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  • Freddy Gaudreau's Quietly Great Start Is No Longer So Quiet


    Image courtesy of Charles LeClaire - Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    Freddy Gaudreau entered Thursday night's game with zero points in eight games. On paper, it was a near-exact mirror to the start of his 2023-24 season, when he went pointless in nine games before scoring his first goal on November 28. In that start, Gaudreau dealt with an injury and the scrutiny that comes with going cold after signing a five-year contract, and he could never shake it off. Gaudreau suffered a lost season, with five goals and 15 points in 67 games.

    But if you weren't aware of it before the Wild took the ice against the Pittsburgh Penguins, you are now: Not all "slow starts" are created equal.

    Gaudreau's night started when he corralled a pinballing puck for a tying goal in the first period, and he added his second of the night in the second period when Kirill Kaprizov sprung him for a breakaway to give Minnesota a 3-2 lead. Just for fun, Gaudreau notched an assist on Kaprizov's empty-net goal to give him his first three-point game since April 17, 2022.

    Those scores finally gave Gaudreau some highlight-reel moments to show for a nine-game stretch where "Phone Booth Freddy" has been a night-in-night-out contributor. Their contributions to the scoreboard are real. However, until this week, they've been like jazz: It's been about the goals that aren't scored. And there sure are a lot of goals not being scored against Gaudreau.

    Even after getting tagged for a minus on Rickard Rakell's third-period goal, Gaudreau has only allowed two goals in his 104 5-on-5 minutes. Only five players (Kaapo Kakko, Filip Chytil, Jordan Martinook, Danton Heinen, and Nils Lundkvist) have played more 5-on-5 minutes while surrendering fewer goals.

    Gaudreau isn't seen as a particularly gritty player, but he's proving to be the missing piece at center for bruisers Marcus Foligno and Yakov Trenin on Minnesota's third line. It's still early in the season, but that trio is already making a claim to be among the NHL's premier shutdown units. In 45 minutes of 5-on-5 time together, they allow a minuscule 0.97 expected goals per hour. Among 118 forward lines with 30-plus minutes together, they're second in the NHL at limiting scoring chances.

    And now, they're even getting into the offensive side of the game.

    Before Gaudreau's two-goal outburst on Thursday, we saw Foligno unleashed in Tuesday's game against the Philadelphia Flyers, where he notched a two-goal performance. They're finally getting rewarded for dictating the play (controlling 68.8% of the expected goals share). They are putting Minnesota in a spot where they might be unable to return to the way things were when Ryan Hartman returns from injury. 

    It's a 180-degree flip from last season when a lack of scoring seemed to deflate Gaudreau's confidence. Even without any points in the first eight games, Gaudreau didn't let his play sag. As a result, John Hynes is showing confidence in his player. Having that version of Gaudreau back in the lineup can only be good news for a Wild team that's banking on several players having bouncebacks from down years to get back to the playoffs.

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    I've been singing Freddy's praises because it looked like he, Lauko, and Khusnutdinov were quietly holding up their end and even succeeding in getting a lot of open looks through hard work.  He was due and made it count last night.

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    Whatever FG did in the offseason it’s led to a dramatic improvement across the board. He even looks bigger, maybe he got bigger shoulder pads? He’s got a spark in his game I really appreciate. He deserves a ton of credit. I wouldn’t be surprised if Dean’s given him a call. 

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    13 hours ago, Burnt Toast said:

    Whatever FG did in the offseason it’s led to a dramatic improvement across the board. He even looks bigger, maybe he got bigger shoulder pads? He’s got a spark in his game I really appreciate. He deserves a ton of credit. I wouldn’t be surprised if Dean’s given him a call. 

    image.jpeg.62ae5422e8224879bbbbf4ad5883c1f1.jpeg

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    7 hours ago, RedLake said:

    Hartman on third line. Get that line rolling. Send Nojo packing!

    No way. Do NOT mess with that chemistry right now. 

    The TG(I)F line is here to stay, baby!

    Hartsy can add some grizzle to the Grape-Knuts line.

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    7 hours ago, RedLake said:

    Hartman on third line. Get that line rolling. Send Nojo packing!

    Hard no from me. When he was on that line early on they didn't mesh at all. The current setup on the 3rd is working well right now. I'm hoping Hynes puts him with Lauko and Khus on the "4th line" and gives them a higher share of minutes.

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    5 minutes ago, M_Nels said:

    I'm hoping Hynes puts him with Lauko and Khus on the "4th line" and gives them a higher share of minutes.

    I second this emotion.  Grape knuts + Grizzle might be something.  grizzle’s got some Finnish to go along with lauko’s Finnish 

    And I agree re toi.  Use the big bath theory line sparingly and use them to pound on opponents wings and dmen, while giving wild skill players a breather.  

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    You guys are talking about meshing and I have to agree, Freddy looks good between Trenin and Foligno. They say Hartsy has a UPI, but IIRC it's his right hand that he blocked a shot with. As long as Freddy does well in his current role it allows Hartman not to have to come back too soon and let the hand heal. 

    Hartman is a gamer, and if things weren't going so well, he'd probably be back in there gutting it out. We need his secondary scoring ability, and the lower hand matters for that. Let it heal, strengthen it, and hopefully he comes back with it fully healed. 

    I'm glad others can see this with the eye test. This line has been better since Heinzy made the switch:

    Quote

    Gaudreau isn't seen as a particularly gritty player, but he's proving to be the missing piece at center for bruisers Marcus Foligno and Yakov Trenin on Minnesota's third line.

    But here's the other thing, the 4th line has been better too with Lauko and Dino both having speed. Both players needed some speed to go with them. It's like those annoying puzzle pieces that look similar and you try to mash them in and it just doesn't work. Switch the pieces and everything falls into place. 

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    I am glad Freddy has picked it up a bit, but this is a small sample size.  Last year, I thought he was probably nursing some things that held him back because he is not a half-effort kind of person, and thought he got more criticism than deserved if he was in fact injured.

    I hope he either picks it up enough to be a valuable piece, or attract suitors for his too-long (IMHO) contract terms.   The money aint bad, but if he falls off again, it is too many years taking up a roster spot.  I would not mind opening up more youth movement/free agent room.

     

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    2 hours ago, Dis-allowed display name said:

    I am glad Freddy has picked it up a bit, but this is a small sample size.  Last year, I thought he was probably nursing some things that held him back because he is not a half-effort kind of person, and thought he got more criticism than deserved if he was in fact injured.

    I hope he either picks it up enough to be a valuable piece, or attract suitors for his too-long (IMHO) contract terms.   The money aint bad, but if he falls off again, it is too many years taking up a roster spot.  I would not mind opening up more youth movement/free agent room.

     

    If I recall Fred got nailed by the grizzly from Toronto very early in the season and never really recovered his game. Let's hope he has it and can keep it this year. I was one who called for his departure but if he plays like he has so far he is earning his contract.

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