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  • Can A Fully Healthy Wild Team Compete In the Playoffs?


    Image courtesy of Nick Wosika-Imagn Images
    Luke Sims

    The Minnesota Wild have had awful injury luck, with over half a dozen core players missing time. The bubonic plague has struck this team. Only two players have played in every game for the Wild: Matt Boldy and Freddy Gaudreau

    Team pillars Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, Jared Spurgeon, Jonas Brodin, Marcus Foligno, Jake Middleton, and Brock Faber have missed time. Kaprizov remains out with an unknown timetable.

    Bill Guerin said he believes that all of these guys will be back for the playoffs, and the team will be fully healthy going into the playoffs.

    Whether that happens remains to be seen. Still, what would a fully healthy Wild lineup look like? 

    At full health, the Wild led the NHL in points in January, and Kaprizov was playing like an MVP. However, injuries and inconsistent play have dropped the team into the first wild-card spot in the Western Conference. Minnesota can stay afloat until the playoffs start. However, as it stands, this team would face an early exit in the opening round. 

    The Wild made two additions at the trade deadline and lost two significant players. They sent Marat Khusnutdinov and Jakub Lauko to the Boston Bruins. The Wild brought in big winger Justin Brazeau and old friend Gustav Nyquist to add depth.

    Both players have playoff experience, and Brazeau brings the size and strength that teams often rely on in the postseason. Nyquist has 30 points in 77 playoff games. He has playoff experience with three different teams.

    The Wild also added Vinnie Hinostroza via waivers. Ryan Hartman’s childhood friend has had a respectable six points in 16 games. The former sixth-rounder has carved out a nice role in the Wild’s bottom six and should be a key depth piece in the playoffs as a responsible two-way forward with some punch. 

    In net, Filip Gustavsson has been one of the best goaltenders on the planet over the past month, regaining his early season form. He recently held a shutout streak over five periods in last week's games against the Seattle Kraken and Buffalo Sabres. 

    The Wild have seen Gus stand on his head in multiple playoff series. Remember Game 1 in Dallas two years ago? Gustavsson was outstanding in Minnesota’s double-overtime win. However, the Wild have seen Gus at his lowest at the midpoint of this season and for most of last season. Nobody knows how Gustavsson will play in the playoffs, but it looks like he’ll be at his best when the games matter the most. 

    Assuming the hockey gods allow everyone to come back healthy, here is what Minnesota’s first-round lineup could look like: 

    The added depth and Rossi’s emergence allow the Wild to load up the top line without losing depth scoring. Nyquist and Zuccarello have extensive playoff experience and will be able to support Rossi on the second line. 

    Minnesota’s bottom six is tough to figure out because it wants the size that Foligno, Trenin, and Brazeau offer but also needs the centers in Hartman and Gaudreau. Neither one has been playing a fourth-line role, but that’s how things shake out. I thought keeping the two childhood friends together in Hartman and Hinostroza would foster chemistry. 

    Potentially a late-season Liam Ohgren addition, but history suggests he’ll be watching from home.

    On the defensive side of the puck: 

    The top four is as good as it gets. There’s not a team in the league that can say they are clearly better than that group. The curious decision comes with the bottom pair. I imagine the Wild will want to keep Bogosian’s physicality in the lineup.

    Jon Merrill hasn’t been too bad this season. However, the Wild would love to have Buium’s puck-moving ability on the powerplay and the breakout, similar to how Faber came in as a rookie two years ago. Expect Buium to have a similar impact.

    The Wild have not shown trust in Declan Chisholm at all this year, and I doubt he will draw in the playoffs unless injuries rear their head again.

    In net: 

    • Gustavsson. 

    Simple. Keed the hot hand rolling.

    This team has stayed afloat amid all the injuries, and we’ve seen what the forward core can do when it is fully healthy. Minnesota's most likely draw is the Vegas Golden Knights, Dallas Stars, or Colorado Avalanche – all familiar foes. 

    Competing with Colorado’s star power is hard, and Dallas’ forward core with Mikko Rantanen is unfair. Still, on paper, I like the Wild’s chances in the playoffs against Colorado or Vegas. 

    Guerin has made this team more playoff-ready. Now it’s time to find out how far they’ll go.

    All stats and data via HockeyDB, Cap Wages, and Evolving Hockey unless otherwise noted.

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    I wonder if RedLake is here just to be negative all the time.  Even for the angst I have with ODC, they offer reasons why and how the team could improve someday.  Even Pewter does, in his weird nickname kind of way.  

    Not saying people can't be pessimists.  There are certainly enough on this site.  Just...there are levels.  Call it a question of it "toxic for being toxic's sake," or legitimate frustration.  Just seeing where you come from here.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    8 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    I wonder if RedLake is here just to be negative all the time.  Even for the angst I have with ODC, they offer reasons why and how the team could improve someday.  Even Pewter does, in his weird nickname kind of way.  

    Not saying people can't be pessimists.  There are certainly enough on this site.  Just...there are levels.  Call it a question of it "toxic for being toxic's sake," or legitimate frustration.  Just seeing where you come from here.

    25 years of being a fan, even when I lived outta state. I'll give them credit when credit is due. Honestly this team won't have a windows to compete for a Cup until the Top 6 and bottom 6 is totally revamped. Not to mention having our same elite players injured all the F'in time. This team is stumbling into the playoffs with AHL players and riding Gussy. I'm a fan but a disgruntled one. 

