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  • Can A Fully Healthy Wild Team Compete In the Playoffs?


    Image courtesy of Nick Wosika-Imagn Images
    Luke Sims

    The Minnesota Wild have had awful injury luck, with over half a dozen core players missing time. The bubonic plague has struck this team. Only two players have played in every game for the Wild: Matt Boldy and Freddy Gaudreau

    Team pillars Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, Jared Spurgeon, Jonas Brodin, Marcus Foligno, Jake Middleton, and Brock Faber have missed time. Kaprizov remains out with an unknown timetable.

    Bill Guerin said he believes that all of these guys will be back for the playoffs, and the team will be fully healthy going into the playoffs.

    Whether that happens remains to be seen. Still, what would a fully healthy Wild lineup look like? 

    At full health, the Wild led the NHL in points in January, and Kaprizov was playing like an MVP. However, injuries and inconsistent play have dropped the team into the first wild-card spot in the Western Conference. Minnesota can stay afloat until the playoffs start. However, as it stands, this team would face an early exit in the opening round. 

    The Wild made two additions at the trade deadline and lost two significant players. They sent Marat Khusnutdinov and Jakub Lauko to the Boston Bruins. The Wild brought in big winger Justin Brazeau and old friend Gustav Nyquist to add depth.

    Both players have playoff experience, and Brazeau brings the size and strength that teams often rely on in the postseason. Nyquist has 30 points in 77 playoff games. He has playoff experience with three different teams.

    The Wild also added Vinnie Hinostroza via waivers. Ryan Hartman’s childhood friend has had a respectable six points in 16 games. The former sixth-rounder has carved out a nice role in the Wild’s bottom six and should be a key depth piece in the playoffs as a responsible two-way forward with some punch. 

    In net, Filip Gustavsson has been one of the best goaltenders on the planet over the past month, regaining his early season form. He recently held a shutout streak over five periods in last week's games against the Seattle Kraken and Buffalo Sabres. 

    The Wild have seen Gus stand on his head in multiple playoff series. Remember Game 1 in Dallas two years ago? Gustavsson was outstanding in Minnesota’s double-overtime win. However, the Wild have seen Gus at his lowest at the midpoint of this season and for most of last season. Nobody knows how Gustavsson will play in the playoffs, but it looks like he’ll be at his best when the games matter the most. 

    Assuming the hockey gods allow everyone to come back healthy, here is what Minnesota’s first-round lineup could look like: 

    The added depth and Rossi’s emergence allow the Wild to load up the top line without losing depth scoring. Nyquist and Zuccarello have extensive playoff experience and will be able to support Rossi on the second line. 

    Minnesota’s bottom six is tough to figure out because it wants the size that Foligno, Trenin, and Brazeau offer but also needs the centers in Hartman and Gaudreau. Neither one has been playing a fourth-line role, but that’s how things shake out. I thought keeping the two childhood friends together in Hartman and Hinostroza would foster chemistry. 

    Potentially a late-season Liam Ohgren addition, but history suggests he’ll be watching from home.

    On the defensive side of the puck: 

    The top four is as good as it gets. There’s not a team in the league that can say they are clearly better than that group. The curious decision comes with the bottom pair. I imagine the Wild will want to keep Bogosian’s physicality in the lineup.

    Jon Merrill hasn’t been too bad this season. However, the Wild would love to have Buium’s puck-moving ability on the powerplay and the breakout, similar to how Faber came in as a rookie two years ago. Expect Buium to have a similar impact.

    The Wild have not shown trust in Declan Chisholm at all this year, and I doubt he will draw in the playoffs unless injuries rear their head again.

    In net: 

    • Gustavsson. 

    Simple. Keed the hot hand rolling.

    This team has stayed afloat amid all the injuries, and we’ve seen what the forward core can do when it is fully healthy. Minnesota's most likely draw is the Vegas Golden Knights, Dallas Stars, or Colorado Avalanche – all familiar foes. 

