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  • Guerin Ignored the Noise and Had A Smart Offseason


    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
    Luke Sims

    The Minnesota Wild promised fans that July 1, 2025, would be “like Christmas.” It would be a holiday where the Wild would go out and spend all the money they have, because the league will have largely minimized the cap penalties for buying out Zach Parise and Ryan Suter.

    With the cap going up and a bevy of cap space available to them to spend, the team was in a position to spend some cash on some sweet new additions to push the Wild over the top and finally break through that first-round curse.

    However, Christmas morning has felt more like Presidents Day for the Wild. They’ve only inked one contract with one established NHL player, center Nico Sturm. While it’s nice to see a reunion with an old friend, a fourth-line center isn't exactly what most Wild fans had in mind when owner Craig Leipold promised them a free agency worth celebrating.

    They traded future considerations for veteran winger Vladimir Tarasenko.

    So, a scorer who may be past his prime and a fourth-line center? Those are not the Christmas presents Wild fans were hoping to receive. This is outrageous! It’s unfair! I want my GM to make reckless moves for the sake of making them so I can find something else to complain about!

    The Wild overpromised, but delivered

    Take a deep breath and realize that Bill is not going full Jim Benning in free agency. It’s a blessing in disguise, even though the Wild promised Christmas years ago. Pressure from ownership can force sports franchises into detrimental short-term thinking, and the Wild don’t want to become the latest example.

    Nobody is going to feel that Minnesota’s acquisitions will change its fate. Still, the front office made shrewd deals that make a lot of sense for the team’s short- and long-term future.

    Tarasenko should be more productive in Minnesota

    Starting with the new additions, Tarasenko sought a change and chose to relocate to Minnesota. The Russian waived his no-trade clause to join the Wild for the opportunity to play with Kaprizov and win a third Stanley Cup before the end of his career. Tarasenko has scored 30 goals or more six times in his NHL career and is only one season removed from scoring 23 goals and recording 55 points.

    Taresenko played on a Red Wings team that missed the playoffs, where he primarily played third-line minutes alongside J.T. Compher and Jonatan Berggren. Not exactly the kind of guys who are known for being playmakers. Taresenko thrives when he has someone who can pass him the puck, especially from center ice out to the wing. 

    Marco Rossi and Danilla Yurov are ideal centers to complement Taresenko’s scoring ability. The Wild also have an option of playing him with Kaprizov, an adept playmaker who elevates everyone on his line.

    Sturm is an old friend who fixes new problems

    Fans remember Sturm as an elite faceoff guy with experience on the penalty kill. He’s a welcome addition to a team that struggled on the dot. None of Minnesota’s other centers were above average in the faceoff circle. 

    Sturm replaces Freddy Gaudreau, after they traded him to the Seattle Kraken. Adding a more defensively sound, faceoff-winning center will be a boon to the Wild’s penalty kill and faceoff percentage. At only $2 million for two seasons, that’s a wonderful little contract for Minnesota.

    The Wild also get a big win in the hope they’ll retain Rossi after an offseason of trade rumors. Guerin has stated that the Wild will match any offer sheet from another team.

    While Guerin may not be committed to Rossi long-term, he remains a highly effective playmaking center who appears to be only getting better as he develops his game. The Wild’s free-agent options at center were limited. Pius Suter played for the Vancouver Canucks last year and is the biggest name on the market. That’s not inspiring, nor is it needle-moving for Minnesota, so they’re wise to stick with their homegrown center.

    Depending on that Rossi deal, which will probably land in the $5 to $7 million range, this leaves the Wild with $10,961,668 in remaining cap space, assuming Zeev Buium, David Jiricek, Liam Ohgren, Danilla Yurov, and Jesper Wallstedt make the opening night roster.

    By avoiding the addition of numerous veterans and bloated contracts, the Wild maintains cap and roster flexibility, with the youngsters poised to make an impact on the roster.

    The internal improvements and developments from these young players are an exciting way for the Wild to build a team that wins in the playoffs. Ohgren looks primed to become a scoring threat this year, and Buium flashed his offensive potential on the blueline. Yurov has come over from the KHL and is ready to make an impact. Wallstedt should establish himself in the NHL this year.

    Many teams overspent in free agency, especially the Los Angeles Kings. Therefore, I’m thrilled with the Wild adding Sturm and the no-risk acquisition of Taresenko.