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    Merrill has played well.  But he is not a stick to stick transitional player and we need that.  I am really hoping Zeev comes up and slots in.  I am surprised that Chisholm is sitting so much.  I thought his play has been solid.  

    We need to be healthy.  We desperately need our goal scorer (Kirill), our 200 foot momentum changer(Ek) and our shut down D (Brodin) back on the ice.  Easily our top 3 players.  Not sure it will be enough, but it gives us a chance.

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    Thank you.  Just one of those people trying to avoid "toxic" culture.  Hope I didn't offend.  I get enough of that sort of thing elsewhere (cough GameFAQs/Twitter/wrestling media)

    Probably why I come off as "an apologist" to a few around here.

    Edited by Citizen Strife
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    17 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    Not saying people can't be pessimists.  There are certainly enough on this site.  Just...there are levels.  Call it a question of it "toxic for being toxic's sake," or legitimate frustration.  Just seeing where you come from here.

    Red Lake has come to tell us that a team that led the NHL in points when healthy cannot compete in the playoffs, but provided no reasons for it.

    I see the Wild as underdogs, but you never know how things play out once playoffs arrive. I'm sure not many people expected Boston to lose in the 1st round of 2023 after posting a 65 win season, scoring the 2nd most goals and allowing the fewest goals against.

    Dallas and Winnipeg would be really hard matchups. Vegas and Colorado would be tough, but I suspect they could be competitive against them.

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    Dallas played us to perfection.  They locked down the middle of the D-zone in their end forcing everything outside.  They easily cleared our players from net front to give Oet a clear viewing lane.  They won the special teams play.  That is the recipe to beat the Wild.  We need an answer.

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    I'm usually quite the pessimist about this team. But I will now say out loud what I have been thinking for several weeks. IF they get the pieces back in place they will get out of the first round this year. I'm not going to dazzle you with stats and graphs of why I think that it's just a long time causal observers opinion. 

    Remember you heard it here first!😊

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    Hard to see it right now. Colorado and Dallas got much better after slow starts. The Wild have gone the other way losing all their momentum and players. 

    They need to just make the playoffs right now. 

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    15 minutes ago, Imyourhuckleberry said:

    Red Lake has come to tell us that a team that led the NHL in points when healthy cannot compete in the playoffs, but provided no reasons for it.

    I see the Wild as underdogs, but you never know how things play out once playoffs arrive. I'm sure not many people expected Boston to lose in the 1st round of 2023 after posting a 65 win season, scoring the 2nd most goals and allowing the fewest goals against.

    Dallas and Winnipeg would be really hard matchups. Vegas and Colorado would be tough, but I suspect they could be competitive against them.

    “No.” - Red Lake

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    42 minutes ago, Citizen Strife said:

    I wonder if RedLake is here just to be negative all the time.  Even for the angst I have with ODC, they offer reasons why and how the team could improve someday.  Even Pewter does, in his weird nickname kind of way.  

    Not saying people can't be pessimists.  There are certainly enough on this site.  Just...there are levels.  Call it a question of it "toxic for being toxic's sake," or legitimate frustration.  Just seeing where you come from here.

    Doom trolling?

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    Maybe.  

    I don't think anyone here is a doom troll on purpose.  I would think that 99% of people would have better things to do.

    But 1% of people or even .01% are complete wacko goofs.  You just never know.

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    8 minutes ago, RedLake said:

    The Blues could be within 2 points of the Wild at 9:45 pm tonight. The Flames and Canucks are sniffing hard.

    The Bluesers are playing some great hockey right now 8-1-1 in their last 10 but I don’t see the Flames or Nucks catching for the 2nd WC. The Wild would have to go on a serious skid and epic collapse for that to happen. 
     

    To address your other points. It’s not like Dallas blew our doors off last night. Yeah the PK blew it like usual but if Freddy chips that puck 2” further past Ranta that PP goal doesn’t happen, if Bogo gets the puck around the boards that PP goal doesn’t happen. 
     

    Point is, if the Wild can play that structure from the goalie out and we get KK, Ek and Brods back at close to 100% they can hang with anybody. We’re not going to win games 6-4 but they do have it in their DNA to win 2-1, 3-2, 3-1 type games. Can they sustain it for 7 games in a PO series? We’ll see. 

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    Its the whole "that's why they play the game" type of thing. Winning the cup, highly doubtful. But when healthy and if Gus (or MAF) get hot who knows what will happen. Puck luck is weird. Being as close to 100% healthy as they possibly can be can't hurt. Losing Ek hurts effort getting to the middle of the ice, Kap, well we all know, Brodin shuts down their best on many occasions.  Look no further than 2019 Blues, or 2012 Kings for weird things that can happen. I will jump on the bus MacGayver is driving, if they go in fully healthy they will get past the 1st round. 

     

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    2 minutes ago, RedLake said:

    Jiricek over Bogosian or Chislom.

    He’s not going in over Chisholm since he is left handed. Over Bogo yes, I agree. 

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    I dunno.  Chisholm's had some serious brain farts in recent memory.  Last night's penalty and d-zone turnover could have led to bad things.  I will never forget doing that and giving up a goal a couple months back.  Yeesh.

    Either way, I don't think he's brought back next season.

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    27 minutes ago, RedLake said:

    The Blues could be within 2 points of the Wild at 9:45 pm tonight. The Flames and Canucks are sniffing hard.

    Or we could be up 6 with a game in hand

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