    Competing with Colorado’s star power is hard, and Dallas’ forward core with Mikko Rantanen is unfair. Still, on paper, I like the Wild’s chances in the playoffs against Colorado or Vegas. 

    Guerin has made this team more playoff-ready. Now it’s time to find out how far they’ll go.

    All stats and data via HockeyDB, Cap Wages, and Evolving Hockey unless otherwise noted.

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    Calgary is on a heater!!!!!!!!! The big badass AHL wild can't even get the puck to the net. Don't see them winning another game this year to be honest. Add in EK, Kap and they might limp into the 8 spot.

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    I was very disappointed with the results we've seen the past 2 evenings. Specifically, this falls on both Boldy and Rossi who once again showed us goose eggs in important matchups. These guys want to be considered stars, but they just aren't delivering as stars....right now.

    What do we do with Rossi? The results are a conundrum. In favor of keeping Rossi is that he put up 40 points as a rookie and 60 points as a sophomore.(expected) This would indicate improvement. And I believe improvement is still coming, especially if he can get better wings around him. Also, he's done well at 200' and is a plus player. 

    In favor of trading Rossi has mostly to do with his size, and by that it's mostly that he's short. He does tend to get bumped around and can get lost amongst the trees. But, he is also very good at cutting into a bigger guy and stealing the puck with the lower center of gravity. But the results he has against larger opponents is concerning. I suspect that the playoffs will be a "tip the scales" type of performance for him.

    With Boldy, he also is still improving, but my goodness he makes some boneheaded plays. He likes to go against the grain and change the motion a lot, yet, his teammates get caught having to reverse the flow. He makes ridiculous passes at inopportune times. He's got to concentrate on going north and busting through as a power forward, not a dangler who button hooks. 

    The results of the games were bad, but it's the results of some of the players who I thought were worse. Rossi and Boldy are playing above their role level, as are most of the forwards. It is putting pressure on the defense to provide secondary offense. And the goalies have to be perfect, of which MAF was not. Don't get me wrong, he was good, just not good enough.

    I searched for Jiricek's injury last night and came up with no real updates except he's going to be out awhile. I searched for Yurov's update which was also non-existent, but it appears that he had an ankle injury that needed surgery. I don't know if that was reported or not. He's not back yet.

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    19 minutes ago, RedLake said:

    Calgary is on a heater!!!!!!!!! The big badass AHL wild can't even get the puck to the net. Don't see them winning another game this year to be honest. Add in EK, Kap and they might limp into the 8 spot.

    Wild just played 2 teams in the top 6 for goals against average. Calgary has mostly been playing teams outside of the top half in goals against for their 4 game winning streak. Next 3 for Calgary are Dallas, @ Edmonton, @ Colorado.

    Let's see if they stay hot. The Wild will soon face 3 of the 4 teams Calgary just defeated during this winning streak, and Kaprizov could be skating before the end of this week. The Wild's last 4 games are against teams below them in the standings, so even if teams catch them, the Wild have a shot to jump ahead late.

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    13 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I searched for Yurov's update which was also non-existent, but it appears that he had an ankle injury that needed surgery. I don't know if that was reported or not. He's not back yet.

    The ankle surgery was reported. It's hard to find news on KHL players, but I believe someone was translating Russian KHL updates for his team and the indication was that he had just started skating within the last couple of days, but wasn't currently super close to returning. I cannot find anything to corroborate that story, but it seems to line up with the prior timelines.

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    That was a tough game to watch.  The Vegas D was stick to stick on break outs.  They ran nice little trap plays when we entered their zone.  The Wild were not stick to stick anywhere on the ice.  Little things like that are sometimes the difference between the best and worst teams.  