    Although the fans and owners clamored for Christmas Day, Guerin wisely preserved the team's financial future without further handicapping the team with bad investments. 

    Sometimes the best free agent deals are the ones you don’t sign.

    All stats and data via HockeyDB, CapWages, and Natural Stat Trick unless otherwise noted.

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    4 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    If someone else miraculously demands a spot -- great!

    Not great because Johansson has one of the 23 man active roster spots. He doesn't have a two-way contract and isn't getting sent to Iowa. Unless he is on IR, he is taking up an active roster spot.

    4 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    As for Trenin, he delivered when it mattered and showed why he was signed.

    Apparently, in your world all games don't matter. Playing like crap during the regular season doesn't matter. Let your teammates do all the heavy lifting for 82 games, because those games don't matter. Save yourself for the playoffs, if your teammates get you there, so you can "really bring it" like "a $6M player" and have two assists in a six game series that your team loses. 57 minutes, 70 shifts and two assists in six playoff games. WOW... he really did show why he was signed!

    4 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    if you are OK moving on from generational players like Kap then you are a bad judge of players. which i guess is true.

    The ultimate goal is to win a Stanley Cup. If a particular generational player isn't going to get you there, and the organization isn't willing or able to put a supporting cast in place, than move on and let that generational player give it a shot somewhere else. Apparently, I am a horrible judge of talent based upon my assessments of Johansson, Trenin and Rossi, as well.

    4 hours ago, OldDutchChip said:

    MN really has no bad contracts.

    Not going to get too close to this one because there is way too much fecal matter still attached from the place you retrieved it.

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    1 hour ago, ArizonaWildFan said:

    Not great because Johansson has one of the 23 man active roster spots. He doesn't have a two-way contract and isn't getting sent to Iowa. Unless he is on IR, he is taking up an active roster spot.

    Apparently, in your world all games don't matter. Playing like crap during the regular season doesn't matter. Let your teammates do all the heavy lifting for 82 games, because those games don't matter. Save yourself for the playoffs, if your teammates get you there, so you can "really bring it" like "a $6M player" and have two assists in a six game series that your team loses. 57 minutes, 70 shifts and two assists in six playoff games. WOW... he really did show why he was signed!

    The ultimate goal is to win a Stanley Cup. If a particular generational player isn't going to get you there, and the organization isn't willing or able to put a supporting cast in place, than move on and let that generational player give it a shot somewhere else. Apparently, I am a horrible judge of talent based upon my assessments of Johansson, Trenin and Rossi, as well.

    Not going to get too close to this one because there is way too much fecal matter still attached from the place you retrieved it.

    MJ could be sent to AHL or be in the press box. You are over blowing this.

    Save yourself for the playoffs, if your teammates get you there, so you can "really bring it" like "a $6M player" and have two assists in a six game series that your team loses. 57 minutes, 70 shifts and two assists in six playoff games. WOW... he really did show why he was signed!

    wow what is with this hate on Trenin? it finally clicked for the guy and he was one of the bright spots for us during PO. If it took him some time, well you know it was his first year with the team, there's adjustments. i don't mind his contract now. 3.5 not 6. 

    The ultimate goal is to win a Stanley Cup. If a particular generational player isn't going to get you there, and the organization isn't willing or able to put a supporting cast in place, than move on and let that generational player give it a shot somewhere else. so because Rossi is not yet signed and Trenin is on the team - we are falling apart and you are willing to let go the best player in hockey in his prime? you are silly. 

    Apparently, I am a horrible judge of talent based upon my assessments of Johansson, Trenin and Rossi, as well. yes you are. 

    Not going to get too close to this one because there is way too much fecal matter still attached from the place you retrieved it. ok grandpa.

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    5 hours ago, goenzoy said:

    That players do have different vacation pattern is clear  but it has nothing to do with 

    signing contracts . Kaprisov like any player wants to win and also he did finish a season with half of it on injury .So I doubt very much that Kaprisov will sign before he knows how season is going . For himself, the team and also the other players around him .Him might sign before Christmas and not in 2026 but clearly not before start of season .No rush for him 

    I've seen it with many Euro players, not just Kaprizov. They get out of town after the season is done and let their agents do their work and then sign when they get back into town. It's nothing against them, it's just a different way of handling things where their concern isn't focused on having to sign their new deal. They don't sweat it. 

