they hope he can be, they should have the money for him. 

    All stats and data via HockeyDB, Evolving Hockey, and Cap Wages unless otherwise noted.

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    When OCL said it was going to be like Christmas next season, I don't think he envisioned getting a young guy like this and then having to pay him. I'd love it if we could do this with a forward too, and that would be our Christmas.

    Does Jirzy, at this time, have the same callup capability as Hunt did? I think it's close and about the same price. But here's what I noticed this past week. Lambos is improving in Iowa. This may have made Hunt expendable. The #1 pair was Crotty-Lambos, the #2 pair was Spacek-Hunt. 

    I think with that information, trading out Hunt was good for Hunt and was probably good for Lambos. It just thins the herd a bit. I'm not very high on Masters as he's with the Heartlanders, nor Peart as he looks like he has a lot of ground to make up.

    With Jirzy, I'm seeing a bridge deal no doubt! He will not have his first full season until next year. I think he's a cornerstone type of piece. Another consideration that has played absolutely nothing in the N is Yurov. He's 7-7-14 in 26 games, so far, and Metallurg looks like a 5 seed in their conference right now. 

    Things look to me like they are fitting right in place. Finally the large bodied defender with offense is here. Luke, my thought was similar, this looks like our Parayko. The Parayko before the back problems was really a great player, probably coveted by almost every team.

    I don't know about you, but it's hard not to get excited about where this team can go. If I'm Kaprizov, I'm noticing that I can win with these guys!

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    I'm having a hard time trying to understand what happened to O'Rourke. He came up during the Covid lockout and played underaged for the baby Wild, and while his stats suggest he was lost the first half of the season, his 2nd half was pretty good. Then he goes back to jrs. for a season and he never gains any traction after he gets back to Iowa. I wonder if he would have stayed in Iowa and not looked back if things would be different?

    He was a quality prospect, when drafted. Now, he's an afterthought. 

    Also, don't look now but Ryder Ritchie has found his game again. After a really tough start he's up to 9 pts. (13 games). Heidt is still killing it.

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    Of the two, I'd expect Buium to be the one inching towards or exceeding Faber's cap hit, not Jiricek...having both playing the level that'd require would mean the Wild D-corp would be fucking insane.

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    Great write up! Jiresek, Buium, Heidt and Yurov as the next 4 to grow into starring roles is so exciting! If anyone is worried about how Guerin will manage the contracts, you haven’t been paying attention have you? 

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    2 hours ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Of the two, I'd expect Buium to be the one inching towards or exceeding Faber's cap hit, not Jiricek...having both playing the level that'd require would mean the Wild D-corp would be fucking insane.

    My thoughts exactly!

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    3 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I'm having a hard time trying to understand what happened to O'Rourke. He came up during the Covid lockout and played underaged for the baby Wild, and while his stats suggest he was lost the first half of the season, his 2nd half was pretty good. Then he goes back to jrs. for a season and he never gains any traction after he gets back to Iowa. I wonder if he would have stayed in Iowa and not looked back if things would be different?

    He was a quality prospect, when drafted. Now, he's an afterthought. 

    Also, don't look now but Ryder Ritchie has found his game again. After a really tough start he's up to 9 pts. (13 games). Heidt is still killing it.

    O'Rourke only was able to play in Iowa that first yr because of the canceled Canadian Jr league (which I think you were mentioning). He had no choice but to go back to jr the next yr based on his age.

    Only other option for him would have been the NHL roster.

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    The bit about Rossi and Kaprizov taking up 20 million of the cap available is funny.  Kirill makes 9 now.  Rossi will probably make 5 to 6 after the extension.  Kaprizov's new deal will be in the 14 million range.  So, take 14 subtract 9 you get 5 add 6 and you get 11 which isn't 20.  If you take into account that Bogo and Zuccarello's contracts expire that year.  It would be logical to say that that money that year would go to Kaprizov.  Those contracts add up to 4.5 million, so the number to sign Kirill is actually even smaller.  I know everyone will say no we got to keep Kirill's Norwegian buddy. Zucarello is 37 right now.  Do we really want to sign someone who is going to be almost 40?  We don't even know if he is going to be all right after his last injury.  With the projected salary cap going up we should be able to sign Kirill no problem.

    As far as signing Jiricek If it turns out he is fantastic it would be hard to come up with 7.5 million that year.  However, the next year Spurgeon's contract will come off the books and he is going to be once again 37 years old like Zucarello is now.  Maybe a one year deal and then a 6 to 7 million year deal after Spurgeon is traded or leaves in free agency. 

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    Veterans like Mats Zuccarello, Marcus Johansson, and Zach Bogosian’s contracts will expire. However, due to their age and declining production, they won’t be back with the team or will sign a team-friendly contract.  

     

    Why in God's green earth would Marcus Johansson be re-signed. Send him across the river to the penny pinching Twins. I'm sure they can find some use for him.

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    Quote

    Add it all up, and the Wild should have about $74 million of their $97 million in cap space committed to 15 players, including most of their defensive core and both starting goalies (assuming Fleury retires). Rossi and Kaprizov take up $20 million of that, and Minnesota must fill out its roster, which leaves them with around $3 million to sign Jiricek to an extension. 

     

    10 hours ago, 1Brotherbill said:

    The bit about Rossi and Kaprizov taking up 20 million of the cap available is funny.  Kirill makes 9 now.  Rossi will probably make 5 to 6 after the extension.  Kaprizov's new deal will be in the 14 million range.  So, take 14 subtract 9 you get 5 add 6 and you get 11 which isn't 20. 

    Brother,  I think you misunderstood Luke's message. He wasn't saying $20m more cap, I believe it reads $20m of the $97m cap. You both have the right math going on, it's just that you're answering different questions.

    We've come out of the penalties at the right time. I like the $97m cap. We should be able to keep much of it liquid (using it for short term contracts) until it is needed for the kids coming off of ELCs. 

    We are in agreement over the timelines and not resigning of the grandfathers....unless we're talking 1 year $1m deals. 

    Edited by mnfaninnc
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    1 hour ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Brodin and Spurgeon are fine re-signings, if they take pay cuts due to uncertain injury risks.  The older they get, the more concerning it becomes.

    Signing 37 year old small defensemen with injury histories is just not good judgement.

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