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    1 hour ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I was very disappointed with the results we've seen the past 2 evenings. Specifically, this falls on both Boldy and Rossi who once again showed us goose eggs in important matchups. These guys want to be considered stars, but they just aren't delivering as stars....right now

    I agree with you in the Vegas game.  To me, those two did not play well.  Even though they didn't score, I thought they both played well against Dallas, especially Boldy.  Not sure I can remember a game where Boldy had 11 shot attempts and 7 on goal.

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    2 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    n favor of trading Rossi has mostly to do with his size, and by that it's mostly that he's short. He does tend to get bumped around and can get lost amongst the trees. But, he is also very good at cutting into a bigger guy and stealing the puck with the lower center of gravity. But the results he has against larger opponents is concerning. I suspect that the playoffs will be a "tip the scales" type of performance for him.

    Rossi statistically is one of the best our team ahs to offer in terms of 200' game. His +/-, Corsi and Fenwick are all top 5 on the team. He's added another 20 pts to his rookie campaign. His GF/60 is top three. He has the third most even strength goals on the team, trailing Boldy by one.  I think the failing here is relying on two 23yr olds to float our offense. There are only two other players under 30 on our offense right now, Breezers and the Yak. We are old AF and slow. Personally I miss the speed we gave away at the trade deadline for more grit.

    I'm not even looking at this year, although I think if we are healthy we have a shot, next year is starting to look a little dire. We gave 24 games to Ohgren and 6 to Jiricek. The rest of the games, despite all our injuries, we played 30yr old AHL tweeners. Scratched Jiricek 5 games in a row, brought up Milne for a single game just last night, never brought up Haight, Bankier or Lambos even for a cup of coffee. Iowa is darn near last in the AHL, yet we have the number 2 prospect pool on Wheelers rankings. Somethings wrong in Iowa and it spells trouble for the development of our prospects. Even when Khus went to the Bruins he has put up 2 goals in 8 games. The same goals he put up in 57 games for us. Beckman is at 38 points in 50 games, most he has ever put up in full season. Sam Walker has more points in 20 games for Tucson than he had in 30 with the Iowa Wild. It has become a concerning trend to see us trading away prospects for future considerations or some grit heavy player only to see them improve wherever they land. I know none of the guys above are superstars however, it has consistently made our team older and slower to continually bring in old guys when bleeding young talent from our farm team. Only Pittsburg and Edmonton are older than us now. Pittsburg is going into rebuild and Edmonton is cleaning up on veterans that want to win a cup. WTF are we doing?

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    2 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    The ankle surgery was reported. It's hard to find news on KHL players, but I believe someone was translating Russian KHL updates for his team and the indication was that he had just started skating within the last couple of days, but wasn't currently super close to returning. I cannot find anything to corroborate that story, but it seems to line up with the prior timelines.

    I tried to scab together an update a few days ago from various Russian sources and promised an update. Not much to report as of now other than Metallurg played yesterday and lost the first of their playoff games. Yurov did not play.

    From the coach on 3/24:

    As for Yurov: everything depends on him. He had his first training session with the general group, but his form is far from optimal. Rendulic and Osipovich are the 13th and 14th forwards," the official KHL website quotes Razin as saying.

    https://www.championat.com/tags/30241-danila-jurov/news/

     

    From Yurov on Feb 27th

    "So far so good. I had surgery today, everything went well. I'll start my recovery tomorrow. See you on the ice soon," Yurov wrote.

    https://www.championat.com/hockey/news-5917436-forvard-metallurga-danila-yurov-vyskazalsya-o-provedyonnoj-v-germanii-operacii.html

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    2 hours ago, TheGoosesAreLooses said:

    I'm not even looking at this year, although I think if we are healthy we have a shot, next year is starting to look a little dire. We gave 24 games to Ohgren and 6 to Jiricek. The rest of the games, despite all our injuries, we played 30yr old AHL tweeners. Scratched Jiricek 5 games in a row, brought up Milne for a single game just last night,

    Was Milne in the lineup last night? I did not see him at all. 