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    I am happy that Guerin refrained from giving out long term deals to overrated free agents, but I was hoping for some Kaprizov action. Mr. Leopold famously promised that no one would offer more than the Wild for Kaprizov`s services, so it's time for Mr. Leopold to get a deal done. Forget about Guerin for a moment, Leopold should get Kaprizovs agent on the phone and negotiate the deal himself.

    The Wild need Kaprizov, so hopefully this deal gets done soon. 

    Additionally, if Leopold still wants a "Christmas in July" special, he can call up Ottawa and see about trading for Brady Tkachuk.

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    On 7/3/2025 at 2:38 PM, mnfaninnc said:

    Maybe Christmas morning wasn't referring to free agents. Maybe Christmas morning was referring to shiny new ELC guys! Possibly having 5 rookies on the roster would certainly change up the team. That's between 20-25% of the roster. That's a lot of change. Factor in Sturm and Tarasenko and we've got a lot of turnover. 

    It just doesn't seem like we've let that many guys go, though.

    No Fredy G and no J Merril…. Thats the best Xmas ever. 

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    21 hours ago, ArizonaWildFan said:

    Not great because Johansson has one of the 23 man active roster spots. He doesn't have a two-way contract and isn't getting sent to Iowa. Unless he is on IR, he is taking up an active roster spot.

    If someone is going to be sitting out games, I'd rather Johansson be the healthy scratch over a prospect that needs game time to get up to speed.  Putting a prospect on the sidelines and not playing them doesn't do enough to help their development.  He isn't blocking anyone.

    The way I see it, Johansson solves two problems in this roster spot.  He is there in case of emergency and he is there to show the prospects that they can easily be sent back to Iowa if they can't keep him out of the lineup.  It's a challenge to the young players to do better and put forth the effort.

    If Johansson was still making $2M a year, then I've have far more problem with it.  At vet minimum, I'm okay with this.  He's not great, but he's an improvement over the other injury fill-ins we've had in the last few years.

    Edited by raithis
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    Why is everyone upset or disappointed about “Christmas Morning”? Billy did exactly what he always does, deliver a head scratching disappointment. Another washed up, overpaid vet. Sturm is a good signing, but I suspect his agent called Billy and not vice versa because Sturm lives here and wanted to be close to home. 

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    1 hour ago, Scalptrash said:

    Why is everyone upset or disappointed about “Christmas Morning”? Billy did exactly what he always does, deliver a head scratching disappointment. Another washed up, overpaid vet. Sturm is a good signing, but I suspect his agent called Billy and not vice versa because Sturm lives here and wanted to be close to home. 

    I guess I don't really consider it a disappointment.

    There wasn't much available.  Most teams had cap space and so actually having some room didn't really give us a competitive advantage to lure the few free agents there were unless we overspent.

    Getting Tarasenko I think was a smart move.  If he is no better than last year, it will still be better than what we got from a lot of our roster.  If he does better, great.  If it helps Yurov acclimate/develop quicker, great too.  His contract is at the end of this next season, so if he isn't worth keeping, we aren't tied to him for multiple seasons.

    Sturm is a good grab just because of face-offs alone.  I'm not sure how that all transpired.  Maybe he sought out the Wild or maybe they sought him out.  In the end, it doesn't really matter.  The important thing is it's a good fit for what we needed.

    We got rid of Gaudreau.  This one I have mixed feelings about.  While we did need to upgrade the position, I don't know if we replaced his offense (as weird as that is to say).  He was consistently 5th or 6th most in point production for the last few years.  I'd like to see Yurov produce at least that much, but until he does, he's still an unknown as is Ohgren.  Tarasenko sort of helps, but if Rossi isn't re-signed, the net result could be less offense, not more. 

    How well this all works really depends how the rookies do.

    So, no, this not really like he always does.  If it was like he always does, he would have signed an older, gritty player for 3-4 years, and at most ~2 rookies would have a legitimate shot at the roster because other players would pack the roster to the point where there just wouldn't be spots to give them.

    For the first time in a while, we have cap space to maneuver, an actual shift towards a younger team, and more potential on the ice (players who haven't already hit their ceilings of how good they can be). 

    This isn't the same.  It's a positive step forward, and even though I'm unsure how well it will go, I'm excited to see what the next season brings.  It may not be Christmas morning, but it's the closest thing to a New Year's Day than we've had for a while.

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