Jump to content
Hockey Wilderness Zone Coverage Property
  • Elias Pettersson Needs To Become Minnesota's Top Summer Target


    Image courtesy of Bob Frid - Imagn Images
    Tony Abbott

    On Sunday, we posed a simple question with a complicated answer: After the Dallas Stars got Mikko Rantanen, how could the Wild poach a similar superstar to keep up? We left the question open at the time, but honestly? There's a pretty obvious answer. And it stared Minnesota right in the face hours after the trade deadline.

    Elias Pettersson broke open the scoring on Friday night's 3-1 victory over the Minnesota Wild. But it was a real possibility that Pettersson may not have played in that game at all. The Vancouver Canucks were reportedly entertaining offers on their star center leading up to the trade deadline. No one offered enough to land him. Still, it's interesting that Pettersson was still on the table, even after the team tried to solve a rift between him and J.T. Miller by trading the latter.

    On the other hand, Vancouver has been the definition of "embattled" this year, and Pettersson hasn't been exempt from the team's struggles. Pettersson's goal on Friday was just his 12th of the season, and he only has 36 points in 56 games. That's not just a drop from his 103-point pinnacle in 2022-23; he has fewer points in more games than Mats Zuccarello. If Pettersson talks persisted into yesterday, it's not hard to imagine both sides wanting to turn the page this summer.

    While the Wild couldn't sniff Pettersson talks at the trade deadline, they should be ready to strike this summer. Among anyone Minnesota could theoretically get for their "Christmas Morning," Pettersson checks the most boxes.

    For one, he's got the star power to match Dallas landing Rantanen. Per Evolving-Hockey, Rantanen has been worth 25.0 Standings Points Above Replacement since the 2020-21 season. If you read our Sunday piece, you'll know that's tied with Kirill Kaprizov for 13th among NHL skaters. Pettersson is slightly ahead of both, with 26.1 SPAR since 2020-21. That's 10th in the NHL over that time.

    Imagine a world where Kaprizov isn't the best player on the Wild. Adding Pettersson is one of the few ways that could become a reality.

    That's the most important benefit, but Pettersson offers the Wild more than his talent. Their search for a No. 1 Center would end the second they made such a deal. The days of debating whether Joel Eriksson Ek or Marco Rossi are actually a No. 1 Center would be in the past. NHL.com ranked Pettersson as the 10th-best center in the league in August. Elite Prospects had him ninth. ESPN's survey of NHL players and executives had him 10th going into last season. Even if he's hurt his stock since, Pettersson is still a slam-dunk No. 1 pivot.

    That doesn't just help the top of the lineup. Still, imagining Pettersson building Zuccarello-like magic with Kaprizov is enough to make anyone drool. However, having a top center is a force multiplier for a team like the Wild. Sliding Eriksson Ek and/or Rossi down the lineup also gives significant bumps to the second and third lines.

    Then there's Pettersson's contract, which carries some sticker shock at six remaining years at a $11.6 million AAV. Still, with the cap rising, that's a feature, not a bug. It does two things for the Wild. For one, it gives Kaprizov a helluva carrot to stay. Stick around, and you've got a 26-year-old star center setting you up for one-timers for the next six years.

    Just as importantly, Pettersson would give Minnesota Kaprizov insurance. Suppose the Wild can't agree on a long-term contract with Kaprizov. Then, their long-term plan becomes reliant on maxing out Rossi, Matt Boldy, Danila Yurov, Jesper Wallstedt, David Jiricek, and Zeev Buium's talents. Still possible, sure, but it's a much tougher path to a Stanley Cup. While it certainly wouldn't be good for Kaprizov to leave, even with Pettersson in the fold, at least the latter ensures they'd stay a net-neutral in superstars, compared to where they are right now.

    The problem is, if the Wild want to make a superstar trade like Dallas did, they'll probably have to pay a Texas-sized price for Pettersson.

    Still, it's so hard to overpay for a true top-15 player in the NHL. The Florida Panthers got Matthew Tkachuk, and it cost them a top-line forward coming off a 115-point season in Jonathan Huberdeau and a top-pairing defenseman in MacKenzie Weegar. Worth it, no question. Florida has a Cup ring to show for it.