    I suspect OgZ is still getting better. I think he has to believe he belongs and that is his main hurdle. I'd also like to see him play more physical and finish checks. He needs a little more Ek in him. Who needs to learn how to stop, simply crash into an opponent!

    As for Jiricek, I think the plan was to have him as an extra and practice him a lot, send him back down for conditioning and bring him back up for game time. He got banged up in his 1st game of conditioning so throw that plan out the window. It may not have been like that at all, except I heard he hadn't played in awhile and they were getting him some work.

    I think both of these guys are on the big club next season.

    I also think that some of the vets are going to be shipped out, probably some with term and a market value contract. 

    Theory on Kaprizov: I wonder if he had a similar surgery to Foligno with the core injury (s)? Foligno pretty much needed 2 summers to recuperate from 2 different surgeries. I wonder if they got in there and it was worse than they thought? Or, perhaps our medical staff just isn't that good?

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    3 hours ago, SkolWild73 said:

    Not sure I can remember a game where Boldy had 11 shot attempts and 7 on goal.

    This is good, but it wasn't results. At this point in time, we've got to have results, and the bottom line is goose eggs for both players. It tells me that these guys are having trouble with the better teams and maybe the elevated role against them. 

    I forgot to write my conclusion on Rossi- I think the improvement he's had makes him worth keeping unless someone floors us with a deal. I wouldn't be afraid of an offersheet, either. The offersheet compensation comes from '26 and is not lottery protected. I think you could match anything up to $6.87m, but over that, I think you have to consider the team offersheeting them, and if you expect them in the top 10 with Rossi, then you have to think long and hard about 1st, 2nd, 3rd pick compensation. 

    I'd also think that if a team were considering such a move, they would probably contact Shooter 1st about a deal. Maybe they do less compensation for a prospect included that is further along? But, if the sides are so far apart, all Shooter has to do is qualify him, and let the deal come to him! $9.16m gets you 2 1sts, 2nd and 3rd round picks. 

    I'd try to sign him to a bridge deal and kick the can down the road. 1 thing directly in Rossi's favor is his durability. Sure, he had the health scare, but he's been playing real durable the last 2 seasons.

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    5 hours ago, mnfaninnc said:

    I was very disappointed with the results we've seen the past 2 evenings. Specifically, this falls on both Boldy and Rossi who once again showed us goose eggs in important matchups. These guys want to be considered stars, but they just aren't delivering as stars....right now.

    What do we do with Rossi? The results are a conundrum. In favor of keeping Rossi is that he put up 40 points as a rookie and 60 points as a sophomore.(expected) This would indicate improvement. And I believe improvement is still coming, especially if he can get better wings around him. Also, he's done well at 200' and is a plus player. 

    In favor of trading Rossi has mostly to do with his size, and by that it's mostly that he's short. He does tend to get bumped around and can get lost amongst the trees. But, he is also very good at cutting into a bigger guy and stealing the puck with the lower center of gravity. But the results he has against larger opponents is concerning. I suspect that the playoffs will be a "tip the scales" type of performance for him.

    With Boldy, he also is still improving, but my goodness he makes some boneheaded plays. He likes to go against the grain and change the motion a lot, yet, his teammates get caught having to reverse the flow. He makes ridiculous passes at inopportune times. He's got to concentrate on going north and busting through as a power forward, not a dangler who button hooks. 

    The results of the games were bad, but it's the results of some of the players who I thought were worse. Rossi and Boldy are playing above their role level, as are most of the forwards. It is putting pressure on the defense to provide secondary offense. And the goalies have to be perfect, of which MAF was not. Don't get me wrong, he was good, just not good enough.

    I searched for Jiricek's injury last night and came up with no real updates except he's going to be out awhile. I searched for Yurov's update which was also non-existent, but it appears that he had an ankle injury that needed surgery. I don't know if that was reported or not. He's not back yet.

