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  • A Kaprizov Exit Would Signal Minnesota Isn't A Destination For Big-Name Players


    Image courtesy of Russell LaBounty-Imagn Images
    Justin Wiggins

    Everything sounded fine.

    From the Minnesota Wild’s front office to the players and fans, everything surrounding the Kirill Kaprizov contract extension discussions looked straightforward.

    Owner Craig Leipold made it sound imminent.

    And then Wednesday happened this week. And the entire state of hockey went into full-fledged panic mode.

    NHL Insider Frank Seravelli reported early that day that Kaprizov and his agent had turned down an 8-year contract offer that would have made him the highest-paid NHL player in history, both in terms of total value and AAV.

    Leipold proudly stated this summer he would have no hesitation in making Kaprizov the highest-paid player in the league. His mouth was writing checks he wanted to cash.

    Ultimately, it doesn’t seem as though it was enough.

    Is this the end of Kaprizov’s time in Minnesota? Is the best player in the history of the franchise about to be traded? Or are these just typical negotiations with a superstar in a rapidly growing salary cap world?

    Those answers will likely come soon. Kaprizov may sign an hour after you read this, and the whole exercise will have been for nothing.

    But let’s assume this stalemate is real and Minnesota trades him. The Wild wouldn’t be just losing a superstar. They’d be losing any little aura this franchise has left around it.

    Losing Kaprizov because he doesn’t wish to re-sign in the Land of 10,000 Lakes would signal to the rest of the big-name players in the league that Minnesota is not a desirable destination for a player looking to win.

    You don’t believe me?

    The Minnesota “Mild” (as many in the NHL social media world outside Minnesota dub them) haven’t won a playoff series in a decade. They haven’t made it to the Western Conference Finals in over 20 years. The doubt has never left. The only sort of aura the Wild had remaining, truly, was the fact that they had Kaprizov.

    Sure, there are the promising young players the Wild have been bringing along for this moment. Brock Faber and Matt Boldy look like capable Robins to Kaprizov’s Batman. Zeev Buium, Liam Ohgren, Danila Yurov, and a few other prospects look capable of making an impact.

    This was supposed to be their first true contention window in franchise history. A superstar in place, with an up-and-coming one in Boldy, surrounded by impactful young players. These next few years were supposed to be the years where Minnesota Wild fans could stand up and claim their arrival as a true Stanley Cup threat in the NHL, and shed the reputation of a middling, losing franchise.

    But without Kaprizov… that all goes away.

    The optics are that grim in such a scenario. Kaprizov was supposed to be the piece to entice another superstar here. Instead, he could become the second superstar in franchise history to bolt for greener pastures after Marian Gaborik.

    They’ll always have the allure of playing in a hockey-crazed market. Players genuinely appreciate playing in front of packed arenas at home. It’s still a great place for NHL players to raise a family and see their kids grow up around and play in a hockey-dominant community.

    But the best players in the world? Players like Kaprizov, Connor McDavid, and Sidney Crosby want that for their families, but winning trumps it all. And the Wild have proven over the past 25 years that they can’t provide that.

    There are plenty of markets that have had an even worse reputation than Minnesota since their inception into the league. Their expansion twin, the Columbus Blue Jackets, is the perfect example. Many of the Canadian markets are completely off the table for many players who didn’t grow up in Canada -- perhaps leading directly to their collective 32-year Stanley Cup drought.

    If the Wild lose Kaprizov, they will find themselves sliding dangerously close back to the levels of those franchises.

    Is that the glummest outlook imaginable here? Perhaps. But it’s a real consequence if they prove again they can’t be a desirable market for star players.

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    We aren't ready for this conversation yet.  If 97 bails, then we'll have a full-on intervention.  It's too soon for this conversation though.  We're all a little on edge right now.

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    I will remind everyone that Florida went to the cup finals in 1996, then did not make it out of the first round until 2022, which was only their 7th playoff appearance since 96. As far as I know, taxes have been the same there, so what changed that somehow they are now a destination that players want to go there and stay there?  Pretty simple to me, they started winning.  