    Dallas gave up a top young player in Logan Stankoven and two first-round picks to execute a trade-and-extend for Rantanen. A high price? Sure, but the Stars could easily win a Cup this year and have a superstar player locked up at a below-market price. Any team looking to compete should be willing to make that move.

    It will be difficult for Minnesota to overpay for Pettersson, especially with a down season and Vancouver's turmoil. What would that cost? The Wild have options.

    If Vancouver is willing to go with a prospect-focused package like the Carolina Hurricanes did in trading Rantanen, Minnesota is more than equipped to go that route. Danila Yurov is a top center prospect, and at 21 and with three seasons in the KHL, he's close to NHL-ready. Minnesota doesn't own their 2025 first-rounder, but they have their 2026 first and second-tier prospects like Liam Öhgren and Riley Heidt to offer.

    If the Canucks seek a more immediate return, the Wild can offer that, too. In most circumstances, trading a cost-controlled young goal-scorer like Boldy or a 23-year-old center on the rise in Rossi would be insane. But for Pettersson? If trading one of those players is the cost of doing business, you have to pull the trigger.

    Now, maybe you think his down season makes Pettersson a risk. Perhaps, but not as big of a risk as the Vegas Golden Knights took in trading for Jack Eichel while he needed unprecedented back surgery. But we know how that one ended for the Cup-winning Knights. 

    Pettersson-caliber players simply don't come on the market often, and teams get rewarded for taking advantage when they do. It's hard to see the Wild having a bigger opportunity to set their team up for success on "Christmas Morning" than with a trade for Vancouver's top young center. Minnesota must move heaven and earth to get it done if that is on the table. 

    Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

    • Like 2

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    5 hours ago, mnhockeyfan03 said:

    Bingo our D are undersized and not as good as people think and our top 6 reds need 3 new additions.  Faber is undersized and can’t clear out the front of the net and same with Spurgeon.  Could care less about time on ice.  Someone has to be out there doesn’t mean they are controlling the play. All of Rossi, Boldy, Faber, Spurgeon, Hartman, Trenin and Freddie should be moved if Billy is serious about getting close to competing with Dallas and Colorado.  Tonight just watch how much faster Colorado is then us. 

    Faber is 6’1 and 200lbs.

    thats not undersized you clown. He may not be the 6’2-6’3 which is the size you usually want to see in defenders but he’s not “undersized”

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    3 minutes ago, Mateo3xm said:

    I see Faber as a Charlie McAvoy type of player. Can shut down opposing offense and still put up a decent amount of points. On a Stanley cup team, I think he fits better as a number two defender. Someone who can do it all but back up a true number one defenseman(hopefully Zeve Buium) This is only his second year, imagine how good he will be in his prime. He should be able to get better which is crazy.

    i don't see him as a McAvoy type. He is a Suter like player. There is no meanness, finesse and skill to his game like with McAvoy. I know the comparison has been voiced out by media, but it has as much merit as comparing him to Makar or Josi or Hughes or Pronger. He is not that. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    15 minutes ago, Mateo3xm said:

    Faber is 6’1 and 200lbs.

    thats not undersized you clown. He may not be the 6’2-6’3 which is the size you usually want to see in defenders but he’s not “undersized”

    Yeah Fabes is a solid MF'R. He may not be mean but he is taking a page from Surgys book which will prolong his career and allow him to defend with skating and intelligence while allowing him to play all those minutes WITHOUT INJURY.  He may not be a superstar but he is a legit top pairing D-man and is still young. I'd hate to see him traded, yes, even though he is one of our few trade pieces. 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    8 hours ago, Will D. Ness said:

    Swing for the fences in FA IMO.

    Who exactly would you swing for the fences for.  There really is nobody out there besides Marner and a bunch of 30 plus year old players and everyone under 30 is going to be signed by their parent club.  

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    If Vancouver is considering trading Pettersson they are in rebuild mode.  Which means they would be willing to take expiring contracts and prospects in return.  