    Mojo has been our MVP (non goalie) on the ice these last few days. yeap - Mojo - that is very telling about the young core. i think Billy will be moving on from Rossi. he won't bail on Boldy (he picked him to US team) and Faber (he is too chicken shit to understand that Faber is the way out) so that leaves Rossi on the outside (even though crazy enough - i'd pick him out of the three to stay). 

    As for Playoffs - i think Wild make it as an 8th seed - which isn't too bad, considering that will get them out of a matchup against Stars and Avs....and IF all are healthy - they'll make it at least fun against Vegan and Jets (although i'd play Kap with Foligno and Trenin to avoid the Logan Stanley dump again)

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    5 hours ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    The ankle surgery was reported. It's hard to find news on KHL players, but I believe someone was translating Russian KHL updates for his team and the indication was that he had just started skating within the last couple of days, but wasn't currently super close to returning. I cannot find anything to corroborate that story, but it seems to line up with the prior timelines.

    yeap sounds right. i've read he has been skating and fully practicing with the team as of yesterday. he is not in optimal shape, but who is?  

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    6 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    This is good, but it wasn't results. At this point in time, we've got to have results, and the bottom line is goose eggs for both players. It tells me that these guys are having trouble with the better teams and maybe the elevated role against them. 

    I forgot to write my conclusion on Rossi- I think the improvement he's had makes him worth keeping unless someone floors us with a deal. I wouldn't be afraid of an offersheet, either. The offersheet compensation comes from '26 and is not lottery protected. I think you could match anything up to $6.87m, but over that, I think you have to consider the team offersheeting them, and if you expect them in the top 10 with Rossi, then you have to think long and hard about 1st, 2nd, 3rd pick compensation. 

    I'd also think that if a team were considering such a move, they would probably contact Shooter 1st about a deal. Maybe they do less compensation for a prospect included that is further along? But, if the sides are so far apart, all Shooter has to do is qualify him, and let the deal come to him! $9.16m gets you 2 1sts, 2nd and 3rd round picks. 

    I'd try to sign him to a bridge deal and kick the can down the road. 1 thing directly in Rossi's favor is his durability. Sure, he had the health scare, but he's been playing real durable the last 2 seasons.

    Agreed on Rossi.  If you look what Johnston just got from the Stars, 5 years at $8.4 AAV, I can't imagine he gets that much.  Johnston is younger, has played one more season, and put up better numbers.  I would hope he comes in under that amount, something closer to $6-7M.  Maybe a team goes above that $6.87 number, but there are not many teams that have their first second and third in 2026.  If I remember right, it is 14 teams.  

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    48 minutes ago, SkolWild73 said:

    If I remember right, it is 14 teams. 

    This season, there has been a lot of parity in the league. Out of those 14 teams, which look like top 10 draft picks with a pickup of Rossi?

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    24 minutes ago, mnfaninnc said:

    This season, there has been a lot of parity in the league. Out of those 14 teams, which look like top 10 draft picks with a pickup of Rossi?

    I can’t remember for sure.  Anaheim and Chicago, Seattle and Boston I think.

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    Offer sheets are going to be on the rise this year. The Blues got Dylan Holloway from Edmonton on an offer sheet of 2.3M I believe. He is right now sitting at 24G and 36A for 60 points. A 6'1" 206lb C. We might have been able to find a spot for him.  He's on the same contract next year. Same with Broberg. They got him for a song and he's a big Dman with 27 points and a +20. Both players are 23. Why can't we have nice things like that?? 😢 

    Other GM's have taken notice and I think the stigma of presenting offer sheets to a player as shady business is out the window. Also it's kind of like playing NHL poker.  Never understood why there wasn't more of this going on. It's in the CBA so there is nothing wrong with it. Just like Vegas using the LTIR with Mark Stone. Nothing illegal about it and every team is free to do it if the opportunity presents itself. 

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