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    21 minutes ago, SkolWild73 said:

    I will remind everyone that Florida went to the cup finals in 1996, then did not make it out of the first round until 2022, which was only their 7th playoff appearance since 96. As far as I know, taxes have been the same there, so what changed that somehow they are now a destination that players want to go there and stay there?  Pretty simple to me, they started winning.  

    I love the Florida comparison. I think it is a great playbook for Wild fans. The big difference? They had a superstar in Barkov, and then traded for another one in Tkachuck. Include Bobrovksy in net, and they put together a team that made them desirable for other players to want to be there. Superstars come first, then the wins.

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    6 minutes ago, Justin Wiggins said:

    I love the Florida comparison. I think it is a great playbook for Wild fans. The big difference? They had a superstar in Barkov, and then traded for another one in Tkachuck. Include Bobrovksy in net, and they put together a team that made them desirable for other players to want to be there. Superstars come first, then the wins.

    True, and if Kap stays, we are pretty close to that.  Off to the woods for some hunting this weekend and will be out of service.  Would love to come back Sunday night to some sort of resolution

    Edited by SkolWild73
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    32 minutes ago, SkolWild73 said:

    I will remind everyone that Florida went to the cup finals in 1996, then did not make it out of the first round until 2022, which was only their 7th playoff appearance since 96. As far as I know, taxes have been the same there, so what changed that somehow they are now a destination that players want to go there and stay there?  Pretty simple to me, they started winning.  

    The salary cap as we know it (Max and Floor) started in 2005-2006, so thats what changed. Prior to that, teams generally spent 75% of their revenue on players salaries and when a team is in a small market (florida at the time) they couldn't pay players as much.

    The initial salary cap was $30.9MM with a max single contract of 20% or $7.8MM. With a 23 man roster, there wouldn't be a huge pay gap between players on a competitive roster, so players focused more on being on competitive teams than the payday. 

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    Lou Nanne had been talking this summer about how krill’s agent was a tough negotiator and was going to stick it to the wild for a pay day because he was so valuable to franchise. So if krill is holding out for more money , when is it to much? Is krill worth 18-19 mil for a franchise that can’t get talent to come here? A left winger making as much as or more than the # 1 center in league. Could the wild even build around that?  It’s hard to to see how having the highest priced player on a middling team gets us anywhere. Middle to Late round picks aren’t going to fill In the holes or buy what we need. Free agents won’t come here when the rest of the nhl  has a pocket full of cash to spend due to cap rising.  It’s starting to seem like turning down the offer has put the wild in a dammed if ya do or dammed if you don’t scenario . Lose kappy for peanuts or blow your salary cap to keep him.  If kappy leaves , it’s about winning.  If kappy stays it’s only about money. Craig running around saying he’ll spend whatever to sign kappy was a joke. Now kappy knows you’ll do anything.  Well played Craig.

    i don’t see how this plays out without it being an embarrassment to the franchise. Kappy gone or kappy here with no money to fill in around him. Not great planning for future. 

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    Barkov has been in the league for 12 years and is still only 30yo.  Wow.  What a fantastic career.... and he will add to it.  Players sure do like playing with winners.. and Barkov is a winner.  He was doing well before the panthers started enticing people like Tkachuk.  But no player wins it on their own.  I hope Kirill understands that before he asks for a $17M/AAV contract.

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    1 hour ago, Kato AK said:

    The salary cap as we know it (Max and Floor) started in 2005-2006, so thats what changed. Prior to that, teams generally spent 75% of their revenue on players salaries and when a team is in a small market (florida at the time) they couldn't pay players as much.

    The initial salary cap was $30.9MM with a max single contract of 20% or $7.8MM. With a 23 man roster, there wouldn't be a huge pay gap between players on a competitive roster, so players focused more on being on competitive teams than the payday. 

    It was still 15 years after the cap changed before they advanced past the first round

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