    So, they would want an NHL body to replace Pettersson.  So, trading Rossi to check that box would be probable. 

    They would want a prospect in return.  That would bring in Hiedt, Haight, Parker, name someone not Buium or Yurov.  That would check that box.

    Now the expiring contracts. Bogosian and Zucarello are in their final years of contracts next year.  I would even consider trading Jared Spurgeon in this trade.  

    Bogo should be the odd man out next year and it should be a shock if he plays at all.  Zucarello leaving would probably put Kirill in a funk until he found out that Pettersson can play.  Spurgeon needs to go, his numbers are not that good when he was healthy and now they are terrible, and his contract is the key to making this trade work. 

    Minnesota gets Elias Pettersson.

    Vancouver gets Rossi, Spurgeon or Zucarello and Bogo, Riley Hiedt and a pick that isn't a 1st. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    4 hours ago, Dean said:

    The wild have zero players in the top 40 in points or goals. If kap was healthy than one but he’s never healthy.  Dallas has 4 guys in top 40 in points. 4 guys!!! They have 5 guys In the top 40 in goals. .5 guys!!!! Their top 3 centers are in top 40 in goals.  Colorado -3 guys top 40 points and 2 in goals . Winnipeg 3 in points, 2 in goals ..Edmonton 2 an 2.  Vegas 1 an 1. Two different guys.  That’s crazy but the reality is the wild have a ridiculously bad goal differential for a playoff team. It’s a joke and not sustainable. They’ve actually overachieved in getting points with how bad the differential is . 
       Basically that tells me only two players on this team are untouchable kappy and ek . The rest should or could be used to upgrade if necessary. I agree with others that say Faber might need to go into a trade . It would have to be something big in return but he’s not untouchable .  What are they paying Boldy for again?  Dallas kids are in the top 40 an how long has bolds been here. Age isn’t an excuse for him anymore. 
       We don’t have centers, scoring or a big enough d core to win playoff rounds. I think everything should be on table this summer. Billy has to go big and take chances. It’s the only way you can get better . Read the hurricanes gm comments after the mikko  trade . Basically you have to take risk or you’re going nowhere.. he’s not talking about risks with bad contracts for bottom six guys. He’s talking about goi g after big game. So maybe Elias is worth the risk. Idk but Billy has to do something big. Rossi and Boldy are to far away from really being a backbone of this team. 

    I might be wrong, but if you had used the top 40 stat a couple of weeks ago, I thought Boldy was in it and Rossi just outside of that.  Going into tonight, Boldy was 2 points out of top 40 at 47th, and Rossi at 53rd, 4 points back.  If I use top 53, then the Wild have three, Stars go to 5 (they did trade for two of them), Avs 3, Florida 3, Vegas 3, Oilers 2, Jets.  

    As far as Boldy goes, you say age doesn't matter because he has been playing forever?  This is his 4th year.  To use your philosophy, then a bunch of the top 40 players should have been moved on from because they were sitting below or where Boldy is at now.  Below are some of them with where they ranked at the end of the season when they were 23, what season they were playing when they were 23, and where they are tanked now.

    Necas: 120th, 5, 12th

    Hagel, 159th, 3, 14th

    Reinhart: 65th, 4, 17th

    Duchene: 45th, 7, 21st

    Nylander: 42nd, 5, 21st

    M. Tkachuk: 55th, 5, 37th

    Looking at where these guys are now it sure looks like these players got better when they got to be 25.

    I will agree with everyone here that Boldy and Rossi need to do more these final weeks and the playoffs for us to have much of a chance.  But top 50 in scoring is not that bad.  Hopefully he puts it together the last month here and gets to that top 40.

     

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    10 hours ago, Mateo3xm said:

    Faber is 6’1 and 200lbs.

    thats not undersized you clown. He may not be the 6’2-6’3 which is the size you usually want to see in defenders but he’s not “undersized”

    Fabes is big enough to get job done physically, yet small enough to skate/pivot himself out of situations where a opposing forward is forechecking

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites




    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...